7 thoughts on “Barclays Risk Assessment: Chance of Iran Attack Tripled in 2011 – Tikun Olam תיקון עולם إصلاح العالم
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  1. The former chair of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and several U.S. ambassadors have warned that the lack of diplomatic contact between the U.S. and Iran could lead to war.

    What they don’t say! That’s the whole point of the bill, isn’t it? Besides, it’s also preposterous on the grounds that the President could immediately pardon anyone convicted for such diplomacy on the govt’s behalf.
    (2) means no one could ever be put on trial, not even before a military commission, for terrorist offenses, because the (govt-employed) court would have to “contact” the defendant, right?
    Also, I thought in this whole mess of wars on who- or whatever the commander-in-chief couldn’t be unduly restrained by that quaint notion of rule-of-law? Or does this only go for Republican Presidents?

  2. You could make a fortune on Intrade.

    If you really think these estimates are way too low – I think they have it on the lower end of this range – you can make an investment on that website.

    1. Intrade stinks. Wouldn’t waste a penny on it. Until shortly before Obama was nominated he was given a very small probability of winning. Intrade doesn’t predict, it follows the best current wisdom which often isn’t very good.

  3. This legislation is directly a result of successful lobbying efforts by the American Isreali Public Affairs Committee. The Iranian Threat Reduction Act of 2011 (what they call it) was first proposed by Florida’s congresswoman Lleana Ros-Lehtinen. Personally, it is the worse idea with regard to U.S. foreign policy.

  4. RE: “Barclays Risk Assessment: Chance of Iran Attack Tripled in 2011”

    NOW MIGHT BE A GOOD TIME TO WATCH THIS EXCELLENT ISRAELI FILM (if you have not already seen it):
    Lemon Tree (Etz Limon), 2008, NR, 106 minutes
    A Palestinian widow (Hiam Abbass) fights to keep her lemon grove from being uprooted when Israeli security forces declare it a threat to the Israeli defense minister living next door (Doron Tavory) in this foreign-language drama. Teaming with a young lawyer (Ali Suliman), the widow takes her case to the Israeli Supreme Court…
    Language: Hebrew (English subtitles)
    Netflix Availability: Streaming and DVD
    NETFLIX LISTING – http://movies.netflix.com/WiMovie/Lemon_Tree/70115895?trkid=496624
    Etz Limon aka Lemon Tree (2008) [VIDEO, 02:26] Official Movie Trailer HQ – http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NHspB5ErLtg
    ON YOUTUBE (in 10 parts) – http://www.youtube.com/results?search_query=Etz+Limon+%28+%29+AliSulimanChannel&oq=Etz+Limon+%28+%29+AliSulimanChannel&aq=f&aqi=&aql=&gs_sm=s&gs_upl=18006l37626l0l39993l8l8l0l1l0l0l205l1001l1.5.1l7l0

  5. Wouldn’t the part the law about contacting Iranian reps be unconstitutional? It seems like a clear infringement upon executive power.

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