Pompeo offered Iran freedom from the barrel of a gun. And mighty persuasive it was too.
He gave an interview earlier today in which he recounted a fever-dream version of the aftermath of the Soleimani assassination, which bore no resemblance to any reality we know:
Pompeo: I saw last night there was dancing in the streets in parts of Iraq. We have every expectation that people, not only in Iraq, but in Iran will view the American action last night as giving them freedom. Freedom to have the opportunity for success and prosperity for their nations. And while the political leadership may not want that the people in these nations will demand it.
Interviewer: We’ll see.
The only dancing in the streets of Iraq was done by the Sunni minority, which ruled the country while Saddam’s Baath Party held power. And lost it once we overthrew him and dissolved the Baath infrastructure. If there is a last bastion of ISIS remaining on Iraqi territory, they’d indeed be celebrating, since Soleimani was their fiercest enemy (and supposedly ours as well).
So let’s ask this question: if Iran killed a U.S. official who combined the job portfolios of chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Secretary of State, and CIA chief, would we view such an act as “giving us freedom…and opportunity for success and prosperity?” Or would we view it as a grave threat to the nation, its security, and existence? Would we be plotting the type of revenge FDR did after Japan attacked Pearl Harbor, for example?
Pompeo’s line of argument is absurd. It’s no different than the delusional utterances we heard from the mouths of Dick Cheney and Don Rumsfeld during the Iraq War. And look how well that turned out.
Trump’s decision to kill Soleimani is the act of a desperate, deranged man. He did not prepare the American people for it. There is no long-term strategy for our relations with Iran. There isn’t even any awareness of the fallout that will result from this. No preparation for the undoubted scores of terror attacks which we will suffer in coming days, months and years. It mirrors perfectly the shambles of a presidency he’s conducted.
Unlike Trump’s belief that it shows him to be a tough, decisive leader, the operation shows that he is bereft of a policy. That he bases decisions on whim and circumstance.
If Iranian retaliation draws more American blood, it will prompt other U.S. counterpunches aimed at, in the words of a recent statement from the Pentagon, “deterring future Iranian attack plans.” And Iranian leaders, facing additional U.S. strikes against their forces and interests, will face a similar calculus. Neither side may want an all-out war, but each increment of escalation and counterescalation will have its own defensive logic—and it is hard to see a clean escape from this spiraling vortex.
In my previous post I suggested that the JCPOA agreement which Trump trashed a year ago, is now dead for the Iranians as well. Here is how Kahl explains the heightened danger that this poses for a larger conflict:
On the nuclear front, too, Iran is likely to ramp up its provocations. Over the past year, in response to Trump’s withdrawal from the nuclear accord, Tehran has incrementally restarted elements of its nuclear program. As tensions with the United States heighten, more dramatic steps, including the resumption of much higher levels of uranium enrichment, are likely. And as Iran gets closer and closer to the capability to produce fuel for a nuclear weapon—and the prospects for a diplomatic solution fade—yet another path to a military confrontation with the United States or Israel will emerge.
Another segment of Pompeo’s fever-dream involved this:
The Iranian people understand that the United States is a force for good in the region. I’m convinced that the support that we have provided to the people of Iran and that we will continue to provide to the people in Iraq will work to protect American lives and make lives better.
What support is he talking about? Is he referring to the strangling sanctions we’ve forced down the world’s throat, which prohibits vital medical and foodstuffs from curing the ill and feeding the hungry? Or the financial blocks we’ve put on Iranian business transactions so there can be no exports from or imports to the country?
Pompeo’s own State Department told all U.S. citizens to leave Iraq, Bahrain, the UAE and Pakistan. For a country offering another country the blessing of freedom, it seems we’re worried its citizens won’t take it that way. It seems even his own agency doesn’t believe the lies the Secretary is spinning.
When the interviewer asked what the nature of the “imminent threats” Soleimani posed to American interests, Pompeo pleaded national security and refused to elaborate, other than to offer a vague statement that “thousands” of American lives were saved by the killing. He added for emphasis: “There’s no doubt about that.” Maybe in Kansas or wherever he comes from. But here in reality there are graves doubts, which such nostrums do not assuage.
Pompeo told the interviewer that he hoped the response of the Iranian people would be along the lines of the protests of the past months in which working people rallied against massive gasoline price hikes. Again, delusional. During the domestic protests, the people were rightfully angry at the government and did offer slogans demanding the end of the clerical regime. But from today, there will be no more such protests. The only protests you will see for years will feature effigies of Trump and Pompeo which will be burned along with Uncle Sam.
The problem with people like Pompeo and Trump, and Bush, Cheney and Rumsfeld, is that they are historical ignoramuses. They know nothing about the places they’re ‘liberating.’ It’s doubtful, especially in the case of Trump & Co. that they even care. My sense is that Iran is just a prop in theatrical production, Trump 2020. Or perhaps Trump sees it as a way to pump up opposition to his impeachment. Or both.
One insulting term Pompeo used to describe Iran’s government was “kleptocracy.” There is no doubt a great deal of corruption in Iran. There are also senior officials who are fighting it valiantly. Most of the corruption exists in the institutions run by the clerical hardliners, not the reformists with whom we should find common ground. However, the word kleptocracy is a far more apt portrayal of the Trump administration. It stinks from the head with theft, collusion, bribery, and self-dealing. And the levels of corruption in the Trump administration beggar those of Iran.
And if you want to look at the Middle East itself, the endemic corruption of the Gulf States led by Saud Arabi is on a scale unheard of in Iran. If corruption runs to the billions in Iran, it runs to the hundreds of billions in Saudi Arabia. Yet who is America’s best buddy? The Saudis of course. Because only crooks trust other crooks. They certainly don’t trust an honest man (or woman).
Pompeo argued that Soleimani’s death would be welcome in the region because he “killed many Muslims there.” Let’s do some quick calculations about who has killed the most Muslims in the Middle East: the U.S. killed 1-million Iraqis before and during the Iraq War. We killed hundreds of thousands in Afghanistan. We’ve killed thousands with drone attacks in Pakistan, Afghanistan, Yemen and Somalia. We are responsible for mass slaughter that doesn’t compare to anything Soleimani has done.
Yes, the fighting in Syria has killed hundreds of thousands. And Iranian forces and their proxies killed a portion of these. But this was no one-sided massacre. Against the Iranians and the Syrian government forces were arrayed the forces of ISIS, supported by Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAE. So excuse me for calling Pompeo an outrageous fabricator.
Pompeo’s interview is also an insult to Congress, which was not consulted; an insult to our putative allies, the Iraqis, whose territory we exploited for this murder; an insult to the American people who are being sold a bill of goods.
On a related note, Mike Pence floated yet more lies into the media ether claiming that Soleimani personally harbored “10 of the 12” 9/11 attackers in Iran. First, the 9/11 Commission found that Iran had no involvement whatsoever in 9/11 either before or after it happened. Second, there were 19 hijackers, not 12. But who’s counting?
Well, this is a brilliant article except for one glaring omission. You have forgotten to include the nefarious actions of Israel in the mix. The comments I’ve heard from sources who continue to report are that Israel gave the US the coordinates to run the strike that murdered Soleimani. I’m surprised you’ve left them out. Most Israeli media over the past day have applauded what tRump has done. https://nypost.com/2020/01/03/netanyhau-praises-trump-for-killing-qassem-soleimani-says-israel-stands-by-us/
Certainly, that mass murderer, Netenyahoo, has.
whereas the us/israel are hot headed “idiots’ the iranian are LONG TERM players, time (money) will tire of keeping the guards up and that’s when iran plays. they know full well they will not be attacked SERIOUSLY therefore the counterpunch will come whenever and wherever they can hurt NOT DAMAGE but slowly bleed and irritate the enemy. just as they are doing in yemen/saudis. slowly bleed on the ground and then launch ONE rocket that will damage BIG TIME.
to attack iran you need several thousands of immediate rockets and then a whole bunch of thousands of boots .
otherwise this was a total waste. it might slow down the process but the army is still there more than willing and READY. is TRUMP/BIBI ready , I DON’T THINK SO.
iran’s honey trap was set by his high visibility, i don’t think they wouldn’t be ready for the counter punch if his hi visibility wasn’t PRE assessed and the answer already in the works. if not then they are utterly stupid.
forgot , remember that iraq with its SUPERIOR army got nowhere not short not long term. iran had kids and kids and kids as cannon fodder it was Napoleon russia’s snow that got the best of iraq. 100k kids went willingly to the front. so irann knows how to put molasses in the enemy’s gear and that molasses is TIME.
maybe i am wrong, if indeed they reply hard then god save as all we are in for a bruising conflict that israel will pay the price not trump or his republicans sheeps
Richard said:
“First, the 9/11 Commission found that Iran had no involvement whatsoever in 9/11 either before or after it happened”
That is demonstrably false.
While there is no evidence to suggest that Iranian officials knew of the Sept. 11 plot, the 9/11 Commission panel,
“had recently obtained intelligence showing that Iran had ordered guards at its border stations not to stamp the passports of al Qaeda members from Saudi Arabia who were moving through Iran after training at terrorist camps in Afghanistan”.
“The officials said the bipartisan commission had uncovered evidence that as many as 10 of the Sept. 11 hijackers traveled through Iran in late 2000 and early 2001 and would have benefited from the Iran policy, allowing them to enter the United States without an Iranian passport stamp, which could have made them subject to special scrutiny.”
https://www.sfgate.com/politics/article/Iran-gave-9-11-hijackers-safe-passage-report-2706928.php
Richard said:
“The only dancing in the streets of Iraq was done by the Sunni minority, which ruled the country while Saddam’s Baath Party held power”.
What proof do you offer that the celebrants were Sunni?
I ask for proof, because only last month, Shi’a Iraqis in the South of Iraq were demonstrating against Iran’s presence and influence in their country, burning Iranian buildings in Najaf, Karbala, etc.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-50580940
You do see the point I’m trying to make, don’t you?
@Ben: I said that Iran had no Involvement In the 9/11 attack and nothing you offered proved that they did. The actual statement in the 9/11 Commission report is that Iran had no “Knowledge” of the 9/11 plot. Curious you left this sentence out of the same source you quoted:
BTW the hijackers traveled through many countries including the U. S. before the attack. Were they all complicit in the attack?
The celebrants were not from Basra. They were in Baghdad. And just because those in Basra protested against Iran does not mean they would celebrate Soleimani’s assassination, nor did they.
You are done in this thread.
Ben : How would Iran have identified al Qaeda members to allow safe passage, membership list, special letters, just by saying, Hey I am a member of Al Qaeda, had you said the Pakistan lawless territories, i would agree, but to make such a claim just to make a claim, mmmmm. really. There is no history of Iran being buddy buddy with anything called Afghanistan (that i ‘ve heard of) so unless it can be backed up by anything i would take that grain of salt with very very delicate tweezers, please go ahead and rub my nose in proof, i’ll gladly eat bowlfuls of crow.
Richard I feel for you, you took time to dissect the words said by the puppet Pompeous Arrogantus, you should have slain the puppet master , All this hot air is nothing but Trump the marionette master at play as it has since nov 2016. that date should live in infamy right next to 9/11. as though iran is listening or even cares about what this administration says. or even does,
It is very sad and EXTREMELY dangerous, the USA is governed by totally ignorant and delusional people.
Great post….thank you.
The only “freedom” the US can offer Iranians is the freedom of death, either through bombing, shelling, being shot on the battlefield or sniped on the street. Like with South Vietnam, we don’t give a hoot in Hell about the Iranians or the Iraqis or the Yemenis – all we want is the oil, the chance to set up Iranian or Iraqi branches of various US corporations, and the ability to shake our fists at the Russians, the Chinese, and the Indians as we cut them out of a chunk of the Middle East.
The colonialism is grotesque.
strelnikov2 – never gonna happen. firstly the us army is nowhere large enough to invade iran AS IT SHOULD BE, secondly, bombing the crap out of iran will cause nothing. UNLESS YOU ARE READY TO DECAPITATE a few thousand mullahs SIMULTANEOUSLY. thirdly – do you think that if Iran is pushed that far they won’t use a SURPRISE weapon against WHOMEVER AND WHEREVER.
never gonna happen the system is too entrenched for a system change, short of 3 A or N bombs going off in Iran all if for nought , the ONLY colonialism left nowadays is ISRAEL. the US is nothing but a shadow of what is was in 1950 . since then it has gone downhill after the Vietcong history.
To lose thousands upon thousands as in WWI and II naahh even Richard will agree i am right. sorry Richard I know you love your country but my assessment is not far off, your opinion?
the word ARMY is missing in the last paragraph, it reads weird otherwise,
@ n. dayan: I’m reading the last paragraph of the post and I’m not sure why you say it reads “weird.” Quote me the sentence and where you think the word “army” should be.
Iraq’s peoples representation have voted to oust all foreign troops from the country [re: US troops].
News Pakistan TV Said: Iran-US conflict: Missles fired at Ain-Al-Asad Air Base harboring American troops follow the story at https://newspakistan.tv/iran-us-conflict-rockets-fired-at-iraq-base-harboring-american-troops/
Pompeo’s rationale for the assassination – that thousands of lives now will be saved – can be truthful only if the murdered man was a lone wolf and not part of a disciplined chain of command. The gun slinger is a Pompeo fantasy; just get rid of this one bad guy and roll the credits while the grateful townspeople come out of hiding. No more real than John Wayne’s military service.