6 thoughts on “As Gaddafi Falls, What Next? – Tikun Olam תיקון עולם إصلاح العالم
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  1. “I recently read that Iran is furious with the Hamas leadership in Damascus because it has withheld support for Assad in his hour of need. In return, Iran has turned off the spigot to the Palestinian Islamist group preventing it from paying salaries in Gaza this month. ”

    You do believe anything “anonymous western diplomats” say – right?

    What a rubish post.

  2. “Assad recently attacked the Palestinian refuge camp in Damascus in a clear message to Hamas that he was unhappy with the retreat from him”

    I think this is a wrong analysis:
    First, the refugee camp is in Latakia, on the coast south of the Turkish border, and the troubles there go back to the beginning of the Syrian uprising. The siege of Latakia started in March when clashes resulting in 12 dead were blamed by the regime on the Palestinians in the camps, accused of “wanting to fuel sectarian strife” in Latakia. (The Ben Ali and Mubarak propaganda of foreign manipulation recycled).
    Ahmed Jibril, the leader of the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine-General Command denied all Palestinian implication.
    On August 13th the regime launched a new attack on Latakia, the Palestinian refugee camps were not the primary targets, but the most vulnerable link and geographically exposed and thousands have fled:
    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W3YqR1_5Doo
    http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/aug/15/syria-palestinians-latakia-assault

    In June there were killing in the Yarmouk refugee camp close to Damascus but these were inter-palestinian and were linked to the anger of families after the Naksa-killings, and were also turned against the PFLP-General Command.

    Syria is not really a stronghold for Hamas-supporters, and historically, the Palestinians there have mostly been supporters of the left-wing factions.

  3. The Israeli government and the anti-Islamic far-right is eager for Libya to lapse into chaos.

    Gaddaffi, as far as Israel was concerned wasn’t a serious threat.

    His vision of Middle East peace comprised of a one state solution, rather than the two state one. He said it should be called “Israstine” with equal rights for all.

    It is also important that the Muslim Brotherhood not take sole control of the country, since that too would play into the hands of Israel’s extreme right.

    Why should it? After all they want a theocracy too 🙂

    They’ll have a firmer grounding if there are more theocracies in the region, than more democracies.

  4. “A new regime would also likely reject Assad’s alliance with Iran”

    Maybe. But while Israel continues to hold on to the Golan, Damascus will continue to have a strong incentive to enter into anti-Israeli alliances, regardless of who is in power.

    ” I don’t believe the Syrian dictator wanted a settlement of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict until Israel gave him back the Golan. So Assad was an obstacle to I-P peace.”

    Another way of looking at this is that Israel’s 44-year illegal occupation of the Golan is an obstacle to regional peace.

  5. The fall of a political regime is always a good time to even up old scores, rape/rob/torture/kill those one is bigoted against, rob banks, plunder museums/offices, etc. Just like after the Falls of Baghdad, Berlin, Nanjing, etc.! Expect lots of these things in Libya. It’d be worse in Syria.

    Zhu Bajie, melancholy historian

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