Someone is scammin’ me. Or at least trying to. They’re flattering me with supposedly top-secret information I didn’t request. They’re offering to visit me here in Seattle to deliver the battle plans for Israel’s upcoming attack. They’re telling me the supposed code name for the operation. They’re offering me the actual date of the attack. They’re offering to help defend my blog from the DoS attacks it suffered over the past few weeks.
One of these individuals claimed he was a former IAF military intelligence officer. He didn’t like my politics, but somehow was willing to–or was almost willing to since he seemed to have moral compunctions about sharing those battle plans–pass Israel’s crown jewels to me. He’s the one who told me the code name for the attack. But he had a nasty habit of unloading on me and claiming I “hated Israel.” I told him to take a hike. The second fellow also somehow knew the same code name for the attack. He also told me that Mr. X, a prisoner being held incommunicado at Ayalon Prison, is a captured official of a certain Muslim nation considered an enemy by Israel (hint, hint).
Those of you who’ve been reading my blog over the past few months will know that I’ve been focussing most of my investigative efforts around miscarriages of justice committed by Israeli intelligence. So stories like those I’m being offered are meant to flatter me and my nose for news. Bloggers always want a scoop. The thinking of those offering me these tidbits must be to drop little bits of red meat in front of me and hope I’ll bite.
But as a blogger who tries to be careful about what he writes, I have to take a step back and ask: why me? Why would anyone who actually had the order of battle for Israel’s Iran attack want to share it with me? Further, why would an Israeli who disagrees vociferously with my views want to share such information with me? It doesn’t pass the smell test.
So I think I’m being had either by operatives from Israeli intelligence or else by freelancers who think they’re promoting Israel’s interests by scamming this blog. What’s their motivation? That’s a tough question to answer. Nearest I can tell, the Israelis figure that the more they can keep the notion that they will attack Iran in the news the more likely Americans will either accept the notion that Israel will attack when it does; or else it will plow fertile ground fertilizing it for a U.S. attack.
Most Americans polled favor such an attack. But most serious analysts don’t believe Obama will attack Iran. That’s why the Israelis have their work cut out for them and why they’d like to co-opt this blog to do their work for them. They imagine if I half-believe them that my vanity as a blogger-reporter will motivate me to disseminate my message not only here but perhaps at other sites like Iranian.com, Huffington Post. And they hope that other bloggers will pick up my message and amplify it for them. Not to mention Iranians who they’d love to psych out by having them believe that Israel might, just might do the wild thing and, to paraphrase Sarah Palin, bomb, baby bomb.
Well, sorry guys, not this time. I’m not going to shill for you or anyone else. I’m not going to bite. In fact, if Israeli operatives are pushing me to write about an Israeli attack on Iran I’m inclined to believe precisely the opposite–that Israel will not attack Iran. But there’s one problem. Israel clearly wants to attack Iran. Dying to, in fact. If it doesn’t, who will? There’s only one option as I mentioned, the U.S. As best I can tell, the Israelis must believe that there is some way they can persuade, cajole or force the U.S. to attack. The notion seems far-fetched to me. But Israel has done many things in the past I never would’ve believed it would do and I never underestimate it’s ability to generate regional mischief.
But if you read about an Israeli attack on Iran code-named for a famous ancient Persian king on the day before Rosh Hashana, you’ll know I should’ve believed them and I’ll be kicking myself. But I think it’s highly unlikely.
They won’t attack Iran. I’m with you Richard. So now at least two of us can feel dumb if it actually happens (along with horrified and scared).
I am firmly convinced that Israel and/or the U.S. WILL attack Iran. But I agree with you, Richard, it wouldn’t be telegraphed through you or any other blog. You are being scammed by practical jokers.
Yeap. I’m from Israel and i can tell u that the attack of Iran will be in 14 days. You can count on it.
Did Nosterdamus or Meir Dagan or Gabi Ashkenazi tell you so?
Baba Vanga told him via the new mini moo’s experts of the intelligence cucumber fields.
http://www.isrintelforum.com/BRPortal/br/P100.jsp
Wow, and I thought that DebkaFile (http://www.debka.com/) were crackpots. I wasn’t aware that there was yet another site of neocon crazies on the Israeli Internet. Oh well, yet another one to add to the list.
If you are important enough for Israeli operatives to use as a means of coercing the US into attacking iran, or really as a means of anything, than you are definitely important enough to be sent top-secret material by morally confused idf officers.
This looks like just someone trying to make you look stupid by publishing ridiculous rumors.
There is no doubt that Israel wants this war. Usually if someone wants something that bad they eventually get it…meanwhile they just keep banging the war drums non-stop. I’m sure you are not the only one to receive this attention from crazy war/messiah lovers.
Were you actually given the supposed date of the attack or just offered to? If the former is the case, then you only have to wait.
Day before Rosh Hashana. Which is why I found the entire interaction tantalizing & yet finally ridiculous.
Richard, what do you make of the theory that the iranian nuclear plant is now so advanced that a bomb on it would set off a nuclear explosion? Therefore, Israel (or the US) can no longer afford to bomb it.
Sounds like a mixed blessing, doesn’t it?
Bombing a live nuclear reactor won’t set off a secondary nuclear explosion (as in “atomic bomb”) because there’s no bomb-grade material in it, i.e. the fissile U235 atoms are much too diluted by non-fissile U238 and other stuff to set off a chain reaction. That’s by design, of course.
That’s not to say a core meltdown or similar damage couldn’t happen, distributing radioactive material in the environment (think Chernobyl). Why would that mean “Israel (or the US) can no longer afford to bomb it”? Neither would be affected by the fallout, and both have proven to be plenty generous with other middle eastern people’s lives.
Gila,
Nuclear plants have a core that can melt down. They don’t explode… unless, someone has planted a warhead and armed the thing. A warhead can be made to go bOOm, and then… the reactor’s core will melt.
Next time, threaten to report them to the SEC.
Anyone in a position to short sell stocks of companies (and currencies) likely to be affected by an attack, can make a profit out of rumours like this. It’s called “making a false market” on the charge sheet.
There is an international legal presumption against attacking a fueled nuclear power station, because it would distribute, widely, already radioactive material, although when first fueled, nothing becomes all that radioactive until after the control rods have been withdrawn and it’s actually started to run, which is not currently the case.
To actually create a dirty nuclear explosion from a reactor core, one would have to get a small fusion bomb neutron bomb) into the core and hope it’d make enough high energy neutrons to force-fission the fissionable U-238, which would make enough slow neutrons to fission a lot of the fissile U-235, which is there in much lower proportion.
John Bolton wanted Israel to bomb the thing before it was fueled up. He’s gone so extreme in his old age that he no longer even represents the neo-cons.
This is essentially a Russian reactor on Iranian soil. Given the friendly links between the Oligarchs and Israel’s extreme right movers and shakers, it’s probably the least likely installation in the whole of Iran to be attacked by Israel.
If I were asked to stop Iran’s nuclear programme for minimum effort, I’d work on the Revolutionary Guard’s various franchises that give them an income apart from tax revenues under government control. Not only do these fund the nuclear programme: they make the Revolutionary Guard financially independent from the elected government of Iran, which hasn’t always been in favour of the Guard’s agenda.
Most of these franchises are to do with distribution, of everything from Mercedes cars to natural gas. The latter has been done so badly recently, that there have been several big explosions, only one of which is believed to have been sabotage, even by the paranoid Revolutionary Guard. They have taken money out of running the pipeline network since the eighties, without any spending on maintenance, and, like Russia in the early nineties, are reaping the consequences.
Work on the Guard’s free money and it won’t just cripple their weapons programme, without killing anyone: it will tilt the balance within Iran back in favour of elected politicians. More people will vote if the government actually controls the country!
Nothing happened, what to make of it?
I think chances of an attack go up in the next 2 years, highest in 2012 and then go down drastically after that.
Peace is coming!
This is a request for your best assessment as to the questions below, which arises from the following facts:
(1) In 2007and into 2008 all indications were Israel was preparing to attack Iran;
(2) In mid-2008 Israel asked Bush to assist in such an attack;
(2) Bush refused;
(3) No attack occurred.
Query: (1) Why did Israel not proceed with an attack on its own, and (2) The basis for that view?
Your insight will be much appreciated.
But Zionists have never stopped trying to convince the American idiots that whatever is good for Israel is good for them.
Latest ‘smoking gun’ from FoxNews – Iran’s Revolutionary Guards are planning to stage a military coup against Ahmadinejad’s government.
http://rehmat1.wordpress.com/2011/05/12/fox-and-the-military-coup-in-iran/