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Posts Tagged ‘terror’

Is Israel’s Iranophobia Virus Contagious?

Saturday, February 4th, 2012
iran revolutionary guard

Coming soon to a synagogue or embassy near you...the IRG bogeyman (AFP/Getty)

ABC News today publishes a leaked (from whom?) memo drafted by Israeli intelligence sources warning of terror threats against Israeli government sites in this country and American Jewish communal facilities from the dreaded “Iran menace.”  If you heard this story on the TV news it would sound persuasive, until you began to examine the assumptions behind it.  It begins by declaring the alleged assassination plot against the Saudi ambassador as a given.  This passage quotes a federal official mouthing the Israeli line:

“The thwarted assassination plot of a Saudi official in Washington, D.C., a couple of months ago was an important data point,” added the official, “in that it showed at least parts of the Iranian establishment were aware of the intended event and were not concerned about inevitable collateral damage to U.S. citizens had they carried out an assassination plot on American soil.”

“That was an eye opener, showing that they did not care about any collateral damage,” the federal official said.

Note the vagueness of “parts of the Iranian establishment were aware of the…event.”  This doesn’t even place direct blame for the alleged plot on Iranian leaders themselves.  It only says they were aware of it and didn’t object.  What’s also ironic about this is that I haven’t seen any U.S. expression of concern for those Iranians murdered as “collateral damage” from Mossad and MEK terror attacks inside Iran. Perhaps when we do then we can expect Iranians to care about collateral damage to citizens in this country from acts of terror no one has even been able to prove were planned.

So from a single alleged planned act of terror, Israel and U.S. intelligence operatives have spun a narrative of ongoing threat from the Iranians.  They could strike anywhere at any time.  They’re out there, out to get us: New York City, Los Angeles, Boston, Chicago.  Wherever there are Jews there is danger.  We have to be vigilant.  Because they hate us.  They all hate us.  We have to put the threat of terror in the front of our minds.  We have to become paranoid, as paranoid as the Israeli and U.S. intelligence officials are postulated this nightmare scenario:

Israeli facilities in North America — and around the world — are on high alert, according to an internal security document obtained by ABC News that predicted the threat from Iran against Jewish targets will increase.

“We predict that the threat on our sites around the world will increase … on both our guarded sites and ‘soft’ sites,” stated a letter circulated by the head of security for the Consul General for the Mid-Atlantic States. Guarded sites refers to government facilities like embassies and consulates, while ‘soft sites’ means Jewish synagogues, and schools, as well as community centers like the one hit by a terrorist bombing in Buenos Aires in 1994 that killed 85 people.

The head of Shin Bet, Israel’s internal security service, told an audience at a closed forum in Tel Aviv recently that Iran is trying to hit Israeli targets…

Local and regional law enforcement and intelligence officials in U.S. and Canadian cities, including New York, Los Angeles, Philadelphia, and Toronto have been monitoring the situation closely for several weeks, and have stepped up patrols at Israeli government locations and Jewish cultural and religious institutions. They have issued awareness bulletins reminding officers to stay vigilant.

Federal officials in those cities told ABC News that they have also increased their efforts to watch for any threat stream pointing to an imminent attack on either Israeli facilities, Jewish cultural or religious institutions or other “soft targets.”

So because some mid-level Israeli security operative spins a tale of dread, every American Jew must start looking under his bed for hidden Iranian agents out to get him (or her). If you parse this carefully, there is absolutely no proven threat mentioned, no chatter in the terror networks, no identifiable enemy operatives. Just a load of paranoia from a bunch of spooks telling us the Iranian bogeymen are out there, somewhere, waiting, just waiting. For what?

So you want proof that there’s a threat? Here it is:

“In the past few weeks, there has been an escalation in threats against Israeli and Jewish targets around the world,” one regional document noted. “Open source has reported many demonstrations against Israel are expected to be concentrated on Israeli embassies and consulates. Such demonstrations have occurred internationally as well as domestically. These demonstrations could potentially turn violent at local synagogues, restaurants, the Israeli Embassy and other Israeli sites. … Law enforcement should be vigilant when making periodic checks at all Jewish facilities.

So get this: the “threat” is from protesters at Israeli embassies and consulates.  Why?  How?  Doesn’t say.  Are there Iranian agents who’ve infiltrated these protests?  And what protests?  I haven’t heard of any to speak of.  Are Iranians demonstrating at Israeli embassies over threats against Iran?  Hadn’t heard of that.  But the end result here is Israel is setting the stage for its own attack on Iran leading to such protests by Iranians and others who oppose violence, and these protesters will be seen as potential terrorist saboteurs out to get Israelis or any American Jew they can find.

What the hell will the Israelis do with all the American Jews who will be out there on the picket lines?  Perhaps we’ll be double agents betraying our people and nation by siding with the enemy.  It would suit the absurdist ultranationalist narrative represented by Netanyahu and the Israeli war party.  I’ve got news for them.  They can attempt to insinuate their own fears into American society and use us for their own interests in ginning up hate against Iran.  But I’m not buying it.  I’m not going to be party to the epidemic of war fever they’re trying to inject into the body politic.  I’m going to stay calm and rational.  If they want to cry wolf, let them.  The rest of us will be here to point out the hysteria and unfounded claims of Bibi’s hawkmeisters.

There’s another delightful (in a twisted sort of way) irony in the following:

…The Israeli bulletin warned that Israel’s own passports might be used by terrorists intent on carrying out a plot.

Now isn’t that cute.  Israeli caused a massive international scandal by cloning passports of its own citizens for use by the Dubai assassins who murdered Mahmoud al-Mabouh.  The Mossad violated the sovereignty of its own allies in the process.  Now they have the chutzpah to tell us that they accuse Iran of planning to do the same thing.  As if there’s no justice in that, and the whole world should be shocked, I say shocked that Iran might do to Israelis what Israel itself did to them by putting them in harm’s way.

Here’s the final coup de grâce of this charade:

…We operate according to the information that Iran and Hezbollah are working hard and with great intensity to release a ‘quality’ attack against Israeli/Jewish sites around the world.

Don’t you just love the use of that word “quality?”  It made me want to throw up.  Of course Iran may be “working hard” to attack Israel and its interests.  If enemy leaders and generals threatened your country virtually every day with violent attack, you’d plan the same thing as a response to an attack.  Aside from the purported Saudi assassination plot, Iran has shown no willingness to engage in any act of terror against Israeli or Jewish interests.  And I predict they likely will not do so until and unless Israel attacks.  But I invite Israeli intelligence officials to offer real evidence, instead of rumor-and fear-mongering.

Mossad Agents Pose as CIA to Recruit Iranian Terror Agents

Friday, January 13th, 2012
jundallah leader rigi

Jundallah leader Abdolmalek Riggi attended meeting in Morocco he believed was with NATO officials, who were either CIA, or more probably Mossad agents

Foreign Policy’s Mark Perry reports the astonishing story that Mossad agents posing as CIA operatives recruited Iranian Sunni dissidents affiliated with Jundallah to engage in acts of terror inside Iran

Israeli Mossad officers recruited operatives belonging to the terrorist group Jundallah by passing themselves off as American agents. According to two U.S. intelligence officials, the Israelis, flush with American dollars and toting U.S. passports, posed as CIA officers in recruiting Jundallah operatives — what is commonly referred to as a “false flag” operation.

…The [CIA] memos also detail…field reports saying that Israel’s recruiting activities occurred under the nose of U.S. intelligence officers, most notably in London, the capital of one of Israel’s ostensible allies, where Mossad officers posing as CIA operatives met with Jundallah officials.

…They were stunned by the brazenness of the Mossad’s efforts.

“It’s amazing what the Israelis thought they could get away with,” the intelligence officer said. “Their recruitment activities were nearly in the open. They apparently didn’t give a damn what we thought.”

I’ve been reporting for some time that the Mossad has been doing this with the MEK, which has assassinated Iranian scientists and bombed Iranian missile bases. Le Figaro also wrote that Israeli intelligence recruited Iranian Kurds inside Iraqi Kurdistan to engage in sabotage within Iran. Now, Perry’s story confirms an Israeli anti-Iran terror Trifecta.

I published a post here some time ago based on a Wikileaks cable in which Meir Dagan confirmed to Nicholas Burns the broad outlines of the above plan. The Israelis operate under the mistaken impression that by playing on the natural internal dissension among ethnic groups inside that country that it can subvert both Iranian stability and the current regime.

This is similar to the CIA’s tactics throughout the 1960s and later in Cuba, by which we tried mightily to bring down Castro through invasion, assassination attempts, and airline bombings. You can see how well that turned out.

I think it can and should be argued that such outside intervention by nations already viewed by the native population as hostile to their country’s interests, only serve to reinforce internal cohesion. They rally citizens around a repressive regime by focussing fear and paranoia on an external enemy. This is why it would a terrible idea for the U.S. to be seen to intervene publicly on behalf of the Iranian Green Movement and why the current black ops war against Iran fueled by both the U.S. (indirectly, see Stuxnet) is an even worse idea. It’s a typically ham-handed operation displaying all the subtlety of a jack hammer on a New York street.

I haven’t even begun to talk about the outrageous abuse of the U.S.-Israel alliance in this Jundallah operation. The Israelis had to adopt a false flag identity because they’re hated in the Arab world even more than Americans. So Israel likely recruited Israeli-Americans or native Israelis with excellent language skills in American English to pose as CIA agents. As an American-Jew, this aspect of the operation makes my blood boil. Americans in Israel already have a reputation of being settler hardliners, if not outright Jewish terrorists. Do we need to become known as well for betraying our American roots by becoming fake CIA spies in the Arab world?

What particularly upset the CIA operatives who discovered this Mossad dirty game was that the Israelis essentially didn’t care. They pursued their own interests without any sense that they needed to have any concern for the betrayal our own national interest:

“The report sparked White House concerns that Israel’s program was putting Americans at risk,” the intelligence officer told me. “There’s no question that the U.S. has cooperated with Israel in intelligence-gathering operations against the Iranians, but this was different. No matter what anyone thinks, we’re not in the business of assassinating Iranian officials or killing Iranian civilians.”

…[Under] Obama…U.S. intelligence services have received clearance to cooperate with Israel on a number of classified intelligence-gathering operations focused on Iran’s nuclear program, according to a currently serving officer. These operations are highly technical in nature and do not involve covert actions targeting Iran’s infrastructure or political or military leadership.

“We don’t do bang and boom,” a recently retired intelligence officer said. “And we don’t do political assassinations.”

…Israel’s activities jeopardized the administration’s fragile relationship with Pakistan, which was coming under intense pressure from Iran to crack down on Jundallah. It also undermined U.S. claims that it would never fight terror with terror, and invited attacks in kind on U.S. personnel.

Though President Bush, when he discovered the Israeli operation was enraged, there was enough pro-Israel sentiment within the administration (Cheney, Feith, Wurmser, Perle, Wolfowitz, et al.) that the U.S. never confronted Israel about it:

In the end,” the officer noted, “it was just easier to do nothing than to, you know, rock the boat.” Even so, at least for a short time, this same officer noted, the Mossad operation sparked a divisive debate among Bush’s national security team, pitting those who wondered “just whose side these guys [in Israel] are on” against those who argued that “the enemy of my enemy is my friend.”

Another element to consider in the Mossad strategy behind this operation is that getting the U.S. associated with it, even in a fraudulent way would advance their interest. They could then argue, you’re already implicated, why not just take the plunge and go all the way on this? There is a slippery slope in military-intelligence activities. Once you go part way, it’s that much easier to persuade someone to go all in. Perry’s article makes clear that Israeli intelligence made such proposals regularly to their U.S. counterparts who, if they can be believed, uniformly rejected them.

One thing that you have to learn about Israel is that it is like the school bully in pursuing it’s interests. If you don’t confront it aggressively when such red lines are crossed, Israel understands from this that silence equals consent. From there, they will further test the limits by pushing that red line as far as they can in their direction.

One of the few times the U.S. pushed back was in the case of Jonathan Pollard, when the egregiousness of the betrayal of U.S. intelligence secrets to Israel and the transfer of much of that data to the Soviet Union caused a severe backlash inside the Reagan administration. Neither Bush nor Obama seem to have the spine of Reagan officials like Caspar Weinberger or George Schultz, who lobbied successfully for severe punishment of Pollard. While Pollard is still in prison, do you think it would prevent Israel from recruiting another Pollard from within U.S. intelligence if it could?

Final note: I just realized that some particularly astute Foreign Policy editor displayed an image with Perry’s story of Israeli soldiers standing before an Israeli flag.  If you combine this image with the article title, False Flag, the editor made a particularly acute visual pun.

Fatah Source Claims Meshal Ordered End to Terror Attacks Against Israel

Thursday, December 29th, 2011

Haaretz journalists are reporting a story (Hebrew) that a source within Fatah has informed them that Khaled Meshal has ordered Hamas’ military wing to cease terror attacks against Israel both from Gaza and the West Bank.  The supposed order came in the context of unity talks held between Mahmoud Abbas and Meshal in Egypt recently.

If the report is true, it would be a very important development.  But I’m not completely convinced.  First note that one of the two reporters is Avi Issacharoff, whose accuracy is sometimes wanting.  Second, the source is from Fatah, which is a sworn enemy of Hamas.  It wouldn’t surprise me if this was leaked by Fatah in order to force Hamas to deny it.  Such a denial would further diminish that group’s stature as an acceptable, reliable partner for future peace talks.  But this is the skeptical side of me speaking.  I’d like to be proven wrong on this one.  If it is true it could mean that Hamas is traveling farther down the road to pragmatism and realism noted in Joel Greenberg’s Washington Post story I posted about a few days ago.

The Haaretz reporters also note a statement by Meshal that Hamas is willing to join Fatah in accepting a Palestinian state within 1967 borders, though it will not recognize Israeli explicitly at this point.  The Hamas chief also noted that this decision was endorsed by the group’s Politburo including all of its senior leaders.  Add to that the announcement following the Cairo talks that Hamas intends to join the PLO, and you have further proof that Hamas is moving in a more pragmatic direction.

The story goes on to speculate that there may be elements within Hamas in Gaza who refuse to accept the directive and who will attempt to mount terror attacks in order to torpedo it.  Though this sounds more like the speculation of Israeli intelligence officials who seek to demean or diminish any change in Hamas policy.  That group generally shows enormous discipline in adhering to positions adopted by its leadership, and I doubt there could be the same kind of fragmentation and dysfunction seen within Fatah in the past.

According to the Haaretz report, Israeli intelligence sources are continuing to misplay Hamas by claiming they know nothing of any substantive change in the group’s ideological or strategic direction.  If there is any change, they claim, it is simply in its tactics and nothing deeper.  This is of a piece with both Israeli and U.S. attempts to discredit Hamas as a legitimate player in Palestinian politics.  This is precisely what they both did during the Arab Spring when popular uprisings shattered the foundations of some of the formerly most stable regimes, ones that Israel and the U.S. relied on to further their own interests in the region.  Both nations had better recalibrate their analysis or they’ll be left looking foolish and irrelevant when the Palestinians announce they’ve completed a unity agreement, presuming this does happen.

Major Explosion at Iranian Steel Plant, Israeli Source Calls It Work of Mossad, MEK

Monday, December 12th, 2011


An Iranian steel plant near Yazd, whose dedication was attended by Mahmoud Ahmadinejad only six months ago, suffered a major explosion that killed seven, including “foreign nationals” as reported in Iranian media and Haaretz.  The plant was built by Russia and is reported to be dedicated to military production. The foreign nationals who died may’ve been involved in the construction of the facility or the industrial processes carried out there. Haaretz reports they may’ve been North Koreans, and notes that the factory is reported to include a “closed military zone” whose purpose isn’t clear. All of which makes the following information relevant.

Haaretz reports that western intelligence sources claim that North Korea is supplying Iran and Syria with special types of steel necessary to produce advanced missile designs and upgraded centrifuge equipment:

North Korea has supplied Syria and Iran with a special kind of steel used to upgrading missiles and building centrifuges for uranium enrichment, the German newspaper Die Welt reported over the weekend…The material, called maraging steel…is prohibited to countries under sanctions such as Iran…

Iran is trying to obtain the steel through its clandestine purchasing networks around the world. The steel would enable Tehran to construct modified centrifuges, which would in turn allow it to enrich higher quality uranium at a faster speed.

Haaretz doesn’t connect these stories but Ynet does saying that what Iran claims was an explosion of ammunition caused the damage to the plant.

My Israeli source says the explosion was deliberate sabotage by the Mossad with inside help from the MEK.  Further, he says it was part of a long string of such events planned by Israeli intelligence and that this black ops program will continue. Smadar Perry, a Yediot reporter reports that “experts” have informed her that the explosion was a “deliberate mishap,” though she doesn’t delve into who might be the author (this would certainly be information under military censorship).

Today, Israeli minister Bogie Yaalon, a former IDF chief of staff and known nationalist hardliner offered a particularly bleak foreign press briefing in which he said that Israel did not support the MEK’s U.S. campaign to be removed from the U.S. terror list:

 Israel distanced itself on Monday from efforts by exiled Iranian organisation MEK, which has helped expose Tehran’s controversial nuclear programme, to be removed from the U.S. terrorism blacklist.

The Mujahedin-e-Khalq’s well-funded outreach to the Obama administration has won bipartisan support in Washington at a time of widespread speculation that Israel and Western allies are stepping up sabotage in Iran, possibly using local dissidents.

Asked during a briefing for foreign reporters whether Israel backed the MEK’s campaign, Vice Prime Minister Moshe Yaalon said: “No. We don’t consider it an asset, and we are not interfering in the internal affairs of Iran.

I’m trying to ascertain in greater detail what Yaalon said on this subject.  But from what’s written above Yaalon appears to be distancing his country from support of MEK’s attempt to be delisted by the U.S.  Either he’s saying Israel wants nothing to do with the entire issue of MEK including its campaign to be removed.  Or he’s saying Israel doesn’t want MEK delisted with the implication being if their role in terror acts inside Iran were ever exposed, it would embarrass Israel (and it’s U.S. ally).

This string of terror attacks inside Iran should give policymakers in Washington great pause in reviewing the MEK petition.  While the group may’ve stopped attacks against U.S. targets, I believe it is up to its eyeballs in terror attacks inside Iran.  While it may be true that we support such terror attacks (whether the CIA is involved in any way in this campaign remains to be seen), it would look awfully bad for us to clear them of these charges and then find out later that they’re still the terrorists their critics have accused them of being all along.

Yaalon’s other chilling statement concerning Iran was quoted on Dan Williams Twitter feed:

Yaalon says #Iran regime must face choice: “to have the bomb, or to survive.”

This ominous threat points out just how completely divorced the two sides are from each other.  Israel threatens attack and regime change if Iran doesn’t give up its nuclear program.  While Iran sees a potential nuclear weapon as a sure-fire means of protecting it from precisely the sorts of existential threats posed by Israel.  We appear to be continuing on the road to war.

The question is whether this black ops campaign by Israeli intelligence in collaboration with a known international terrorist entity will succeed. That depends on what the goal is: if it is to delay Iran’s progress toward an alleged nuclear weapon, that may succeed. But if it is to have any significant impact on denying Iran this weapon should it determine that is its goal, the answer is that it must fail. Not only will it fail, but when full details of the campaign become known as they likely will in time, it will harm Israel’s reputation to have dallied with tyrannical cultists like MEK.

If the purpose is to lead to a full-scale military attack on Iran by testing the reaction of the world community to the terrorism that precedes it–well, that’s precisely why I write this blog. To raise a voice against any escalation in violence that could lead to far worse violence. This covert campaign against Iran will not succeed and should be opposed by all who seek a real rapprochement between the sides and resolution of the issues around Iran’s nuclear program. I fear however, that Israel believes such a solution is neither possible nor does it want one. Rather, it wishes an all-out confrontation with Iran that will deliver a blow that will sink that nation’s ambitions to be a regional power. The reason Israel seeks this outcome is that it refuses to countenance any competitor threatening its own hegemony.

The U.S., as it so often has during the Obama presidency, stands aside and plays no useful role in lessening tension or negotiating a way out of the crisis. This will lead to terrible damage down the line when the almost inevitable military conflict happens and we have even less options than than we do now to ameliorate the situation.

Danny Ayalon Warns of PA Being Terror Authority, Urges Israel to Cut Off Gaza Water, Power

Sunday, November 27th, 2011

In a move that surely would bring charges of severe violations of international law, Israel’s deputy Führer, er foreign minister, Danny Ayalon, suggested (Hebrew) that if Mahmoud Abbas continues his unity talks with Hamas, that the Palestinian Authority would become the “Terror Authority.”  He also argued that since Hamas, in conducting these talks, was seeking to strengthen the “infrastructure of terror,” Israel may have to severe its own ties to Gaza’s infrastructure, including its water and power.  On top of the siege Israel has imposed since 2006, this would create a humanitarian crisis of immense proportions.  Human beings simply cannot live without water, nor is life much above primitive standards without power.  One would also anticipate it might further reinforce charges that Israel has engaged in war crimes against Gaza during the 2006 war and continues violating international law by imposing immense suffering on the enclave’s 1.5 million inhabitants.

Among Ayalon’s other ‘acute’ observations is that Mahmoud Abbas’ refusal to schedule peace negotiations with Israel at the Quartet’s request marks the PA as the party rejecting peace (he called them “peace refusers”).  He spoke also about relations with Egypt and made the bold–and foolish–claim that peace with Israel would be a national priority no matter which party ruled Egypt.  Apparently, he didn’t hear about the cries during a Muslim Brotherhood rally in an Egyptian mosque last Friday, which weren’t terribly polite (putting it mildly) to Israelis or Jews in general.  But Ayalon did inform us about the unnerving claim, certainly based on compelling evidence which he for some reason couldn’t provide, that Iran’s Ayatollahs are spreading radical Islam inside Egypt and seeking to establish an Islamist regime there.  Given the fierce Sunni-Shiite divide between Egypt and Iran, it’s hard, nay impossible to believe that the Muslim Brotherhood is welcoming Iranian interference in Egypt’s internal affairs.  I tell you, that Ayalon is one smart cookie and so learned in the ways of Islam.  His brilliance never ceases to amaze me.

On a slightly different subject, I just read that in a meeting with Abbas, the Norwegian foreign minister said that Israel’s refusal to transfer $100-million in Palestinian tax payments held by Israel amounted to “waterboarding” Palestine.  A vivid turn of phrase.

 

Former Iranian Official Confirms Mossad Sabotage Behind Missile Blast

Monday, November 14th, 2011
Shahab iii missile

Shahab III missile, of the type which exploded killing 17 IRG personnel including commander of Iran

The Guardian’s Julian Borger quotes a former Iranian government official as conceding that the explosion at an Iranian missile base was the work of the Mossad, news I was the first to report here based on a confidential authoritative Israeli source:

Speaking to the Guardian on condition of anonymity, however, a former director of an Iranian state-run organisation with close links to the regime, said: “I believe that Saturday’s explosion was part of the covert war against Iran, led by Israel.”

The former official compared Saturday’s incident to a similar blast in October 2010 at an IRGC missile base near the city of Khorramabad. “I have information that both these incidents were the work of sabotage by agents of Israel, aimed at halting Iran’s missile programme,” he said.

I note Borger’s report credits Karl Vick’s Time Magazine report based on a western intelligence official (likely American) who also claimed it was Mossad handiwork. But Borger doesn’t credit Tikun Olam as the first source in the world to report this. Based on Julian Assange’s decision to renounce the so-called authorized biography Borger wrote of him, I can see why he might’ve made such a decision. As far as the MSM is concerned, Rodney Dangerfield had it about right: we don’t get no respect.

Another indication that the IRG are lying regarding their contention that the explosion was the result of an accident is the arrest in Iran of Hassan Fathi, a source for a BBC Persia report, who contradicted the official claim that the mishap occurred in an ammunition depot (you may sign a petition here calling for his release). Instead Fathi said it happened at a missile base. Borger reports that the blast involved a Shahab III missile whose redeployment was being overseen by Maj. Gen. Hassan Moqqadam, the senior IRG commander who supervised much of Iran’s overall missile program.

Borger also notes the distinct possibility that Iran will begin affecting its own form of retaliation for such attacks against Israeli and U.S. targets. He also quotes a western expert on the Iranian nuclear program who says killing supposed key figures in Iranian military programs doesn’t do as much harm as the Mossad would like to think:

Michael Elleman, an expert on Iran’s ballistic missile programme at the International Institute for Strategic Studies said he doubted that Moghaddam’s death, accidental or otherwise, would have a decisive impact. “Given the sophisticated and disciplined engineering management structure applied to Iran’s missile efforts, the loss of any one person should result in minimal damage to the overall programme,” he said.

Which brings me back to another theme you’ve read here before, the U.S.-Israel massive campaign of terror against Iran is not a policy. It’s a substitute for a policy. It’s a sign of how desperate and hopeless the state of international affairs is regarding Iran. There is no engagement with Iran, which seems to suit both sides just fine. In the absence of a policy, violence and mischief fill the vacuum. But killing even hundreds of Iranian commanders, scientists, etc. won’t deter Iran from its goals nor will it prevent a nuclear weapon if that is the nation’s mission. If there is any way to do this, it must be through mutual agreement. If there is no chance for that, then there will be an Iranian nuclear weapon (if that is indeed Iran’s goal). The only way to prevent such a development is through a massive military assault on Iran aiming to overthrow the Ayatollahs and institute a so-called democratic, western-backed regime as we did in Iraq. In other words, it ain’t gonna happen.

Only in the wacky world of Israeli politics does a campaign of terror by the nation’s spy works killing scores if not hundreds of Iranians, allow the Israeli political echelon to argue that it doesn’t need to go to war, which would kill hundreds or thousands of times more than the terror operations do.  In a deeply twisted sense, these acts of assassination, sabotage and cyberwarfare become a more moral choice (or at least a less morally objectionable one) than the alternative.  It’s a strange moral calculus: if we kill enough Iranian generals and scientists then we can argue that we’re doing our part against the Iranian madmen, and not have to do even worse.

Last night, Maariv reporter Tal Schneider interviewed me for the paper’s weekly Q&A column (Hebrew), which profiles a newsmaker. Our conversation ran over much of this territory, but also covered the general themes of secrecy, national security, freedom of information, the public’s right to know–all the bread and butter issues of this blog. She did a great job of presenting my ideas to her readers. I’m gratified by the exposure that offered.

I’m befuddled and even a bit angered by Israeli commenters here who ask whether I don’t feel responsible for bringing Iran and Israel that much closer to armed conflict. Not only is this blaming the messenger, it fundamentally misunderstands reality. ISRAEL is the one who’s bringing itself and the region closer to conflict. I didn’t plant that bomb and sabotage that missile. Israel and its MEK henchmen did it (and by the way, in all the coverage, let’s not lose sight of MEK involvement as well–Mossad could not have done this alone). So blaming me shows a misplaced sense of things.

I’m also waiting for apologies from the hordes of “friends of Israel” who swore up and down that this story, my source and I were frauds. I may be waiting for quite a while.

Iran Missile Base Blast: Annals of Israeli Terror Redux

Sunday, November 13th, 2011

Yesterday’s report here based on an authoritative Israeli source, that the explosion which rocked an Iranian Revolutionary Guard missile base and killed one of the IRG’s top commanders, was the work of the Mossad and MEK, received a flurry of attention in the Israeli media.  I was cited by one of Israel’s pre-eminent intelligence correspondents, Ronen Bergman, in the Telegraph, and interviewed for two shows on Channel 10 (5PM news–7 minutes into the video, and Tzinor Layla) and the 6PM news on Channel 2.  While it’s exhilarating to get ones voice into the Israeli mainstream media, it takes a lot out of you when you have to do your interviewing between 3-4AM (due to the 10 hour time difference)!

One result has been a cascade of angry, sometimes menacing comments here from the Israeli audience claiming that my report was bogus, or that I hate Israel, or that I’m fomenting war against the Jewish people.  As to the first, it’s important to note that other independent sources are now coming forward confirming the substance of my source’s claim.  Time Magazine’s Israel correspondent features a boastful “western intelligence source” (cf., American):

For Israeli readers, the coy implication is that their own government was behind Saturday’s massive blast just outside Tehran. It is an assumption a Western intelligence source insists is correct: Mossad — the Israeli agency charged with covert operations — did it. “Don’t believe the Iranians that it was an accident,” the official tells TIME, adding that other sabotage is being planned to impede the Iranian ability to develop and deliver a nuclear weapon. “There are more bullets in the magazine,” the official says.

Former senior Mossad officer, Gad Shimron all but confirms the agency’s involvement in this Channel 10 TV interview (at 11:20 on the video–in Hebrew).

I especially like another objection by the pro-Israel crowd: that this wasn’t an act of terror because you don’t commit terror against a military target.  To which I reply: fine it’s not terror.  Then let’s just call it a naked act of military aggression why don’t we, a casus belli?  That’ll send us to war right now.  So which do you prefer?  Terror or naked act of aggression?  Either one is fine by me.

gen. hassan moqqadam

Senior Iranian Revolutionary Guard commander Hassan Moqqadam killed in likely Israeli bomb blast at Iranian missile base

In Israel, leading politicians are embracing the explosion as something like Divine Providence.  When Ehud Barak was asked for comment he said obliquely, and almost obscenely (my translation is more colloquial than the one offered in the linked article):

May there be many more.

Ronen Bergman further reports today on Hassan Moqaddam, the Iranian general who died in the explosion.  Aside from his key role in the development of the Iranian missile program (which included all those capable of hitting Israel, notably the Shihab III), he had played a key role in the transfer of Iranian weapons to its proxy allies.  He was supposedly a special favorite of Iran’s Ayatollah Khamenei.  Bergman also calls him one of Mahmoud al-Mabouh’s key contacts in arms transfers to Hamas, providing it many of the rockets in its arsenal.  You’d have to have been hibernating for the past half decade not to know that the Palestinian arms dealer met his untimely end at the tip of a Mossad needle in Dubai several years ago.

Further, the Syrian general Muhammad Suleiman, who served the same role of intermediary between Syria and Iran on behalf of Bashar al-Assad, was also mysteriously assassinated several years ago while relaxing at his oceanfront home.  Another major part of his role was to arrange for transfer of Iranian weapons to Hezbollah through Syrian territory.  In other words, the Mossad is systematically eliminating key figures among Iran’s proxy allies who would serve to amplify any Iranian reply to an Israeli attack.

Bergman pointedly notes the only remaining figure alive who served a similar role on behalf of Hezbollah is Hassan Lekis.  This is a pointed indirect warning from Israel’s Mossad to watch his back.  They have his eyes on him.

Nowhere does Bergman explicitly say Mossad killed Moqqadam or inspired the missile base explosion.  Perhaps he doesn’t feel able to say so if he does know due to Israeli military censorship.  But there is a strong subtext here that is: we did it and here’s why we did.

Israeli media reports like Bergman’s tend to recite a litany of achievements of the murdered individual, turning him into a veritable fiend of an enemy.  The implication is that in killing him they have rid the world of yet another Jew killer–and thank God for that.  Bergman cites Iranian eulogies which boast that the Iranian general single-handedly enabled Hezbollah to beat Israel in Lebanon and Hamas to beat Israel during Operation Cast Lead.  Any Israeli reading this will breathe a sigh of relief and harbor the lingering thought: next time they’ll lose to us because they won’t have this monster fighting for them.

No matter how evil the enemy may be (and in my opinion there is little that Iran or any of these dead men did that isn’t done by Israeli generals and Mossad killers), there is absolutely no chance of destroying him or even weakening him through such methods.  For every Moqaddam, there are ten who will take his place.  Yes, some may do their jobs worse than he did his.  But a good number may do it better (eg. Hassan Nasrallah).  And their zeal will be fortified by the memory of their martyred predecessors, just as Jewish zeal is fortified by remembrance of our martyrs.  In other words, this is a zero sum game.  An epic fail.

Just as an aside, I note the outrage that pro-Israel figures express against Hezbollah, blaming it for the bombings of the Israeli embassy and Jewish cultural center in Buenos Aires.  While I will on no account countenance the murder of innocent Jews by such means, it’s important to note that these tragic events occurred shortly after Israel had assassinated Abbas al-Musawi, the Hezbollah leader who preceded Hassan Nasrallah.  IF (and I note that the charges against them are only charges and not yet proven facts) Hezbollah or its Iranian ally were involved, from their point of view (though not mine) they had eminent reason to seek such revenge.

Which brings me to one of my main messages tonight: do not think that Israeli assassinations, bombings, cyberwarfare, etc. are risk-free and bear no price.  There is always a price.  You may have to pay it tomorrow or you may pay it next year.  But you will pay it.  And you don’t know what form that payment may take.  It may be a tiny innocent baby in a stroller.  It may be a cabinet minister.  It may be a lost UN vote.  But pay Israel will.

There are many foolish people in the world like Ehud Barak and Israeli commenters here who cheer these assassinations.  As if the more of them that happen the less dangerous Iran will be.  The less capable of destroying Israel and the Jewish people.  Those who feel this way can only see an unending war to the death between Gog and Magog, in which Israel is the Force of Good and Iran the force of Evil.  This may play well for the Book of Revelations and similar apocalyptic world views.  But it fails in the real world.

UPDATE: I’m proud to say I ate Haaretz’s lunch on this story.  They made the missile base blast their top story today referring to Time’s report (linked above) quoting a “western intelligence source” that Mossad was behind the attack.  When yesterday, they could’ve had an Israeli source telling them the same thing.  But it would’ve meant acknowledging my reporting, which apparently is verboten in the pages of Israel’s so-called quality liberal paper.  This is typically tepid, follow-the-leader stuff, not bold, challenging reporting.  It only hurts them that they shut themselves off from my contributions.  Others lead, they follow.

UPDATE I: My comments in the Update above were based on the English translation of the Haaretz article which I read first.  Israeli friends have sent me the original Hebrew version and it does indeed credit my work in that article (though it calls this blog, Brit Olam!).  So I apologize for my overhasty condemnation.  Instead I guess I blame the editor of the English edition and translator of the article, who thought my contribution wasn’t important enough to include in the English version.

The Guardian’s Julian Borger wrote two stories about the missile blast today and credited Time Magazine’s story (the second one to publish a claim of Mossad involvement) but left my original scoop out of the mix.  The MSM seems to have a congenital disposition to ignore us political bloggers for some strange reason.

Mossad-MEK May Have Bombed Iranian Missile Base, 40 Dead and Wounded

Saturday, November 12th, 2011
iran missile base sabotage blast

Blast at IRG

The face of the Israeli terror machine may have reared its ugly head again in the world. This time it may have produced yet another massive act of sabotage (Hebrew original) at an IRG missile base west of Teheran. During transfer of explosives at the Modarres (other sources say the base is called Sajad) garrison, which houses Shihab 3 (Israel Defense says the site is also responsible for development of the new Shihab 4) and Zelzal surface-to-surface missiles, an explosion ripped apart the base and killed anywhere from 14 to 40 soldiers depending on the source (UPDATE: the official number released by the IRG now is 17), and wounded an equal number, some severely.  Among the dead were a high level IRG officer, Major General Hassan Tehrani Moqaddam (more background here), the director of the IRGC Jihad Self-Sufficiency Organization, which directed base operations. The blast was felt as far away as Teheran, 25 miles distant. Those who experienced the explosion said it felt like an earthquake. Some say there were two explosions.

Ynet raises the possibility that it was a deliberate act of sabotage on not just a missile base, but an intelligence facility. Teheran Bureau says the IRG is telling the Iranian media that the incident was not an act of terror, but purely an industrial accident.  An Iranian who worked at the base for several months and was interviewed by Iranian media discounted the likelihood of an act of sabotage since security at the base was extremely strict.

However, an Israeli source with extensive senior political and military experience provides an exclusive report that it was the work of the Mossad in collaboration with the MEK.  Israeli media is humming with similar reports and Channel 10′s intelligence correspondent went so far as to say, a bit coyly perhaps:

If it was the work of western intelligence it was a high successful and impressive achievement.

It is widely known within intelligence circles that the Israelis use the MEK for varied acts of espionage and terror ranging from fraudulent Iranian memos alleging work on nuclear trigger devices to assassinations of nuclear scientists and bombings of sensitive military installations. A similar act of sabotage happened a little more than a year ago at another IRG missile base which killed nearly 20.  In the murky world of Israel-Iran relations, where it’s often hard to tell the difference between information, misinformation and disinformation, either explanation may be true. But my source has never been wrong so far in the reports he’s offered.

It is, of course, ironic that the same MEK is paying key political players in U.S. life hundreds of thousands of dollars to lobby on behalf of removing it from the Treasury Department terror list. I suppose when a terror group is harming your enemy then it’s no longer a terror group, eh? Certainly if there was another power than the Mossad willing to pay more for them to attack Israel and the U.S., guess who they’d be wreaking havoc on?

To give you an idea of the level of brainwashing Israelis undergo thanks to willing collusion between military correspondents and the intelligence services, this is how the Hebrew Ynet report describes the MEK and its collusion with Mossad and others:

Though the reliability of this report can’t be substantiated, it should be remembered that the Iranian opposition [by this they mean MEK and not the Green movement] fulfills an important role in revealing secret Iranian installations and serves as a pipeline for publication of secret intelligence. There is an assumption that western intelligence services pass on to them intelligence in order to “launder” it and expose it to the world.

An unsuspecting Israeli would find nothing in this passage unduly alarming. But those analysts who’ve followed the various shenanigans and frauds perpetrated by Mossad and MEK in the past understand the truth that is concealed here: that the information fed to MEK is fraudulent. But by laundering and having an ostensibly Iranian group release it, it has more credibility among the world press.

The irony of such acts of terror committed by the Mossad is that they supposedly relieve pressure to attack Iran head on with a military strike to knock out its nuclear targets.

On a related subject, Republican presidential candidate Michele Bachmann (Turner Overdrive), attempting to outdo her rivals in fawning obeisance to Israeli interests, claimed that with Iran’s alleged nuclear ambitions:

The table is being set for worldwide nuclear war against Israel.

Frankly, I don’t know who’s worse, the mystic, megalomaniacs in Tel Aviv plotting a military strike against Teheran or their enablers within the far-right confines of the Republican Party.

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