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Posts Tagged ‘ronen-bergman’

Retiring IDF Chief of Staff Accused of Selling Advanced Military Technology for Personal Gain, Sabotaging Competitor for His Job

Sunday, February 13th, 2011
gaby ashkenazi

Outgoing chief of staff Ashkenazi: the hand that salutes also rakes in cash (UPI/Rita Castelnuovo)

I reported last week (and here) that the Israeli censor had prohibited the naming of the soon to be former (as of tomorrow) IDF chief of staff, Gaby Ashkenazi as the target of a criminal inquiry.  Yesterday, the Israeli media finally named Ashkenazi as the one under investigation.  According to this report, my sources were correct when they noted that he was under investigation for sleazy arms deals arranged while he was director general of the Defense Ministry during the Sharon government.  I also reported that Ashkenazi used his wife’s cell phone to text hundreds of messages to a co-conspirator in a campaign to undermine the candidacy of one of his IDF enemies to succeed him.

I reported earlier that Ehud Barak, the defense minister, is known to have an intense dislike for Ashkenazi.  It was Barak who noted that Ashkenazi was not worthy of having his term as chief of staff extended for “moral failings.”

Among those failings, according to an Israeli source with knowledge of this matter, was a major violation of protocol involving sales of advanced Israeli military technology abroad.  In order to protect it’s technological superiority, Israel always sells the previous generation of weaponry and not the most current and advanced.  Ashkenazi and Harpaz, who were deeply involved in Israeli military sales and purchases, sold some of Israel’s most advanced technology to foreign sources.  And they used military resources to advanced their own corrupt schemes.  Ashkenazi’s son was also involved in the shady stuff making it truly a family affair.

This Israeli report linked above, of course, makes no mention of the fact that Ashkenazi’s name has already been published here as subject of the inquiry.  At the rate my scoops make it into the Israeli media you’d think we were living in the age of the Pony Express instead of the digital age.  Of course, if I know these are things the reporters likely do as well.  They just find themselves unable to break the gag, until they do.  Who knows why (unless of course the gag has been lifted).

The article clarifies that the investigators wanted to wait until Ashkenazi officially stepped down from his position before naming him as a target.  They also wished to wait until he returned from a trip abroad for the same purpose.  This may explain why his name was placed under gag in the first place.  As in many such cases, the article makes no mention of the fact that there was a gag order.

What strikes me as damn stupid about Ashkenazi’s behavior is that he used his wife’s cell phone to conspire with Lt. Col. Harpaz in the creation of a hoax memo claiming that Yoav Galant was engaged in a media campaign to get the chief of staff job.  Why would you involve your wife in a criminal act in such a direct fashion?  When you’re putting yourself in jeopardy why would you do so to your wife as well?  When you remember that Ashkenazi involved his son in his corrupt acts I suppose it’s not hard to understand how he would see every member of his family as a party who could advance his agenda.

What kind of officer is this who would do such a thing not only to the army he’s supposed to lead, but to his own flesh and blood?  And what does it say about the judgement of Israel’s leaders that they would choose such a venal, conniving, self-centered individual to lead its troops into battle?

Yisrael HaYom, better known as Bibiton, reports that two of Israel’s best known journalists, Dan Margalit and Ronen Bergman today published a book, The Pit: the Dark Secrets Behind the Worst Leadership Crisis in IDF History, about Ashkenazi’s corrupt military career and the infighting, petty jealousies and generally dysfunctional nature of the IDF senior command.  If Bibiton is correct, the book may’ve motivated the entire investigation by the Israeli authorities.  Perhaps material they uncovered even initiated the investigation.  Naturally, the IDF itself fought vigorously against publication.

From reading this summary of the book, it dovetails neatly with much of the coverage and substance of what I’ve been writing about the IDF over the past few years.  How can an army led by corrupt, bickering selfish men do anything other than commit atrocities in Lebanon, Gaza and on the Mavi Marmara?  Are we surprised at such military failures when the men leading the forces are failing in the most fundamental way possible to discharge their own duties honestly and competently?  Can we be shocked at the unadulterated lies spouted by the military spokespersons defending IDF conduct when the highest officer echelon too lies with impunity to cover its own ass?

There’s a saying that a country gets the leaders it deserves.  But it gets an officer corps it deserves as well.  This is a nation steeped in the oppression and corruption of Occupation.  How can its army and senior command not reflect the same sort of self-centered venality?

Bergman’s Critique of al-Mabouh Hit in GQ

Sunday, January 9th, 2011

Ronen Bergman has expanded on his article for Yediot of a few weeks ago in a long essay for GQ, which is one of the most comprehensive profiles I’ve read of the Mossad hit on Mahmoud al-Mabouh.  Until now, I don’t believe anyone knew that the Mossad had actually made a prior failed attempt on al-Mabouh’s life also in Dubai.  Further, while many believed the assassination of a Syrian general and confidant of Bashar Assad was the work of the Mossad, Bergman confirms this and reveals that the victim ran the country’s nuclear program.  If true, this offers a hitherto unknown and potent motive for the Mossad to assassinate him.

One of the values of the article is that Bergman describes, in al-Mabouh’s words, one of the operations he carried out in which he and an accomplice killed an IDF soldier.  The Hamas operative describes in cold-blooded detail and with great pride how his partner shot the young boy in the back seat of the car they’d used to pick him up on the highway.  Until now, few people got a real sense of who al-Mabouh was, and he wasn’t a nice guy.  But, when you come right down to it, was al-Mabouh that much different than Dagan himself?  Weren’t they both warriors on behalf of their people?  And aren’t all such warriors fundamentally flawed?

Bergman retells the story of the famous photo hanging in his office, a story which has always troubled me:

Several Mossad operatives who have attended meetings in Dagan’s office describe a ritual that he goes through when preparing a team for a dangerous mission. During the meeting, Dagan points to a large photograph hanging on his office wall of a bearded Jew wrapped in a prayer shawl, kneeling on the ground with his arms in the air. The man’s fists are clenched, and his piercing eyes look straight ahead. Next to him stand two German SS officers, one holding a club and the other a pistol. “This man,” Dagan says, “was my grandfather, Dov Ehrlich.” He then explains that shortly after the photo was taken, on October 5, 1942, his grandfather was murdered by the Nazis along with his family and thousands of other Jews in the small Polish town of Lukow.

“Look at this photograph,” Dagan tells the Caesarea fighters. “This is what must guide us and lead us to act on behalf of the State of Israel. I look at the picture and vow that I will do everything I can to ensure that something like this will never happen again.”

First, I have wondered how the grandchild of a Holocaust victim could ever find a photo of his relative at the precise moment of his execution.  While it is possible, the odds of it happening seem almost infinitesimal.  Rather, the entire enterprise smacks of an actor’s prop, a coach’s pep talk before a big game in which he uses a particularly heart-wrenching story to evoke the emotional response his players will need to succeed in their hour of execution.

I was also troubled, even if the picture was genuine, that the child of a victim would display it in such a public way and exploit the memory of his grandfather in such a way.  If it were me, such trauma would be a deeply personal matter.  I would discuss it, perhaps even use it to motivate others.  But displaying one’s own grandfather the moment before he died?  There is something cold and brutal about it.  Yes, I understand that for Dagan there is nothing more sacred than the mission to safeguard his people; so that exploiting his grandfather’s memory would be the means justifying the end.  But still it’s too much for me to comprehend.  I’d prefer my sorrow to be private, and not ostentatiously displayed to an entire nation as Dagan’s has.

Much of the rest of the article’s content is pretty inside stuff and more interesting to those truly interested in cloak and dagger and how such covert operations are executed.

But towards the end of the piece is where Bergman steps back and analyzes the repercussions of the assassination for the Mossad and Israel.  In contrast to Israeli intelligence analysts when they speak to the domestic audience and sing Meir Dagan‘s praises as Haaretz’s Ari Shavit did on Mabat yesterday, calling him the “greatest James Bond in the world,” Bergman takes a much more measured approach.  And this is where he shines.  He describes the hubris of the Mossad in its planning and execution of the operation:

…The more fundamental errors committed by the team had less to do with cloak-and-dagger disguises than with a kind of arrogance that seems to have pervaded the planning and execution of the mission.

Despite the fact that Dubai is a hostile environment—a distant Arab state with ties to Iran—many details of the mission suggest the Mossad treated it as if they were operating inside a base [friendly] country.

…One of the most serious mistakes made by the planners of the operation—certainly the one that caused the greatest embarrassment to the Mossad and to Israel—involved the use of forged foreign identities…Whenever the Mossad is found out, as has happened from time to time, a major diplomatic scandal erupts.

…What the blown identities of the operatives illustrate more than anything is the now seemingly insurmountable problem posed by twenty-first-century counterespionage systems. False identities and cover stories are no longer any match for well-placed security cameras, effective passport control, and computer software that can almost instantly track communications and financial transactions.

Here is the money passage in the entire piece, which gets at the fundamental flaw underlying not only the Dubai “job,” as Bergman calls it, but the entire premise of the Mossad.  There is also a bombshell below which I don’t believe has been previously exposed:

Why did the Mossad permit things to go so wrong in Dubai? In a word, the answer is leadership. Because Dagan refashioned the Mossad in his own image, and because he drove out anyone who was willing to question his decisions, there was no one in the agency to tell him that the Dubai operation was badly conceived and badly planned. They simply did not believe that a minnow in the world of intelligence services such as Dubai would be any match for Israel’s Caesarea [the name of the top-secret unit from which the assassins emerged] fighters.

As one very senior German intelligence expert told me: “The Israelis’ problem has always been that they underestimate everyone—the Arabs, the Iranians, Hamas. They are always the smartest and think they can hoodwink everyone all the time. A little more respect for the other side—even if you think he is a dumb Arab or a German without imagination—and a little more modesty would have saved us all from this embarrassing entanglement.”

The Dubai fiasco caused a great deal of damage to Israel, to the Mossad, and to its relations with other Western intelligence organizations. It led to unprecedented revelations of Mossad personnel and methods, far more than any previous bungled operation. A number of states who believe that their passports were forged or otherwise misused by the agency have expelled Mossad representatives. The British response in particular was furious. And Israel’s long-standing security-and-intelligence cooperation with Germany has also been dealt a hugely damaging blow.

In early June, the head of the Caesarea unit in the Mossad—who had been considered the leading contender to eventually replace Dagan—offered his resignation. As for Dagan’s future, before Dubai he had hoped that the liquidation of Al-Mabhouh would ensure yet another extension of his tenure as director of the agency. But that has not come to pass…And so the Mossad “with a knife between its teeth” [the term Ariel Sharon used when appointing Dagan to his job] likely is entering another period of confusion and self-doubt.

“There is no doubt Dagan received an organization on the verge of coma and brought it back to its feet,” one Mossad veteran of many years told me…”The problem is that multiplying its volume of activity many times over came with the price of compromising on security protocols. And along with success came hubris. Together, they brought the Dubai debacle. And now, in some areas, his successor will find a Mossad even worse off than Dagan found in 2002.”

When Bergman published a Hebrew version of this story he did not include the information that the director the Caesarea unit had offered his resignation.  But this an important indication that, despite popular opinion within Israel, the operation was a failure as Bergman states.  While Israel was crowing over the success and its apologists around the world and here in the comment threads were trumpeting the fact that Israel had rid the world of a bad guy, within the political leadership another stock taking was occurring.  Someone seems to have heard the massive outcry from Israel’s outraged allies whose citizens were compromised and endangered.

Bergman: Bibi Will Send Israeli Bombers on Their Way [to Iran]

Sunday, December 19th, 2010


More bragging from Mossad sources and their journalist friends in the Israeli media about the proficiency with which they have attacked both Iran’s Revolutionary Guards and its nuclear program.  It’s very hard to know whether this report is part of Israeli intelligence psyops campaign or whether the hints, allusions and claims in this report are correctly attributed to the Mossad (or both).  In some places, the report either spins tales I’ve never heard before, thus making them suspect; or it is downright wrong (e.g. in claiming we don’t know how Stuxnet infected Iranian computers not even connected to the internet).  But despite the breathless, and frankly offensive self-congratulatory tone of the report (e.g. the most recent Teheran assassination was a “parting gift” from outgoing Mossad director, Meir Dagan), along with lots of scary mood music (including the requisite Arabic music), I find some of the material suggestive and worth addressing.

Among the insinuations is that a massive Israeli intelligence campaign against Iran resulted in four major Revolutionary Guard plane crashes in a single year (2003), a 2005 explosion at an Iranian nuclear site, and “disappeared” nuclear scientists.  This Nana report acknowledges claims made here and elsewhere that Ali Reza Asgari was kidnapped by the Mossad in 2007.  It notes that in the same year another Iranian nuclear scientist died of inhaling poison gas.  In 2008, Iran further claimed it had exposed a spy ring run by the Mossad.  It also notes the two other Iranian nuclear scientists assassinated in the past few months in Teheran.  The one scientist who survived these attacks did so, the report trumpets, “by dint of a miracle.”  Part of this campaign was the explosion at the Imam Ali missile base in which tens of military personnel were killed.  The final coup de grâce is Yossi Melman’s claim that Iran reported the Mossad had outfitted squirrels with transmitter chips and located the animals in sensitive areas from which the intelligence agency could monitor these sites.  Melman snickers at the preposterousness of the claim, but also notes that it could be true.

israeli war planes

Ronen Bergman predicts Bibi will send Israeli jets 'on their way' to Teheran

Correspondents interviewed like Ronen Bergman, Melman and former Mossad personnel paint a picture of an Israeli sabotage campaign striking almost at will at Iranian military infrastructure and even the heart of its brain trust.  Allusions are made to Hollywood spy movies like James Bond and claims made that Israel’s derring-do even surpasses them.  Melman points to an Iranian intelligence apparatus allegedly beset by paranoia (with no proof offered of course) ”to the point of ridicule” for years due to these attacks.  A former Mossad operations officer practically brags at Israel’s ability to “turn” key Iranian figures or else “conclude their lives in ways that are unanticipated.”  How’s that for Israeli spy jargon?

There is a suspect claim that Stuxnet is the first computer worm which has caused actual physical damage in the real world.  Perhaps there are others with more experience in these matters who can tell us whether this is a false or true claim.  Further, the TV news story makes a claim I’ve never heard before, the virus was “controlled” from two computers in Malaysia and Denmark “under cover of the websites of local soccer clubs” in those places.  Thousands of other computers throughout the world were hijacked and each new computer strengthened the worm’s capacity to infect and sabotage the Iranian systems.

Another suspect claim is that thousands of Iranian documents fell into the hands of the west in 2002, which convinced the world that Iran was pursuing a nuclear bomb.  In fact, these documents were likely frauds concocted by the Mossad to prove a claim that they wished the world to believe.  The news report makes no mention of the 2007 U.S. National Intelligence Estimate which states “with a high degree of probability” that Iran stopped any WMD program it may have conducted in 2003.

The Nana correspondent notes a meeting exposed in a Wikileaks cable, between Meir Dagan and Bush-era State Department official Nicholas Burns in which Dagan urged the U.S. to join Israel is purusing regime change in Iran.  Dagan declared that one of the ways to do this was to support dissident ethnic minority groups like Jundallah, Beluchis, and Kurds, and political opposition like Mujahadeen e-Khalq.  The report does great damage to the Green Movement by implying that the June Iranian elections almost led to the type of revolution advocated by Dagan (with the unspoken implication that Israel somehow may’ve played a role).   A Mossad source further adds that George Bush allocated $400 million to sabotage the Iranian regime “from within.”  Again, there is a hint that the U.S. may’ve been funding the Iranian opposition.  All of these accusations are ones made by the Iranian authorities themselves at the time.  So either the TV journalist is insinuating that Iran was right, or he’s talking out his rear-end.  Take your pick.

The former Mossad operations officer makes the claim that Iran is so riven by ethnic division that this alone could facilitate the disintegration of the current regime:

This is fertile ground for making a lot of noise [with the implication that the Mossad is facilitating some of the "noise"], and it’s happening.

The TV reporter declares the efforts to topple the Iranian regime are “without precedent.”  Can someone correct me if I’m wrong–I thought most of the world was on the same page and that we weren’t doing regime change.  Did this guy miss the memo or does he know something we don’t?

Ronen Bergman, near the conclusion of the report makes a startling prediction, made more so by the fact of his known closeness to Mossad sources:

If the U.S. and the west does not institute far heavier pressure on Iran [to end its nuclear program or topple the regime], at the end of the day Benjamin Netanyahu will be left with no choice, and despite the deeply troubling consequences of such a process, but to order [Israeli] bombers on their way [to their Iranian targets].

The report closes by noting that Iran’s nuclear program is one of the greatest threats of the 21st century.  They’ve been reading too many Mossad press releases–oh that’s right, Mossad doesn’t do press releases.  I guess it has other ways of insinuating itself and its views into Israeli consciousness.  Frankly, this report seems at least in part a love letter to the incoming Mossad director, Tamir Pardo:  you’ve done well, keep up the good work.

It’s precisely what is wrong with the Israeli approach to Iran.  Israel believes it is capable of doing whatever it wishes and that it will succeed in doing so whatever the odds.  It ascribes to itself almost superpowers to achieve such results.  There is no sense of contemplation or caution or pragmatism in the Israeli approach.  It is all-out hand to hand combat with the adversary regardless of consequences.  Again, it reminds me of Samson in the Philistine temple.  To get his revenge he topples the pillars of the building thus killing himself and everyone in it.  Is that what the world wants?

The rest of the world, especially Barack Obama, will have to understand that Ronen Bergman is no fool.  He knows whereof he speaks.  He’s telling Obama that Bibi will attack Iran.  And what will Obama do about it?  What will he do to prevent it?  Of course, there is always the possibility that Bergman is telling us precisely what the Mossad wants us to hear (and not necessarily what the Israeli government will actually do).  Frankly, it’s hard to know who to believe.  But one thing’s for sure, reports like this full of bravado and serious-sounding nonsense, both reflect Israeli attitudes and highlight the danger they represent to stability in the Middle East and the world.

Bergman on Mossad’s ‘Stupidity, Arrogance’ in Devising Stuxnet

Friday, December 17th, 2010

Ronen Bergman has published a story in Friday’s Yediot Achronot on the Stuxnet worm, one of the few comprehensive reports to have appeared in the Israeli media which, as he notes, has studiously (and curiously) avoided an issue that has enflamed the world media.  Bergman’s reporting on this is very important since he is known to have excellent sources within the security apparatus, while generally maintaining a certain independence and integrity.  And he minces no words in stating baldly (through his sources) that Stuxnet has been a disaster both for the Mossad (he coyly refuses to explicitly name the agency as the source) and western intelligence agencies monitoring and containing Iran’s nuclear efforts.  What’s especially critical about this is that few journalists (except me and several others) until now have specified the price that Stuxnet will exact from both its maker and all intelligence agencies working on this issue.

After noting German security reports on the damage the malware caused to Iran, the reporter also notes:

Concurrently, it [Stuxnet] caused tremendous damage to he who created it [i.e. Israel].  There are those already calling it the “Al-Mabouh of [All] Worms…”

…There can be no doubt that the organization standing behind Stuxnet brought nearer, in a way that can never be undone, the ability to launch similar such attacks [by others] in the future.

Bergman notes an uproar among western intelligence agencies trading accusations and recriminations back and forth about who is the author of the worm:

German intelligence (the BND) warns that if the Mossad planted this unripened worm, it caused great damage to the efforts against Iran.

According to the intelligence correspondent, Stuxnet delayed Iran’s nuclear program by “a few months,” which seems an extraordinary expense to go to for such a small payoff.  Further, Bergman states:

One of the most expert sources on the subject says that the Stuxnet affair is the most central and important (to this point) in the “covert war” conducted by the west against Iran…Whoever [created the worm] did–either through stupidity or arrogance–enormous damage to this effort…While no one was killed or injured and there was no tragedy…we’re speaking about opportunities that are now foreclosed including other operations [that can never be successful given that Iran will now be on guard to protect its security].

In other words, the security weakness that Israel discovered and exploited could have been put to much more effective use.  If you’re going to go to the trouble, why not get a major result instead of a paltry few months delay?

Very pointedly in Bergman’s report you will find no criticism of Stuxnet from Israeli sources. As far as the political/intelligence apparatus it was a triumph that will ring out the career of outgoing Mossad chief, Meir Dagan.  It is a mark of the insularity of Israeli thinking that it pays no notice to the beating it is taking in the international arena for both the al-Mabouh killing and Stuxnet.  I look forward one day to an Israel that joins the nations of the world, is welcomed by them.  An Israel that refuses to engage in such dangerous adventurism.  A nation that is pragmatic and cautious in its dealings both with friends and enemies, but especially the latter.  That day will come.

Mossad Chief Remains Holocaust-Obsessed

Sunday, February 21st, 2010

If anyone needs any further proof that the long shadow of the Holocaust continues to inform some of Israel’s most self-destructive behavior, they have only to read this suggestive story in the Times of London providing inside color from supposed Mossad sources about the run-up to the Dubai assassination.  In it, Uzi Machnaimi describes the motivations that inform Meir Dagan, the bloodthirsty Mossad chief responsible for the Dubai fiasco:

The tone of his directorship is set by a photograph on the wall of his modest office in the Tel Aviv headquarters. It shows an old Jew standing on the edge of a trench. An SS officer is aiming his rifle at the old man’s head.“This old Jew was my grandfather,” Dagan tells visitors. The picture reflects in a nutshell his philosophy of Jewish self-defence for survival. “We should be strong, use our brain, and defend ourselves so that the Holocaust will never be repeated,” he once said.

From what I know of the Holocaust era, I find it extremely difficult to believe that anyone would be able to pinpoint a specific picture that showed their grandfather about to be shot by the SS.  So it seems likely to me that Dagan is using the photo as an archetypal Jewish morality lesson: “You see, this is what we are as a people.  This is what we must ensure never happens again.”  But the fact that Dagan is likely making a fraudulent personal claim in order to dramatize the lesson is instructive: after all he is Mossad chief and one of his stock in trades is deception and fraud for a “higher” national purpose.

But even more importantly, this story shows us how the Holocaust continues to infect Israeli consciousness and contributes to pathological behavior.  If we are to believe Dagan and the Times reporter, he killed al-Mabouh because he was little different than that SS officer holding a gun to his “grandfather’s” head.  You see where this leads?  It leads to every enemy Israel has being no different than the Nazi genocidaires.  It leads to many Israeli critics being labelled Kapo (as I have regularly been) or collaborator with Nazis.

We must finally put a stake through the heart of the Holocaust as justifier of Israeli policy.  This historical event should be precisely this and nothing more.  It must not be allowed to become a template for current or future Israeli behavior.  To the extent it does, Israel will never become a normal nation and always live within a nightmare of its own making.

On a related matter, I was shocked to read that Germany reports that, unlike the other European nations whose passports were cloned fraudulently, an Israeli claiming the name Michael Bodenheimer actually did apply for and receive a genuine German passport.  This “Michael Bodenheimer” assumed the name of a real Israeli Orthodox Jew who studies at a yeshiva and seems entirely incapable of espionage.

This part of the story provides a further disgusting abuse of the Holocaust by the Mossad.  Germany allows former German Jews and their descendants to regain German citizenship under humanitarian provisions of its immigration law as a form of compensation to Jews for the suffering they endured.  So what does the Mossad do?  It exploits this to gain a German passport for a future killer.  Why should Germany continue to be so solicitious of German Jews when its largesse is abused by the Mossad?  This is yet another example of Israel cynically exploiting the Holocaust for partisan political gain.  Whoever within the Mossad thought of doing this act should be prosecuted.

The Sunday Mirror also reports that the UK is convinced that the British passports used in the assassination were secretly copied at Ben Gurion airport by Israeli border police:

Diplomatic sources have told the Sunday Mirror they are convinced officials at Tel Aviv’s Ben Gurion Airport took away and copied the passports of six Britons who unwittingly became involved in the assassination plot.

…A senior British diplomatic source revealed: “We believe the innocent British citizens involved had their passports taken away and copied when they were going through the airport.” The disclosure came during debriefs of the Britons who revealed how they had recently had long waits at Ben Gurion while their passports were taken away for checks.

The hit squad did not alter the names and numbers in the passports, but the photographs were switched.

This again goes to the absolute hubris of the Mossad. Did they believe that these Israeli citizens wouldn’t recall such treatment and recount it as soon as the killing was discovered and traced back to them? Did it even care?

There are also reports of future material that may be in the offing from the Dubai police which sounds tantalizing:

The UAE-based al-Bayan newspaper reported Sunday that according to Tamim, Dubai’s police have additional information which has yet to be released, “especially about diplomatic passports used by some of the criminals in order to enter Dubai.”

Bad enough that Mossad abused individuals and their countries by stealing their identities and passports, but to have done so using diplomatic passports, if this is true, ratchets up the drama and offense to any government so victimized.

Ronen Bergman, an Israeli journalist who has literally written the book on the Mossad, has reported quite acutely on the killing in the Wall Street Journal:

…Did Mabhouh constitute an immediate threat? Was eliminating him worth violating international law and risking the ire of so many states…? No country that faces the threat of foreign terrorism on the scale that Israel does can afford to entirely renounce the use of targeted assassinations, despite the ethical and legal problems that such executions raise. But such acts need to be extremely rare. In the case of Israel, such operations require the explicit approval of the prime minister, and they are authorized only after the political risks are carefully weighed. In the case of Dubai, it seems that this did not occur. Either the risks were not explained to Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu, or he made a serious miscalculation.

Bergman adds an intriguing and tantalizing question which I raised here earlier, that is: given the remarkable achievement on the part of the Dubai police in ferreting out voluminous amounts of documentary evidence of the killing in a very short period of time–could there be another country’s intelligence agency which knew what the Israelis were doing and wanted them to be unmasked?

How did the Dubai police manage all this? Did they have help? For now, it remains a mystery. But in any case, misjudging the ability of the Dubai authorities so spectacularly is evidence of a serious intelligence failure on the part of the organization that sent out the squad.

Here is another tantalizing tidbit from Bergman on the looming transparency of such so-called covert operations in the advanced surveillance age in which we live:

…This past week was the end of an era in undercover operations: It is no longer possible to carry out assassinations without leaving a trace. The Dubai hit squad chose to carry out their mission in a hotel room, no doubt because they believed the setting provided them with the greatest degree of protection. But technology has turned hotels into centers of electronic surveillance, and it is safe to assume that in the future terrorists will regard the comfort of top-of-the-line hotels as safe havens.

In addition to closed circuit TV systems and the ability to track cellphone and computer users, advanced biometric identification systems and online coordination across borders are becoming more and more widespread. Soon it will be much easier to identify and detain suspects in public places such as airports in real time. The technology isn’t quite there yet, but it is close…

These advancements should be welcomed; they make the war on terror a lot more efficient. The problem is that the same technological tools we use to thwart terrorists can also be used against the people whose job it is to stop them.

Of course, what is missing here is Bergman’s sensitivity to the fact that some of those whose job it may be to stop terrorists adopt the latters’ tactics and so become terrorists themselves, albeit of the state variety.  Hard as it may be for Bergman to believe, it may actually be a good thing to prevent all people, including intelligence agencies from engaging in assassinations.

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Ronen Bergman: Mugniyah Assassination and the Price of Vengeance

Monday, February 18th, 2008

Thank God for the clear-eyed thinking of Israelis like Ronen Bergman. Though he’s essentially recapitulating some of the major points of the Uri Avnery essay I’ve posted here, getting such views into the pages of the New York Times is a real achievement. Here are some of Bergman’s main points:

…However much backslapping and Champagne-cork popping may be going on in Tel Aviv and Langley, Va., the questions remains: Was it worth the effort and resources and the mortal risk to the agents involved? Few would deny that Mr. Mugniyah, who had the blood of many hundreds of Americans and Israelis, not to mention Frenchmen, Germans and Britons, on his hands, deserved the violent death that befell him, or that eliminating this top-flight mass murderer might prevent more death. But this act of combined vengeance, punishment and pre-emption might extract a far greater cost in the future.

…There are precedents. It was on Feb. 16, 1992, that Ehud Barak, then chief of staff of the Israeli military and now minister of defense, gave the order for two combat helicopters hovering over south Lebanon to rocket a convoy in which the Hezbollah leader, Sheik Abbas Musawi, was traveling. Sheik Musawi, his wife and his 6-year-old son were killed. The response was not long in coming: for five days, Katyusha rockets rained down on northern Israel. A 5-year-old girl was killed.

This was only the beginning. Watching television coverage of Sheik Musawi’s assassination at their home in Turkey had been Ehud Sadan, chief of security at the Israeli embassy in Ankara, and his wife. “I hope this doesn’t spark a war of assassinations,” Mrs. Sadan said. Her husband reassured her that nothing would happen. On March 7, he was blown up by a bomb planted under his car. The authorities arrested several members of Turkish Hezbollah, acting under orders from Mr. Mugniyah.

Ten days after that, Mr. Mugniyah’s men blew up the Israeli Embassy in Buenos Aires, killing 29 people and wounding more than 220. Two years later, in July of 1994, a suicide bomber struck at the offices of a Jewish community organization in Buenos Aires, killing 85. A joint investigation by Mossad and the Central Intelligence Agency uncovered clear evidence of Mr. Mugniyah’s involvement in all three bombings. The telephone monitors of the United States National Security Agency turned up “not a smoking gun, but a blazing cannon,” in the words of a Mossad official. A senior Hezbollah operative, Talal Hamiyah, was taped rejoicing with Mr. Mugniyah over “our project in Argentina” and mocking Israeli security services for not preventing it.

My point is not to defend Mugniyah as being a saint or even a hero to the Arab resistance. He was undoubtedly a scumbag as is anyone who engages in such killing of civilians (and I include Israeli generals in this category as well). The point is that strategically such acts simply DON’T WORK. They are palliatives that ease a symptom for a minute or an hour but eventually make the disease much worse. We’ll just have to wait and see for the proof of this statement to emerge, when we hear the news of the next Hezbollah attacks against Israeli or Jewish targets.

What is truly sad is that Bergman goes on the explain that Israeli governments between 1992 and now seemed to understand the logic of my statement above and refrained from such assassinations:

Ever since, the Israelis have been very cautious about assassinating Hezbollah leaders. Two weeks before Israel withdrew from Lebanon in May 2000, military intelligence had Mr. Mugniyah in its sights. Mr. Barak, then prime minister, ruled out a hit, for what he claims were operational reasons, but he surely had the aftermath of the Musawi assassination in mind.

Today, whether Mr. Barak has unlearned his lesson or not, Hezbollah has no doubt that it was Israel who eliminated its top terrorist, and once more it is bent on vengeance. As Hezbollah draws no fine distinctions between the United States and Israel, both nations, along with Jews around the world, might well have to pay the price for the loss of the man whose mystical aura was as important as his operational prowess.

In the immediate aftermath, Hezbollah has chosen not to respond with volleys of rockets aimed at Galilee, as many Israelis feared. But an inkling of how the group might respond can be found in the July 2007 statements of Michael McConnell, America’s director of national intelligence, expressing grave apprehension about Hezbollah sleeper cells in the United States that could go into action should the Americans cross the organization’s “red line.”

This line has now been crossed.

And now we wait for the bloody chickens to come home to roost. Some of my readers who oppose my views will no doubt claim that I’m somehow supporting or defending Hezbollah vengeance. Nothing could be farther from the truth. I oppose all violence especially against civilians no matter what side it comes from. But it is clear there will be a very high price for this apparent Israeli act of vengenace against Hezbollah. Denying this is simply denying past history and the logic of tit for tat vengeance of the Israeli-Arab conflict. It’s deeply ugly and inhumane. But when you play with fire, you and yours will get burned whatever side you’re on in this conflict.

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