14 thoughts on “Scoop: Israeli Iran Attack to Coincide With Next Israeli Election – Tikun Olam תיקון עולם إصلاح العالم
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  1. Did your source say anything about the israeli-palestinian conflict in all of this? The peace process?

  2. I wonder how much the attack on Gaza on 2008/9 was a cynical measure by Olmert and designated leader Livni to increase the popularity of Kadima before the election.

  3. It’s probably figured also that next year is better to give time for sanctions to play out (important also for public opinion), the world economy to stabilize more, oil to be stockpiled and defenses against Iranian counterattacks to be strengthened.

    Also more time for preparing support in the media for the idea.

    But it looks more and more likely to happen sooner or later, a drumbeat like this ends in war eventually. Unless events in Iran take a major turn, Khamenei is getting old and won’t last forever.

  4. The key to the puzzle is whether the US publicly opposes an Israeli attack .

    If Netanyahoo strikes without direct American public support and US lives are lost from anti-ship missiles in the Persian Gulf (a result only recently acknowledged in US war games), Israel will bear the complete blame for the loss of those lives – the US public will ask why should American lives be sacrificed for Israeli hegemony when there is no direct threat to the US itself.

    Then, what of the “special relationship”?

    1. The public didn’t ask about Iraq…and barely reacted when no WMD were found!! Why then should they ask about Iran? The American public is opposed to war but why does this matter? Once the shooting starts, Americans will just yahoo with Yahoo, so to speak.

      1. “…Americans will just yahoo with Yahoo, so to speak…”

        Chet is spot on and David is dead wrong.

        The sad, disgusting tale of the US blundering into wars of choice have been told and retold across the political landscapes of the US so thoroughly, that any attack against Iran by Israel or the US will most assuredly not see American’s dancing in the streets.

        It took several months after the infamous “Mission Accomplished” charade to learn the Iraqi invasion was a mistake. It will only take several weeks, if not days, including the ‘usual suspects’ who lust for it to realize the enormity and full scope of the “strategic disaster” attacking Iran will warrant.

        The ‘usual suspects’ who stooged the US into unwinnable wars in the the M/E got away with their scalps on their heads. The same fools are tempting fate twice.

        1. I understand. I just never saw the neocons crucified because of Iraq. Instead, they are back and up to same old nonsense about unilaterally shaping reality in the ME. I’d like to believe that Americans will react negatively to losses as a result of Israeli provocation, but I can’t see it. I hope I am dead wrong about this.

  5. Well, since Bibi can call the election whenever he feels like it, the news hasn’t changed: Iran gets bombed whenever Bibi feels up to it. Could be this spring with elections in the summer just as easily as sometime in 2013. It all depends on the Vozdh (or, translated from the Russian, the Boss.).

  6. RE: “A senior Likud politician told my confidential Israeli source that Bibi Netanyahu has decided to delay an Israeli attack on Iran until some weeks or possibly months before the next scheduled Israeli election.” ~ R.S.

    ALSO SEE: Netanyahu’s ‘King David’ Complex, by Paul Pillar, Consortium News, 4/02/12

    (excerpts). . . A former Likud activist who has become a critic of Netanyahu explains, “Bibi is a messianist. He believes with all his soul and every last molecule of his being that he — I don’t quite know how to express it — is King David.”*

    It is not in a superpower’s interest to get sucked into projects of someone with a King David complex. . .

    . . . If it [the U.S.] does not escape a war, it will be hard to find any silver lining in the consequences. But perhaps one would be that Americans would then be more likely to understand how contrary to their own interests it has been to follow the preferences of the Israeli government. Perhaps that could be a first step toward a more normal — and more beneficial for the United States — U.S. relationship with Israel. . .

    ENTIRE COMMENTARY – http://digg.com/newsbar/Politics/netanyahu_s_king_david_complex_consortiumnews

    * P.S. That’s why I sometimes (only half-jokingly) refer to “The Dissociative State of Israel”!
    Dissociation (psychology) – http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dissociation_(psychology)

    1. P.P.S. Apparently Perle, Feith, the Wurmsers, etc. were aware of Netanyahu’s ‘King David’ Complex when they referred to “securing the Realm“!


      A Clean Break: A New Strategy for Securing the Realm

      (excerpt) A Clean Break: A New Strategy for Securing the Realm (commonly known as the “Clean Break” report) is a policy document that was prepared in 1996 by a study group led by Richard Perle for Benjamin Netanyahu, the then Prime Minister of Israel [a/k/a “King David” – J.L.D.].[1] The report explained a new approach to solving Israel’s security problems in the Middle East with an emphasis on “Western values”. It has since been criticized for advocating an aggressive new policy including the removal of Saddam Hussein from power in Iraq.

      According to the report’s preamble,[1] it was written by the Study Group on a New Israeli Strategy Toward 2000, which was a part of the Institute for Advanced Strategic and Political Studies. Former United States Assistant Secretary of Defense Richard Perle was the “Study Group Leader”, but the final report included ideas from James Colbert, Charles Fairbanks, Jr., Robert Loewenberg, Douglas Feith, David Wurmser, and Meyrav Wurmser.[2] . . .

      SOURCE – http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Clean_Break:_A_New_Strategy_for_Securing_the_Realm

      AND FROM Free Online Dictionary:
      realm (rlm)
      1. A community or territory over which a sovereign rules; a kingdom.

      P.P.P.S. The kingdom of Israel or “The Dissociative State of Israel”?
      Dissociation (psychology) – http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dissociation_(psychology)

        1. I believe Congress should make a special exemption by allowing an ‘act of attainder’ against the self described ‘cabal’ of traitors, with ‘corruption of blood’ against descendents and down the bloodline to the 3rd remove.

  7. Fortunately these scoops have turned out to be wrong in the past. There was one last year that suggested an attack was coming by September of 2011. Thank goodness that did not come to pass.

  8. These threats are in the same vein as the sprinklings of Goldman/Spenglerian pixie dust of ‘October surprises,’ which repeatedly failed to materialize. If zealous Zionists know what’s good for them, they will insure these infantile mentalisms will end the same way.

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