A big victory for Obama, a big loss for Clinton. But remember four years ago when Howard Dean won Iowa; and Kerry later surged and won while Dean sputtered out. I have to say though that Obama’s victory speech (video) played a whole lot better than Dean’s scream heard round the world.
But it ain’t over yet. It looks like the Democratic primary campaign could be a very long, hard slog with the victory going to the candidate prepared to go down into the political trenches. Despite her loss and the fact that I don’t support her, there is no doubt that she is steadfast, politically savvy, and has an iron will which will stand her in good stead in the coming months.
While I support Obama, he hasn’t yet been tested by the stress of the Swift Boating techniques sure to be used by Republicans in November. What I call the ‘Muslim card‘ has been played over the past few months and you’ll be hearing much more about it in coming months if it proves to have traction. This is only one of the possible memes that the right-wing dirty tricksters have in store for him.
The NY Times says that Obama is surging in New Hampshire and Clinton faltering. We’ll see.
On an entirely different note, I was just speculating about the weirdness of having a potential presidential race between Rudy Giuliani and Hillary Clinton. Would that be the first time since Lincoln-Douglas in which candidates from the same state battled it out for president? If you add to that the likeliness of Michael Bloomberg entering the race, you have the entirely bizarre possibility of all three candidates hailing not just from the same state, but from the same city. Imagine what that will do for New York’s image in the rest of the country. I bet a significant number of people will look at the three of ’em and say: “Who cares.”
Let me be clear that I hope that neither of these candidates actually wins their party’s nomination. I’m just speculating.