7 thoughts on “Iran Cuts Off Hamas Aid for Renouncing Assad – Tikun Olam תיקון עולם إصلاح العالم
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  1. I thought Israel (along with Saudi, Qatari and Turkish interests) was always a driver in this reconfiguration of the region into smaller, even more balkanised units for easier micro-management of the global oil-sump…what will emerge when the colluders colloid in the aftermath (post the Iranian disposal sale)seems the question. Interesting times, as they say in China.
    Hamas are just doing the Machiavellian transfer..like all good political rats do when the fresh saltwater hits the bilges. Sponsorship flotsam is sure to emerge from the contentions…Tel Aviv itself will sweeten their distress if necessary(loose cannons must be lashed, and leashed, tight) it will not be their first meeting….no better rat-runners.
    Or do I misread?

  2. I agree with your analysis, and it is very similar to what most major Israeli analysts say.

    In your last paragraph, you could have quoted the late Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin at the days of the Iran-Iraq war: “We wish the best of luck to both sides.”

  3. I’m sure after they saw Hamas cosying up to their Muslim Brotherhood benefactors, they assumed it was only a matter of time until they’d turn against Iran for the right price.

    Israel’s hubris prevents it from understanding how its actions will inevitably backfire on them. Their strikes on Syria have led to Russia supplying Syria with S-300’s and Yakhonts missiles. It refuses to believe that Assad will never fall without NATO & Israel putting troops into Syria. It fails to take lessons of what happened in 2006 when the Shia shrine in Samarra was attacked. In the eyes of many Shi’ites, Hamas, Qatar, Israel and others who support the rebels that desecrated the Shia shirne in Damascus are all guilty by association. Now its hands are even more tied than before, should Israel or NATO put troops into Syria.

    1. @Pat:
      the Yakhont missiles deal was signed between Syrian and Russia before the Syrian civil-war (couldn’t find a better name for it) began.
      S-300 missiles were not delivered yet, and from what I’ve read, these are older models of the system which have been in use by the Russian army and are being replaced with newer S-400 systems. In other words, these are not the wonder-weapons which will totally change the balance of power.
      As for putting Israeli boots in Syria – not gonna happen. And it doesn’t seems that NATO is keen to support the Jihadists either.

  4. You mention Turkey possibly becoming a more strategic ally of Hamas. Do you think recent events in that country make that more likely or less so?

  5. In some sense, the Islamic Republic seems to be following a trajectory in its regional relations that is similar to the one it’s followed internally in the past few years. The dominant Khamenei-IRGC faction has pushed aside first the reformist camp in the establishment, whom they refer to as “seditionists,” and then the once-darling Ahmadinejad faction, whom they refer to as “deviants.” They see the survival of their regime in neutralizing these different tendencies that were once w/in the establishment and which, in all likelihood, garner more popular sympathy than the dominant faction, rather than accommodating them. Similarly, they feel so invested in the cause of Assad that they’re willing to compromise key alliances in the region. One of the hardliners close to Khamenei recently declared that Syria is Iran’s “35th province” (I guess sort of like Israel is US’s 51st state) and that “defense” of Syria was even more important than defending Iran’s oil-rich Khuzestan province (which was invaded by Iraq):
    http://iranmediaresearch.org/en/blog/227/13/03/08/1288
    A certain (more-than-usual) extremist and hardline attitude seems to have taken hold of the ever-narrowing Iranian leadership. But they have to watch internal dissent on this issue. Even though the gov’t seems to consider it crucial, the cause of propping up Assad doesn’t nearly enjoy such popularity in Iran. There are no public opinion polls on that issue, but from various statements that some figures in Iran sometimes dare to make and from slogans in recent street protests, most of the indication is that Assad is not a popular cause in Iran. At 0:45 of this clip, which is from a 10/2012 protest due to the worsening economy, the large crowd is clapping & chanting, “Let go of Syria and pay attention to us!”: http://www.bbc.co.uk/persian/iran/2012/10/121003_l42_vid_iran_demo_bazaar.shtml

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