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Ben Heine

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Mohammad Said Kalash, "Offering Reconciliation" exhibit (photo: Ilan Amihai)

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Avi Katz

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David Grossman

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Eldrige Street shul

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Israeli and Palestinian boys

from documentary, Promises

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Maurice Sendak's Brundibar set

New Victory Theater (photo: Nan Melville/NYT)

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Daniel Barenboim, West-Eastern Divan Orchestra

Palestinian-Israeli musical ensemble (photo: Kerstin Joensson/AP)

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N.Y.'s klezmer greats celebrate shul rededication (photo: Leo Sorel)

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Joint Appeal for Peace

(Avi Katz)

Joint Appeal for Peace

Ketubah, Ancona, Italy (1772)

(Jewish Theological Seminary library)

Ancona ketubah

Archive for October, 2011

Shalit’s Release

Monday, October 17th, 2011

As I write this, Israeli media ( Al Jazeera and the Guardian too) are offering wall to wall coverage of the release of Gilad Shalit from captivity.  Of course this is a wonderful day for his family and for all Israelis who hoped for this day to arrive for the past five years.  It is also a day that many Palestinian families awaiting their imprisoned loved one have hoped for, some for decades.  I imagine that many Israelis feel ambivalent about today’s proceedings, because while Shalit has been freed, over one thousand Palestinian prisoners who shed Israeli blood will also be released.  Who cannot be shocked to see once again, the heinous image of a Palestinian raising his blood-soaked hands which have just murdered an Israeli reserve soldier.  This man will be freed too, though if I were him I’d watch my back, as Israel’s former IDF chief rabbi has virtually encouraged the families of terror victims to take personal revenge  It also seems possible if not likely that the IDF or Shabak would take revenge as well on those guilty of the most heinous crimes.

But what’s missing from this picture?  The fact that Israel, thanks to its superior military power, can apprehend those who kill its soldiers and civilians, throw them in jail and then release them if it chooses.  Palestine has no such power to arrest Israeli settlers and soldiers who’ve killed Palestinian civilians.  And until now, no international tribunal has been willing to do this either.  There are as many or more Israelis with Palestinian blood on their hands as there are Palestinians with Israeli blood.  The former, however, are not held accountable.

I’m also struck by the coverage offered of the Shalit exchange and the proposed exchange for Israeli-American Ilan Grapel, which I reported here a week ago and Ethan Bronner has just now decided is newsworthy.  The western media spills hundreds of gallons of ink on two Israeli prisoners, while offering scant if any coverage of the Palestinian or Egyptian prisoners for whom they will be exchanged.  Not to mention that many of the 4,000 Palestinian prisoners who will not be freed are in the 22nd day of a hunger strike in Israeli prisons to protest the horrific conditions under which they are held.  The hard-line Likud right tightened already-stringent living conditions for these prisoners using the rationale that if Gilad Shalit was suffering so would they.  Now that Shalit is freed do you think Israel will relax these draconian measures?  Not likely.

UPDATE: The hunger strike ended tonight.  Arab media reports that as part of the Shalit deal Israel agreed to upgrade living conditions for the prisoners.

The obsession with two Israeli prisoners to the exclusion of all else further displays the ethnocentrism of the world media.  We care about Israelis facing such predicaments.  Arabs, not so much.  We care about Israeli victims of Palestinian terror.  Palestinian victims of Israeli terror, not so much.  If we care about terror and its victims, as we should, we must care about victims on both sides.

Why the reams of interviews with Shalit’s father, mother, grandfather, and every other Israeli Tom, Dick, and Harry, but hardly a word about the families of Palestinian victims?  A double standard perhaps?

All of the above question of course begs the real question, which is how to stop the endless cycle of kidnapping/captures and prisoner releases.  The answer of course is for both sides to work out their differences and negotiate an end to the conflict.  Until that happens, anyone who kids themselves that they can figure out how to govern this process fairly with rules, or prevent it from happening in future by arguing IDF soldiers should detonate hand grenades to kill themselves and their captors is delusional.

Sidebar: interesting that Turkey has announced it will accept some of the deported Palestinian prisoners.

Haaretz Columnist: Bibi, Barak No Mandate for Iran Attack

Monday, October 17th, 2011

Haaretz columnist Sefi Rachlevsky raises the quaint notion (in a country which honors democratic principle in the breach, if at all) that plans, of which many reputable Israeli military and security correspondents have begun writing in the past weeks, for an Israeli attack on Iran do not have a mandate, not just in Israel, but in America as well.  Rachlevsky insists that the generals and intelligence chiefs man battle stations and do their duty to stop this disaster in the making:

Each and every opponent of an attack within the defense establishment must therefore make it clear to the duo [Barak and Bibi] that they can’t behave like this. It is not possible to endanger an entire nation for years via an underhanded, opportunistic maneuver – not in the dead of night; not by hastily convincing a few elderly rabbis; not in defiance of the entire defense establishment; not in defiance of all the past and present heads of the Israel Defense Forces, the Mossad, the Shin Bet security service, Military Intelligence and the Atomic Energy Commission; not in defiance of the United States; not when Ahmadinejad and his gang of messianists are growing weaker; not when there are signs of American measures in the wake of Iran’s attempt to assassinate the Saudi ambassador to Washington and the International Atomic Energy Agency’s impending severe report; not when the clouds are about to burst [reference to oncoming winter, during which weather conditions prevent an Israeli attack]. Just plain no.

There are things that even a duo, the one-half of which is brave and talented [a back-handed compliment to Barak], can’t do on its own. They have no mandate. Not now. Not like this.

As with many liberal Israelis, I’m afraid he puts too much stock in Israeli democracy and the decency of the Israeli electorate.  Indeed, polls show that a majority of Israelis (and Americans as well) believe an attack on Iran is inevitable.  If you asked them whether they supported an attack right now, the numbers might decline.  But until there are Israelis in body bags (sorry to put this so baldly) Israel will be just fine with an attack on Iran.  They’ll think of how clean and efficient the IDF attack on the so-called Syrian reactor was and expect the same from an Iran attack.  Not realizing of course that hitting Syria is far different from hitting Iran.  Starting wars is easy for Israel.  It’s peace that’s hard.

Seymour Hersh has written extensively about fierce opposition within the U.S. military to a U.S. attack on Iran.  This apparently went a long way toward persuading George Bush that he should not allow him number 1 male rogue, Dick Cheney, lead him into war.  I’m not sure whether the Israeli military has the will, spine, or strength to stare down a Bibi bent on raising David’s sword against the Iranian Goliath (never mind that this David has up to 400 nuclear warheads at his disposal!).

Though I’d prefer not to believe this, I believe that George Bush exerted a much firmer restraining hand on Ehud Olmert than Barack Obama can on Bibi Netanyahu.  First, Olmert was more pragmatic than Bibi and willing to be restrained.  Second, Bush had a far more favorable relationship with Israel than Obama (whether portrayed rightly or wrong).  Third, Obama seems to lack any spine or convictions on any matter related to Israel or indeed the entire Middle East.  Put frankly, if Bibi launched the F-16s I don’t think Obama could or would stop him.  I never thought I’d say this and didn’t believe it for the longest time.  I hope, of course, that I am wrong.  But fear I am not.

We now have U.S. senators like Dianne Feinstein stating publicly (on FoxNews no less) that we’re on a “collision course” with Iran and that it will be “only a matter of time,” before we crack heads.  From there it’s not such a leap to imagining the Obama administration might actually try to spin an Iran attack as it did the Bin Laden and Al-Awlaki assassinations–as bold strikes against world terror.  After all, it’s not hard, in the minds of many Americans to turn the Iranian nuclear program into a dastardly attempt to turn the Middle East into a radioactive wasteland ruled over by crazy, messianic Iranian mullahs.

Besieged Former UK Defense Minister’s Buddy Funded by Pro-Israel Lobby, Linked to Mossad

Sunday, October 16th, 2011

Not to be outdone by the ludicrous goings-on in Washington DC, where our own Justice Department has tried to turn a drug-dealing, wife abusing, failed businessman into an Iranian Terrorist Mastermind, the Brits are trying to best us.  The Tory government’s recently resigned defense minister, Liam Fox, left in disgrace after he was deeply implicated in a pay for play scandal involving a best friend, Adam Werrity, who jet-setted around the world with Fox and freelanced an independent foreign and defense policy that set official government figures on edge.

adam werrity liam fox

Adam Werrity and Liam Fox (R)

I’d followed this scandal peripherally until I started hearing more about Werrity’s doings, and then I really took notice.  Werrity, it appears, held views roughly similar to Michael Ledeen and cultivated wealthy pro-Israel donors who funded his travels to Iran, Israel and other locales where, among other things, he plotted the overthrow of the Iranian regime:

The revelation that the man who had unrestricted access to Mr Fox while he was serving in David Cameron’s Cabinet was at the same time attempting to unseat the Iranian President will fuel alarm in the Foreign Office that he was pursuing a freelance foreign policy and acting as a “rogue operator”.

In order to be a neocon version of James Bond, Werrity required an extensive bankroll to fund his stays at first class luxury hotels.  He found funding to the tune of hundred of thousands of pounds from some of the most well-known Tory and pro-Israel fatcats in Britain including the chair of the UK equivalent of Aipac (called Bicom):

The Finnish billionaire Chaim “Poju” Zabludowicz, who has given the Tories more than £100,000, was also named as a Pargav donor, via his company, Tamares Real Estate. Mr Zabludowicz shares Mr Fox’s pro-Israel opinions and chairs the pro-Israel lobbying group Bicom. He was yesterday said to be “extremely disappointed” to discover the truth about how his money was used.

Another key Werrity donor and central figure in Bicom was Michael Hintze:

Most significant of all was the involvement of Michael Hintze, the billionaire fund manager who has given the Tories more than £1.4m – including individual donations to Mr Fox, George Osborne and Boris Johnson. He had already been brought under scrutiny after it was revealed that Mr Werritty worked from a desk at the offices of Mr Hintze’s hedge fund, CQS – and that Mr Hintze had donated £29,000 to Atlantic Bridge.

Werrity was cozy not just with the UK pro-Israel lobby, but with figures likely from the Mossad as well:

Mr Werritty, 33, has been debriefed by MI6 about his travels and is so highly regarded by the Israeli intelligence service Mossad – who thought he was Mr Fox’s chief of staff – that he was able to arrange meetings at the highest levels of the Israeli government, multiple sources have told The IoS.

Werrity brought Fox to a dinner meeting with the British ambassador to Israel during a Herzlyia security conference, at which they met Israeli political figures including likely Mossad operatives.  The Israelis were interested in Werrity’s travels to Iran, where he met with opposition figures and likely plotted his regime change agenda.  All of this, of course, allowed the Iranians to claim, falsely we believed, during the post-election riots that British agents were plotting to overthrow the government.  Turns out it likely was true.  Though the Iranians may not have known that Werrity was doing so unofficially, not on behalf of the British government.  But how can you blame the Iranians for not understanding the difference when it appears neither the Israelis, nor lots of others did either.  In fact, an Israeli is quoted as saying he understood Werrity was Fox’s chief of staff.

Here is what official Britain thought of Werrity’s doings:

One Whitehall source was scathing of Mr Werritty. The source said: “Ask yourself what he was doing there. It’s regime change but only in his own mind. I can’t think of anything more stupid, wandering round Iran flying the British flag. Does he really think the answer to Iran’s nuclear ambitions – which we all want to resolve – is to have a bunch of people encouraging the opposition there in that way? We do have a responsibility to those people, and anything that’s done like that has to have government approval, which he doesn’t seem to have had. It’s ridiculous. You are inviting people to believe you have the Government’s resources behind them, and in fact the opposition is likely to be brutally crushed.

Now, what other foreign intelligence agency is plotting regime change?  The Mossad of course.  So the questions arises–just whose interest was Werrity serving when he engaged in all this razzle dazzle and subterfuge?  He appears to suffer from the same illness that afflicts the pro-Israel lobby in the U.S.  They pursue Israel’s interest to the detriment of the interests of their own country, because they don’t see any difference between the two.  Israel’s interests in their eyes become U.S. or UK interests through some miraculous process of transsubstantiation.  Here is how Craig Murray described the problem:

Not only was Werritty being paid to act as an unofficial part of the Defence Secretary’s entourage, the money was coming from people who may have been ready to promote the interests of certain foreign governments, particularly the United States, Israel and Sri Lanka.

…It is plain as a pikestaff that Fox had retained his effective partnership with Werritty in lobbying activities that not only were concerned with Israel and Sri Lanka, but which actively sought to promote the geo-strategic interests of those countries – for money.

…What really was worrying senior officials in the MOD [Ministry of Defense]and Cabinet  Office was the possibility that Fox could be being used as a ‘useful idiot’ by Mossad, Israel’s far-reaching and extremely effective intelligence service.  Key funding sources for Werritty were from the Israeli lobby and a rather obscure commercial intelligence agency.  Might Mossad be pulling Werritty’s strings, with or without his knowledge?

On Friday, two senior Fleet Street journalists also reported hearing similar concerns from other Whitehall officials about possible Israeli intelligence service involvement with Fox and Werritty.   By working closely with an unofficial aide with extraordinary access but no security vetting and murky funding sources, Fox had potentially compromised national security.  That is the real story here.

Senior Likud MK: Key Government Goal, Elimination of Iranian Nuclear Threat

Saturday, October 15th, 2011

MK Carmel Shama eliminate Iran nuclear threat Thanks to an Israeli source pointing me to this provocative Facebook posting by senior Likud MK Carmel Shama HaCohen:

At the beginning of the current government’s term three chief objectives were set: ending the economic crisis, returning Gilad Shalit, and eliminating the Iranian nuclear [program].  We’ve exited the economic crisis for some time, Shalit comes home Tuesday alive and well…

Two outa three ain’t bad.  But this MK is telling his Facebook audience that Bibi’s goin’ for the Trifecta.  The ellipsis after the word “well” says it all.  And in case you have any doubt about the meaning of the word used in Hebrew (chisul) which I’ve translated as “eliminate,” it can also mean “liquidate” or “assassinate.”  You get the idea.

A legitimate question to ask is whether in an Israeli context MK Shama-HaCohen is Michele Bachmann or Chuck Schumer. A trusted Israeli source tells me he’s the real deal who knows whereof he speaks.  He comes out of a high-level intelligence background and chairs the Knesset’s economy committee .  So imagine Chuck Schumer tells you, after Tom Friedman and Chris Mathhews have weighed in in the affirmative, that we’re about to attack Iran. Do you believe him?

Prof. Muhammad Sahimi, an Iranian-American expert on Iran’s nuclear program, has published a telling comment here about the prospect for war. I’ve known him and worked closely with him for two years and never known for him to call himself an “Iranian nationalist.” What is important about this is that a man of peace and science is telling you that when his country is threatened, no matter how much he hates the current ruling clique, he will rally round. In precisely the same way that almost any Jew, even those harshly critical of the Israeli government, would likely rally round if it faced an existential threat (a real one as opposed to Bibi’s imagined ones).

Prof. Sahimi predicts a protracted ten-year war in the event of an Israeli attack with the likelihood of little or no quarter given or offered by either side. Sahimi also warns that such a war will freeze the reform movement and whatever gains it might have made, while it will unify every Iranian (except the MEK) around the hated mullah regime. I can’t think of a worse outcome.

Let’s not forget the impact on Israel. The nascent social justice movement–dead. The left, anti-war, and human rights community, as small as they are–in the deep freeze. The Likud and hard settler-led right–dominating Israeli politics for the next decade at least. Israel will become a nation on permanent war footing. This would be the destruction of my dream for a truly democratic Israel. That couldn’t happen for a generation, unless Israel were defeated and the international community intervened to restore equilibrium and imposed a truly democratic system, and comprehensive peace deal on Israel.

What about the impact on the U.S.? We would become, as the Nixon presidency did during the 1973 War, Israel’s military guarantor. We would be responsible for arming Israel when the tap ran dry. The cluster bombs, bunker busters, F-16s–all from our stockpile. All the bodies stacked up on massive symbolic funeral pyres, would become a reflection on us, on our nation. We would become the enabler of regional war.  Obama magnificent Cairo speech and grand plans for Middle East peace?  Dead as a doornail.  His entire presidency?  Not much more sentient.  Not an enviable position.

The only thing that is eating at me a bit is the question: if you were Bibi or Barak would you telegraph your intentions as they seem to have done? Past Israeli leaders surely wouldn’t have done so. Two answers: either it’s a grudge match and the hatred is so deep that Bibi can’t help gabbing about it to Israeli journos; or the current government with its unwieldy eight member senior ministerial decision-making body, is destined to leak like a sieve.

At any rate, I now believe that war is more likely than not. And the anti-war left must prepare as if war is coming. We should anticipate and begin our organizing for it now.  If/when it comes, we’ll be ready or more ready than were we to be taken by surprise.

Israel and the March to War

Friday, October 14th, 2011
osirak attack

Decal affixed to F-16 that attacked Osirak reactor (nuclear reactor image on left)

Two new pieces from the Israeli media, whose more perceptive journalists are monitoring what I’m beginning to think is a march to war on the part of Bibi Netanyahu and Ehud Barak. Amir Oren writes in Haaretz (one explanation is in order to give context to one phrase below–the medical residents are on strike in Israel for higher wages):

The modus operandi of Netanyahu and Barak shows a willingness to absorb a small loss if they think it will help them attain a great success. The behavior of prime ministers and defense ministers in previous affairs provides telling indications that add up to a clear direction: toward some sort of military adventure.

…Barak and Netanyahu regretted Gabi Ashkenazi’s fourth year as Israel Defense Forces chief of staff, Yuval Diskin’s sixth year as head of the Shin Bet security service, and Meir Dagan’s eighth year as head of the Mossad…Ashkenazi and Dagan made it hard for Netanyahu and Barak to take action against Iran.

…As for the green light from Washington, Netanyahu and Barak’s gamble is especially big. Maybe they think that Barack Obama will show restraint… If the two Israeli ministers are wrong, this is a particularly dangerous illusion. After the statement by U.S. Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta on board his flight to Tel Aviv and again at IDF headquarters – that “coordination” is required against Iran – should Israel take action, it would give an impression that there is such coordination.

…To put it in the terms of which Netanyahu is so fond, he behaved like Chamberlain this week, in trying to depict capitulation as an accomplishment. The day is not far off, Netanyahu believes, when Churchill will emerge from him. Until that happens, he would do well to give in once more, this time to the medical residents. They are needed in the hospitals, in preparation for the “escalation” for which the Shalit deal was prelude.

This follows on themes developed by Alex Fishman in a Yediot story I translated here a few days ago, in which he reported that Bibi was prepared to make concessions on a lesser matter in order to lay the groundwork for a much bigger objective: Iran.

Next up, Ben Caspit, who I’ve also reported on here previously regarding his fears of an Iran attack. Today’s column, while presented as a quasi fairy tale (or is it horror story?), nevertheless warns us of very real dangers of war fast approaching:

There was a strange phenomenon happening over the past few weeks. More and more people, mostly former senior officials and even a few currently serving in security and intelligence services, who are making their way carefully and stealthfully to the light. That is to us, the media.

They meet with us in far-flung places. They whisper. They are afraid. They believe the great anticipated event in the East is approaching. They read and heed the words of Meir Dagan. They hear more words of others which don’t reach the ears of the public (because of the censor repeating the mistakes of 1973 [several major stories predicting the Yom Kippur War were censored in the days leading up to it]).

They cry out for help. They tell of one Benny Gantz, Israel’s chief of staff, alone in the Kirya [Israel's Pentagon], who also needs help.  During the previous term, there were those three giants Ashkenazi, Diskin and Dagan who stopped an earier disaster with their own bodies (in their words).  But the previous term is over.  Now we await the next term.  Ashkenazi, Diskin and Dagan are no more.  Their successors (Gantz, Cohen and Pardo) think as they did.  But they haven’t developed their own authority…They need help.  They’re not persuaded that the pair of Netanyahu-Barak, or more precisely Barak-Netanyahu can realize its dangerous fantasies.  Neither are they persuaded they can’t.  They’re aware how big the bet is, how great the danger.  And some of them believe this isn’t just their imaginations, that Bibi doesn’t fully understand, and that Barak is satisfied playing on his fiddle on high as the city burns below.

I don’t have much to say to these people.

The American defense secretary, Leon Panetta, said it out loud [calling for Israeli restraint], and the people heard during his last visit two weeks ago.  That’s why he came.  Was the message heard in Jerusalem and Tel Aviv?  Not everyone is so sure.  According to the fatalist version, signing the Shalit deal was meant to “clear the table,” because afterward there would be nothing and no one with whom to sign because everything will be burning.  Let’s hope we’re talking about a child’s tale.

There are only two possibilities here: either the increasing mass of serious journalists writing in such a breathless gasps about looming war are right.  Or Bibi and Barak are attempting to psyche out the Iranians so that they’ll do the west’s bidding and compromise about their nuclear program.  Even if number 2 were true, any fool can see it’s not working and the Iranians are not folding.  That leaves us only with number 1.

In circumstances like this you always examine the motives and political leanings of your source.  And I’ve considered that in the case of Alex Fishman, Ben Caspit and Amir Oren.  If they were all hawks clamoring for war; or alternatively if they were all left-wing alarmists warning their readers because they were anti-war, of course I would discount them.  As it is the each represent different political allegiances with Oren on the (center) left, Fishman in the middle and Caspit on the right.  Caspit certainly is known for being right wing and is a close ally of Meir Dagan.  But even if you discount his views (which I don’t in this case), that still leaves you with two other journalists who don’t appear to have any axe to grind.

Some of you may wonder: how could Israel be preparing for the massive effort it would take to attack Iran and we wouldn’t know about it?  I remind you that Israeli censorship would prevent any specific information from being published that would offer any direct confirmation of such preparations.  And reporters know the system well enough that they pre-censor their material, or shape it so that they allude rather than state explicitly information they know won’t pass the censor.  That is why reports like the ones above give me such concern.  The only thing they don’t offer is a smoking gun…or F-16, fueling up for its rendezvous with destiny at Qom or Natanz.

I just consulted a trusted Israeli source, asking over the history of Israel’s wars, what was the media climate that preceded them.  I asked whether there were these mounting, thinly veiled warnings from the media after which war came; or whether wars came on more suddenly, without such media chatter.  S/He told me that Israel’s wars of choice (Cast Lead, Lebanon 1982, etc.) were much more like the current situation.  All of which makes me very, very scared.

I don’t know if Fishman, Oren, Caspit, Dagan and others are right about the oncoming war.  But their views are too sobering NOT to take seriously.  I would rather be wrong and have spoken out, than be right and not have said anything for fear of being wrong.

Iranian Terror Mastermind Likely Wanted Drug Deal, Not Murder

Thursday, October 13th, 2011

Gareth Porter published an important story about the alleged Iran terror plot.  In it he notes that nowhere in the Justice Department criminal complaint does it say that Arbabsiar ever agreed to assassinate anyone.  In fact, it is the DEA agent who repeatedly attempts to introduce and re-introduce the notion of perpetrating an act of terror.  At no point do the charges say the Iranian ever suggested this or agreed to it.

Porter says that what’s much more likely is that the alleged terror suspect was first drawn into the web by the prospect of doing a drug deal:

On May 24, when Arbabsiar first met with the DEA informant he thought was part of a Mexican drug cartel, it was not to hire a hit squad to kill the ambassador. Rather, there is reason to believe that the main purpose was to arrange a deal to sell large amounts of opium from Afghanistan.

…Three Bloomberg reporters, citing a “federal law enforcement official”, wrote that Arbabsiar told the DEA informant he represented Iranians who “controlled drug smuggling and could provide tons of opium”.

In fact, in today’s NY Times a reporter interviewed neighbors who noted that young people entered and exited the suspect’s house at all hours of the day and night.  It made them think that drugs were being dealt there.

The IPS reporter notes that the IRG controls a huge volume of drug trafficking in nearby Afghanistan and that they have begun to ship heroin around the world including to Mexican drug cartels.  It appears that the paid DEA informant, himself a drug dealer, first approached Arbabsiar not about an act of terror, but about a drug deal.  The Iranian was only, as far as the records show, interested in doing a drug deal.  He listened to the tales of the DEA agent only because he was being strung along to believe there was a drug deal in the making:

…The absence of any statement attributed to Arbabsiar imply that the Iranian- American said nothing about assassinating the Saudi ambassador except in response to suggestions by the informant, who was already part of an FBI undercover operation.

…Not a single quote from Arbabsiar shows that he agreed to assassinating the ambassador, much less proposed it, suggest[ing] that he was either non-committal or linking the issue to something else, such as the prospect of a major drug deal with the cartel.

Interestingly, the FBI complaint doesn’t mention any discussion about drugs.  I wonder why?

This is not only entrapment, it is the government lying about the basic nature of the case.  Manssor Arbabsiar appears to be a wannabe Texas drug dealer who had connections holding product via his cousin, who may or may not be affiliated with the IRG.  That the IRG deals in drugs I have no doubt.  But the claim that the IRG plotted to kill the Saudi ambassador or anyone remains about the lamest claim ever to come out of the Obama administration.

I feel a real sense of betrayal regarding Obama.  I expected crap like this from Bush and Cheney.  You knew they were going to cheat and lie to advance their political agenda.  But Obama?  Why?  Why does he need to do this?  What does he gain by this even if half of the charges are true (which I’m convinced they’re not)?  He gets new sanctions against Iran?  Big deal?  Maybe he even uses this to forestall an Israeli attack on Iran.  But why risk a huge black eye if the case goes to s(^t as it appears it will?  Where are those killer political instincts we thought we saw during the presidential election campaign?  Abandoned him, it appears.

1,000 Palestinian Prisoners to Be Freed, 4,200 to Remain

Thursday, October 13th, 2011
palestinian prisoner vigil

Palestinian prisoner vigil (Reuters/Mohammed Salem)

The joy and celebration of 450 Palestinian families and one Israeli are welcome and long overdue.  Their release will be followed by a second of 550 prisoners in a few weeks (Maan has the entire list here).  But we should also spare some words and sympathy for the 4,000 Palestinian prisoners who will be left behind.  There are, of course, the well-known prisoners like Marwan Barghouti and Ahmed Sadaat who Israel refused to free.  But there is one prisoner in particular I want to mention tonight.

He is someone I’ve written about extensively: Dirar Abusisi.  The one the Shabak claims is Hamas’ rocket engineer, the one who supposedly knew where Gilad Shalit was hidden.  Abusisi isn’t going home.  In fact, the best Israel has offered him is a 20 year plea bargain, which so far he’s refused.  In addition, he’s suffering from a severe bout of kidney stones and accompanying high blood pressure according to his brother, Yousef.  Dirar has joined the prisoner hunger strike which is in its 18th day.  You can imagine the immense pain and suffering of having kidney stones while trying to fast.

What’s important about the news that he is on hunger strike is that this further disproves the charges of the Shabak about Abusisi.  Remember they claimed he was the go-to guy for Hamas’ rocket program, the one supposedly creating a military academy so that Hamas could learn from its supposed dismal failures during Operation Cast Lead?  Hamas prisoners in Israeli jails didn’t go on hunger strike because they knew their freedom was at hand and didn’t want to screw things up.  Only Fatah and PFLP prisoners are on strike.  So what does that make Dirar?  He sure ain’t Hamas.  So much for the Shabak’s lies.

No one will lobby for Dirar.  Apparently, he angered Hamas when he refused their approach to recruit him.  His attempt to flee to Ukraine, I believe, caused Hamas to relay word to the Mossad that their chief weapons designer had fled and was available for the taking–which the Mossad did.  But now, Israel realizes it was had.  And Dirar has no one to go to bat for him.  He is an orphan.

Hamas still considers him persona non grata.  Israel may want to get rid of the embarrassment of the episode, but it doesn’t release prisoners who haven’t yet been tried and sentenced.  So that leaves him to rot in an Israeli jail cell as his health continues to deteriorate.  So while 1,001 return to their loved ones for a long-awaited reunion, spare a thought for one who isn’t going home and the six children and wife who won’t get to hug him as he returns.

Obama Weighs in on ‘Facts’ of Alleged Iran Terror Plot

Thursday, October 13th, 2011

I winced when I read in today’s Times that Barack Obama has now staked a bit of his own presidential credibility (diminishing as it is) on supporting the increasingly desperate tale told by his Justice Department about the alleged Iran terror plot.

Mr. Obama insisted that American officials “know that he had direct links, was paid by, and directed by individuals in the Iranian government.”

“Now those facts are there for all to see,” Mr. Obama said. “We would not be bringing forward a case unless we knew exactly how to support all the allegations that are contained in the indictment.”

This guy is not just a lawyer, not just a Harvard trained lawyer, but a constitutional scholar.  He, of all people, should know that accusations are not facts until proven in a court of law, and we’re a LONG way from there.  It’s really shameful for him to use the term at all, and deeply prejudicial to the detainee’s (I almost want to say “victim”) chance for a fair trial.

All I can say is that if Obama’s so sure of the evidence he should release enough of it to allow the public to make its own informed judgment.  If he wishes to hold his cards close to his vest, then he has only himself to blame if people see him, and his attorney general as doddering fools.

The State Department itself is getting into the buffoonish doings.  In an implicit acknowledgement of the comparisons to the plot of the film, Fast and Furious, its spokesperson said this:

“When you look at these details, it seems like something out of a movie,” Ms. Nuland acknowledged in her remarks about the alleged plot. “But as you begin to give more detail on what we knew and when we knew it and how we knew it, it has credibility.”

There’s a reason why it seems like something out of a movie, and quite a bad one at that, unless it was one based on an Elmore Leonard novel.  Because it is one.  Then you’ll notice Nuland posits an imaginary audience (certainly not the American people) which has been offered the information which she claims to know–et voilà–all of a sudden, it has credibility.  How it manages to gain credibility is a mystery, which is why it might make a great Elmore Leonard novel.  The question is, who do we cast as Arbabsiar?  Maybe Travolta or Nicholas Cage or Matt Damon as the hapless boob?  It has promise–as a movie.

Anyone have any movie title ideas?  Keeping with the Fast and Furious concept, perhaps Fast and Delirious?  Or Dumb, Dumber and Eric Holder?

Obama is muttering about sanctions and seems to harbor the delusion that this new development will cause Russian and China to change their tunes and endorse even more punitive sanctions than currently exist.  What it will do is give Putin and Hu Jintao a good laugh, I’m afraid.

Glenn Greenwald notes that Obama administration officials are suggesting that the attempt to kill the Saudi ambassador might be revenge for the killing of three Iranian nuclear scientists.  For them to say this as much as concedes U.S. complicity in those attacks, which have widely been credited to Israel and/or the U.S.  While they might argue that the Iranians have accused the U.S. of involvement–it beggars belief that a nation would attempt a terror attack on foreign soil if it didn’t know for a fact that the victim nation was guilty of an attack against it.

Greenwald also notes the absolute inanity of Iran striking out against the murderers of its scientists by attacking Saudi Arabia.  Why would it do that as opposed to attacking specific U.S. or Israeli interests?  Saudi Arabia certainly had nothing to do with those assassinations.

Which brings up yet another question: if the supposed attack on the Saudi diplomat was a terror attack what does that make the killings of the Iranian scientists?  A terror attack of course. So why isn’t the world clamoring for sanctions against the country almost everyone knows was behind it?  I suppose one might argue that the ambassador is a diplomat and the scientists were accused of helping develop nuclear weapons (though there is no proof of this).  And if you want to go there, what would we say if a German or Japanese agent had assassinated our top nuclear scientists, Edward Teller or J. Robert Oppenheimer, during the Cold War?  Terror is terror is terror.

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