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Mohammad Said Kalash, "Offering Reconciliation" exhibit (photo: Ilan Amihai)

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Punch and Judy/Pinchas and Jamila

Avi Katz

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David Grossman

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from documentary, Promises

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Daniel Barenboim, West-Eastern Divan Orchestra

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Joint Appeal for Peace

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Ketubah, Ancona, Italy (1772)

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Posts Tagged ‘knesset’

Three Settler MKs Expose IDF Movements to Settler-Rioters Who Assaulted West Bank Army Base

Sunday, January 8th, 2012
mk uri ariel

What's the difference between a settler thug and an MK...like Uri Ariel?

It is so common for Israeli Palestinian MKs to be charged with treason, aiding the enemy, spying, etc. that Israeli Jews not only take it for granted, but accept that the charges are true without any offer of proof.  But it’s a relatively new phenomenon for Israeli Jewish MKs not just to be accused, but to boast that they gave away classified information to settler hoodlums that was used as part of an assault against a West Bank army base in which two senior officers were wounded by bricks and rocks.  Because of the assault. the IDF was prevented from demolishing an illegal outpost, which was the original goal of the settlers.  In most other democratic countries this would be considered akin to sedition.  In Israel, not so much.

It’s bad enough that MKs Zeev Elkin (chair of the ruling coalition caucus in the Knesset) and Uri Ariel admitted that they secured information directly from IDF sources about the mission of military forces that night, and passed this information on to settler activists so they would know where the IDF was liable to strike.   This allowed them to concentrate their forces to do the most damage to the IDF and its mission of evacuating the outpost.  But Nana is now reporting (Hebrew) that senior minister Benny Begin joined in this operation.  He is not just an MK, he is a member of the senior ministerial committee that deliberates on major strategic and policy initiatives (like whether Israel attacks Iran).  Begin is also the son of Menachem Begin, one of the icons of the classical Israeli Jabotinskyian right.  Begin isn’t known as a settler hothead.  So when he too joins in such acts, it carries far-reaching consequences within the Israeli centrist community.  It’s yet another sign of the triumph of ultranationalism in Israeli politicial discourse.

Do you think the Israeli police will dare investigate these MKs, whose loyalty is not to the State or its authorities, but to an unofficial vigilante rabble that is at war with the State they supposedly represent?  This reminds me a bit of the Southern members of Congress in the years leading up to the Civil War.  Their allegiance was increasingly not to the United States, but to their region.  Time after time, they betrayed their country on behalf of their fellow Southerners, which led to deep mistrust and eventual national disintegration.

Israelis and Diaspora Jews wring their hands in frustration claiming that these bad settlers spoil it for all the other good, law-abiding settlers and the rest of Israel.  It’s the old good cop-bad cop routine.  The extreme settlers are the bad cops, the average Israeli citizen is the good cop.  The argument goes: don’t throw the baby out with the bath water.  Remember that Israel is not these bad seed settlers.  If we could only control the bad guys, then all would be well.

This is horse manure.  As I argued in a recent post, the radical settlers aren’t separate from, or opposed to the State.  As far as the West Bank goes, these settlers ARE the State.  Civil and military authorities do their bidding.  Settlers exercise massive control in their domain and no one threatens it, least of all a few rock throwing Palestinians and their do-gooder international activist friends.

Israel is not disintegrating, at least not yet, because the settlers and their allies control all the levers of power that they need to maintain their movement.  Unfortunately, there is no Israeli Lincoln to offer the settlers a final ultimatum.  There is no Ben Gurion willing to face down Begin and fire on the Alta Lena in order to put down a possible insurrection.  Israel needs discipline and internal cohesion on behalf of an overarching principle like democracy.  There is none and no one to impose it.

There is, however, a rising discipline among the far right and a vision of how to impose control over social and political structures that will ensure their permanent majority.  So it becomes a question of time before Israel becomes a far-right state along the lines of Milosevic’s Serbia.  The liberals have been vanquished inside Israel.  There is no loyal opposition.  There is no coherent alternate political philosophy.  The left is not just in disarray but in full-fledged disintegration.  The right is ascendant.  It cannot end well.

My only wish would be for the settlers to secede from Israel–without the IDF to protect them from their Palestinian neighbors.  We could call it the Confederate State of Judea.  It would last for about five minutes, if that.

In a related development, the police arrested four of the activists who trashed the IDF base.  It is the first time in my recollection that anyone has been arrested for any of the price tag violence that has happened over the past few months (except possibly the arrest of Dor Oved for his death threats against Peace Now).  The only reason they were arrested was that they broke a certain social taboo.  You can kill Palestinians in cold blood, even assault your fellow Israelis.  But you cannot touch the IDF.  You cannot assault an army base.  That goes one bridge too far.

My prediction?  The four will be out of jail in days, if not hours.  They’ll be celebrated by their comrades who will sing and dance and lionize them for their heroism.  The rest of Israel will yawn and go on with their lives.  Let the settlers do what they want as long as they don’t bother us here too much.  As for trial and punishment?  Not on your life.  But if (and this is a big ‘if,’ the pogromists were prosecuted for a crime, these MKs should be accessories after the fact.  Begin, Elkin and Ariel aided and abetted serious lawbreaking and injuries to senior IDF commanders.  That should count for something, even in a country in which democracy and the rule of law is going to Hell in a handbasket.  In a real democracy, a senior minister whose leaks cause harm to senior military personnel and the trashing of an army base would resign.  But Israel I guess isn’t that sort of place.  It’s a place in which such behavior is rewarded rather than castigated.

Anat Kamm’s leaks didn’t result in a single injury to a single Israeli soldier.  But Begin’s did.  But who’s been punished and who is walking free?

Netanyahu Gags Shabak Director, Subverts Knesset Oversight Regarding Eilat Attack

Sunday, September 4th, 2011
yoram cohen shabak chief

Yoram Cohen, Shabak chief, usually gags others; this time he is gagged

For those of you who harbor quaint notions about Israeli democracy, tonight’s post should further disabuse you of your illusions.  In most western democracies, the legislative branch of government exercises some oversight of military and intelligence functions.  In the U.S., this includes House and Senate committees charged with reviewing, approving and funding the U.S. military and various intelligence agencies, both overseas and domestic.  Though there is always a tenseness in this relationship and the executive branch at times resists such oversight, the legislative bodies have ultimate authority and can use their subpoena power if their rights to oversee their charges are rejected.

Not so in Israel, where civilian bodies, including both the Knesset and even the prime minister, often exercise nominal control of these government functions.  I’ve reported in the recent past, that Defense Minister Ehud Barak refused to allow chief of staff Benny Gantz to testify to a Knesset committee about Israel’s covert programs to contain Iran.  Now, none other than the prime minister himself has directed the Shabak chief to refuse to appear before the same committee to address questions about the Eilat terror attack.  Yoram Cohen, Shabak director, sent an underling in his place who also refused to discuss the terror attack when asked point-blank by the committee, which is chaired by former chief of staff Shaul Mofaz.

Haaretz has only reported the latter fact, that a Shabak officer refused to answer questions about Eilat.  In truth, my own well-placed source confirms that Netanyahu refused to allow Cohen to even appear before Mofaz’ committee.  Perhaps one should even question the Israeli media itself as to why it hasn’t reported that Netanyahu actually refused to allow Israel’s most senior intelligence officer to testify before the Knesset.  Is my source the only one who knows this happened?  Or do other reporters know the truth and can’t or won’t report it?  Frankly, I don’t know the answer.  I only know that Haaretz and other outlets reporting the story are only reporting half of it, which in turn does a disservice to the Israeli public and Israeli democracy (or what’s left of it).

Ynet indirectly affirms the report of my source by quoting Avi Dichter, himself a former Shabak chief and now Knesset MK, as saying that when he was its director he appeared before the Knesset committee Mofaz chairs.  Maariv quotes Dichter using extremely harsh language, labelling the decision a “gag order” placed upon the Shabak director and chief of IDF intelligence.

Clearly, this is an attempt, so far quite successful, by the prime minister to deny a legitimate legislative body oversight of the IDF and intelligence bodies and to review failures when they occur.  If such a thing happened in America, there would be immediate subpoenas filed to compel Cohen to testify and the matter would end up in court.  Eventually, even if the president dug his heels in hard (which rarely happens, these things are usually ironed out), the court would likely find the executive would have to bend to Congress’ will–at least in terms of appearing and answering questions, if not changing policy.

What is truly poisonous about this is that it leaves the executive to police itself and learn from its own mistakes without the benefit of the people’s elected representatives being able to intercede and learn what happened in events like Eilat and how to avoid them in future.  A society whose legislators are bound and gagged when it comes to exercising this function is a society in which the blind lead the blind.  And it’s no surprise that such a nation will repeat its mistakes over and over because no one can come forward from the legislature and say: No, that didn’t work, you’re not going to try that again.  You’re going to try something else.

I’ve posted here that the Israeli approach to the Eilat attack was a fashlah of massive proportions.  When things like this happen you need legislative oversight to uncover what went wrong and prevent it from happening again.  Such activity by the Knesset would reassure the people that someone, somewhere is concerned about the welfare of the nation.  When the prime minister prevents this, it will only erode confidence that the military and intelligence circles can learn from their mistakes.

Can you imagine the aftermath of 9/11 and Pres. Bush refusing to coöperate with the 9/11 Commission?  This is something like what Bibi has done in this case.  He’s thumbed his nose at Mofaz and told him: I don’t owe you nuthin’.  Losing sight, of course, of the fact that in a true democracy the leader does in fact owe a great deal to the legislature.  In a real democracy, the legislature could turn around and reject the next appropriation bill for the agency refusing to coöperate.  The only problem is that in Israel this type of independent behavior is unheard of.  No Knesset member would dream of rejecting an IDF or intelligence appropriation.  In fact, these budgets are so hush-hush that there are hardly any members who know what’s in them.  They ratify them in a pro forma manner with hardly any discussion or debate.

Of course, there are calls for cutting the defense budget heard when belts need to be tightened.  But invariably, all it takes is one terror attack for those voices to be quashed, but good.

Bibi: ‘Entire Middle East Shakes…Except Israel’

Sunday, August 7th, 2011


The Lede publishes a wonderful story today in the NYT featuring a new remix by Noy Alooshe, the Israeli who produced such a devastating video, Zenga Zenga, skewering Moamar Qaddafi’s TV speech railing against his enemies. This time, Alooshe is sticking a pin in Bibi Netanyahu, who may regret his pompous reassuring claim during a world TV interview several months ago in which he boasted that in the midst of the Arab Spring, Israel was the sole stable country in the entire Middle East. I wonder what Bibi thinks of that interview now that 300,000 protestors in Tel Aviv yesterday shouted slogan borrowed from Tahrir Square (“The people want social justice”). In fact, Israeli media is reporting that Arab news outlets are calling J14, the “Israeli Spring.”

Today, Bibi announced a bit of cosmetic surgery by which a government commission will draft proposals to “change” the Israeli economy to “address” the protesters demands. The plan is for the members of the new body to meet with protest leaders and others to come up with recommendations. No one yet knows who will be on this body, and a number of prominent Israelis who were invited declined the invitation. It will have the power only to recommend policies, but these proposals may be changed or jettisoned by the government itself. And Bibi’s statements today about the entire matter are less than reassuring:

“I’m attentive to the protest, but we can’t satisfy everyone,” Netanyahu stressed at the cabinet meeting. “We’ll listen to everyone. We’ll act sensitively and responsibly … We’ll conduct a real dialogue. We won’t present lip-service solutions; we want to bring real solutions. In the end, we’ll be judged on our practical solutions.”

This is typical Bibi-ese. Appear to be proposing or promising something out of one side of one’s mouth, while out of the other you take it all back and say you never for a moment meant it. That way, you can say a thing and it’s opposite at the same time. It’s a feat Harry Houdini or Teflon Ronnie Reagan would’ve admired. And any reasonable person knows what Bibi means: he’s buying time for the fervor of the protests to die down so he can return to business as usual. That is, socking it to the working and middle class, cutting budgets and social safety nets, letting corporate profits soar, increasing the income gap between rich and poor, and watching as the level of poverty continues to increase. Essentially, it’s free market economics run rampant. A place Milton Friedman would’ve loved.

Reuven Rivlin, the Knesset speaker and a Likud loyalist with independent leanings, spoke words that can’t have ingratiated him with Netanyahu, when he claimed that the legislative body wouldn’t finish out its complete term.  He said that the protest movement would likely force early elections. Not music to Bibi’s ears. And this is the first dribble of discontent which all leaders hate to hear, because they know that a rushing torrent of criticism may follow. When a top loyalist stakes out independent ground and says the emperor is, if not naked, then near-naked, you know “something’s happening here,” in the words of Bob Dylan.

Perhaps too early to envision new elections.  But the floodgates have opened a hair and the torrent may soon follow.  The truth is, though, that new elections will change little.  Even if Kadima wins that election Livni’s policies will be a variant of Bibi’s.  She’ll tinker around the edges and claim she’s a breath of fresh air when she’s nothing of the sort.  I believe that Israel’s politics are bankrupt.  The Knesset does little of any significance except preening over highly combustible nationalist issues like boycott and criminalizing free speech for NGOs.  I have little hope that Israel’s leaders can lead the country, as Moses did, out of the desert into which they’ve wondered.  The solution to Israel’s major external problems, if there is any, lies outside, with a “higher power,” if that’s the right term.

Dimi Reider has just published one of the most incisive essays I’ve read about the J14 movement at 972 Magazine.  The main point he makes concerns the carping of left-wing activists against the protests, who note protesters demands neglect a key element in political discourse–that is, the Occupation.  Reider notes that while this is so, the protests are addressing the Occupation, but in a subtle way that is much more likely to penetrate the Israeli Jewish consciousness.  Highly recommended.

To support the J14 social justice movement, you may make a donation here.  It’s a good cause and I’m going to make a gift now.

Settler MKs Welcome Russian Neo-Nazi Holocaust Deniers to Knesset, Yad VaShem

Thursday, July 28th, 2011

When an Israeli reader sent this story to me I couldn’t believe the headline summarized above.  Further, in this day and age of Norwegian neo-Nazi, anti-jihadi attacks which wrap themselves in the Israeli flag, this story is simply mind-blowing.

russian neo nazis welcomed by israeli settlers

Russian neo-Nazis parade displaying Hitler salute before their settler-organized visit to Knesset and Yad VaShem.

It begins with a visit from a Russian neo-Nazi delegation to Israel.  Under the auspices of Tuvia Lerner, editor of the Russian edition of Arutz 7, the media voice of the settler movement, they inveigled themselves an invitation to meet with far-right MKs Aryeh Eldad and Ayoob Kara.  They also toured Yad VaShem without telling anyone there that they were Holocaust deniers.  Like I told you, this story has to be read to be believed.  The two Russians have been photographed giving Nazi salutes, celebrating Der Fuhrer’s birthday, and they published songs of praise to Adoph Hitler on their website.

Naturally, when they met with the MKs the ideas they espoused were quite different.  One of the neo-Nazis told Israeli TV that the concept of Israel “excites me,” because it involves “an ancient people who took upon itself a pioneer project to revive a modern state and nation.”  The TV reporter tartly asked how the neo-Nazi of yesterday suddenly became a Zionist.  How they did it, is by finding a common enemy: Islam (sound familiar?).  The second neo-Nazi tells the interviewer:

“We’re talking about radical Islam which is the enemy of humanity, enemy of democracy, enemy of progress and of any sane society.

With friends like this does Israel need enemies?  Does it wish to lie down with dogs who kill Chechens and Africans for sport only to rise up with fleas?  Who assassinate human rights activists and lawyers?  Who dream of a master race following its destiny?  Is Israel so desperate that it needs such friends in order to battle the common Muslim enemy?  Have we not learned a single thing from Anders Breivik?

Lerner attempts to defend his efforts to ingratiate the Russian fascist movement into the good graces of Israeli society by claiming that the two neo-Nazis told him they regretted the anti-Semitic statements they’d made fifteen years ago.  But can the leopard changes its spots??  The reporter notes that in just the past year the group wrote that the Holocaust was “a myth.”  Then he asks whether the apology was sincere and whether such figures belonged in a place in which the elected representatives of the nation gathered.

The report also features an interview with Eldad in which he feigns an intelligence he clearly lacks, when he says that he knew from the outset that something “didn’t smell right.”  And that he met them for only a few minutes (when the TV screen fills with images of him shaking hands and laughing jovially with the Russian delegation).

Anyone reading this blog knows my views about settler extremists, but how can Israel countenance such shocking, disgraceful acts from Arutz 7 and these disgusting representatives of the Israeli people elected to the Knesset?  Is anyone using their brains there?  Or has everyone lost their senses?  Regaling neo-Nazis with anti-jihadi jokes in the halls of the Knesset?  Defiling Yad VaShem with unreconstructed Holocaust deniers?  Please someone explain this to me (if you can).

Knesset Stifles Voice of Israeli-Palestinian MK

Monday, July 18th, 2011
haneen zoabi knesset

Yisrael Beiteinu thug assaults Zoabi on Knesset rostrum during debate last year on Gaza flotilla (David Vaknin-AP)

The Only Democracy in the Middle East is once again showing its true colors by further stripping parliamentary privileges from its only female Israeli-Palestinian member, Haneen Zoabi.  As a result of Knesset action today, she will no longer be allowed to address the Knesset or vote in committee debates.

Last year, the lovers of democracy in the Knesset stripped her of her diplomatic passport, financial assistance for legal support she might require (and believe me, Israeli Palestinian MKs need tons of such support because they are under continual investigation by the Shabak), and the right to visit countries having no relations with Israel (cf. virtually all Arab countries).

To think all these wonderful new developments were brought to us by the Knesset “Ethics” committee.  It’s like Alice in Wonderland where the White Rabbit tells Alice that a word means exactly what he wants it to mean regardless of what its real meaning is.  In the rest of the sane world this would be considered a travesty of ethics.  In Israel, it represents the epitome of ethics. If this isn’t a climb down the rabbit hole, I don’t know what is.

This is all a punishment for Zoabi exercising her parliamentary and citizen’s rights to oppose Israel’s siege of Gaza by sailing on the Mavi Marmara last year.  Interesting that some of my readers, when I protested against her being pilloried in Knesset and physically attacked by right wing MKs, they pooh-poohed my concerns and said I was making a mountain out of a molehill.  Now I say, “right back at ya fellas.”  What the Likud dominated Knesset is doing is a slow auto da fe of Zoabi’s democratic rights as a member.  It is shameful.  It is anti-democratic.  But alas it is entirely typical of latter day Israel.  Or at least its political system.

Who wishes out there to claim that Israel is a democracy?  That it treats its Arabs well?  I dare you to try to address this outrage in any meaningful way short of admitting it’s a travesty of justice and democracy.

Yossi Sarid on BDS: ‘Green Line is Red Line’

Saturday, July 9th, 2011

I like that phrase.  It has a nice ring to it.  And Sarid uses it, davke, the day before the Knesset is due to pass its anti-boycott legislation which would criminalize references to BDS in the Israeli media, to affirm his intent to boycott the settlements and to support all those throughout the world who do as well.  He explicitly invites the state prosecutor to question him for violating the forthcoming law.

Interestingly, Sarid notes that the first prosecution that should come from the new law is that of government of Israel itself, which agreed to a demand from the EU to mark products originating in the Territories and so distinguish them from regular Israeli merchandise so that Europeans can (are you ready) boycott settlement goods.

boycott ahava products stolen beautyIn a nice turning of the traditional Biblical quotation, “If I forget thee O Jerusalem,” on its head, Sarid proclaims his refusal to partake of the joys of settlement:

May my tongue cleave to the roof of my mouth if I take a slice or a sip; may my right hand lose its cunning if it lends itself to their cheesemakers and vintners, whom we herein recommend boycotting.

This is good news for the people behind CodePink’s Boycott Ahava international campaign, which seeks to target a beauty products company based in the West Bank.

The problem, of course, is that Sarid, as a liberal Zionist, doesn’t go far enough.  We should boycott or divest from not just settlements, but companies that benefit from settlements and Occupation in general.  And this should not just be Israeli companies, but international ones as well, such as the French company building Jerusalem’s light rail line through occupied East Jerusalem.  We should boycott and divest from U.S. companies that provide cluster bombs, white phosphorus or similar heinous, illegal weapons to the IDF which kill civilians indiscriminately. But make no mistake, I am not advocating indiscriminate boycott or divestment.  This is targeted BDS.  BDS with a scalpel, not a sledgehammer.  Others may have a more far-reaching or draconian approach, but this is mine.

Barak Vetoes Knesset Testimony by IDF Chief of Staff on Iran Military Options

Thursday, July 7th, 2011

 

benny gantz ehud barak

IDF chief of staff Benny Gantz and Ehud Barak (Yehuda Lechiani)

Maariv is reporting (Hebrew) that Israeli defense minister Ehud Barak vetoed an appearance by new IDF chief of staff Benny Gantz before the Knesset’s subcommittee on covert intelligence operations.  This group, chaired by former IDF chief of staff Shaul Mofaz, who is also chair of the security and foreign relations committee, periodically invites senior government officials to discuss highly sensitive military or intelligence issues.  It’s most recently invited guest was the prime minister himself.

Which makes it extremely bizarre that Barak would forbid the new chief of staff from appearing before the subcommittee.  It would appear that the tension and overt hostility between Barak and the previous chief of staff Gaby Ashkenazi is rearing its ugly head once again.

A confidential Israeli government source with extensive military experience tells me that the subject to be discussed at the hearing was the Israeli military option vis-a-vis Iran.  So one must ask oneself: why would Barak feel the need to prevent Gantz from speaking on this subject to the Knesset’s most senior intelligence oversight committee?  The only answer I can think of short of pure pettiness or political infighting (of which Barak is surely capable) is that Gantz, like his predecessor Ashkenazi, possibly opposes an Israeli attack on Iran.

If I’m right, then Barak may be trying to avoid the mistake he and Bibi made when the senior ministerial meeting convened in 2010 to approve such an attack.  The then chief of staff and Mossad head, Meir Dagan, tag teamed and single-handedly persuaded a majority to veto the assault.  If Barak had allowed Gantz to testify to the Knesset and to bad mouth the military option, then it would replicate the 2010 failure.

If this is Barak’s approach to the new chief of staff, it would seem to turn the position into a cypher.  Gantz would be little more than an errand boy for Barak, who would be calling all the shots.  Readers of this blog will know that I’m not a big fan of the qualities of leadership and strategic thinking of the IDF senior command.  And I’ve long advocated more civilian control over the military-intelligence apparatus.  But Barak is not what I had in mind.  His strategic thinking is as bad as the current IDF command and it derives from the army itself, where he was chief of staff at one time.  With Barak running the show, I think at least I’d prefer to have a strong IDF chief of staff to counter the defense minister’s worst impulses.  I fear that this is precisely the opposite of what may be happening.

The speaker of the Knesset Reuven Rivlin justified Barak with the rather strange statement which confirmed my own source’s view of the subject of the hearing:

The defense minister is right because what we’re talking about is a secret committee whose members are required to deliberate on decisive questions related to the subject of Iran and Israel’s security.

One wonders why Israel’s top military officer would be barred from deliberations about one of the most sensitive military matters confronting the State of Israel.  How can the Knesset speaker justify such a position as the one he’s taking?

Barak’s reasoning in deferring Gantz’s appearance was also strange: he argued that since the subcommittee was not an “official” Knesset body, that invitations to appear as a witness are optional, rather than mandatory.  Maariv pointed out that since the prime minister and Barak himself have appeared before the same body in the past, the argument doesn’t hold much water.  At any rate, Mofaz redacted his original invitation letter to Gantz so that the invitation came from the full committee (security and foreign relations) and not the subcommittee.  Gantz, who is obligated to appear before such Knesset committees, did appear and speak about the topic I mentioned above.

Barak himself rejected the claims made in the story and affirmed that Gantz testified as requested.

 

Former Israeli Defense Minister Warns of BDS, Sanctions

Thursday, June 9th, 2011
benyamin ben eliezer

MK Benyamin Ben Eliezer, quoth the raven, "BDS"

Usually in mainstream Israeli political discourse, BDS is the “love” that dare not speak its name.  If the Knesset is seeking to pass a law to criminalize references to the Nakba, all the more so references to the terrible act of ‘delegitimization’ (what an ugly, ungainly word) that is BDS.  It’s simply treif in polite political discourse.  Which is why comments made this week in the Knesset by Labor MK Benyamin Ben Eliezer in retort to Bibi Netanyayhu’s triumphalizing about his recent hero’s welcome in Washington, DC, are all the more shocking.

Ben Elizezer, a former IDF commander and defense minister, wasn’t shy about telling this emperor he had no clothes:

“Listen, Bibi,” MK Benjamin Ben-Eliezer growled, “I congratulate you on your hug from Congress, but it will not take us off the path to confrontation. Our situation in Europe is very bad. President Obama said everything we wanted him to say. Now you have to announce that Israel will vote for a Palestinian state in the UN this September … As a former industry and trade minister, I tell you: The markets are closing. We will suffer a devastating economic blow.”

I asked Ben-Eliezer how Netanyahu, who likes him, reacted to his tough talk. “He nodded his head,” Ben-Eliezer said.

While Bibi’s supporters may respond that this is much ado about nothing as Israel’s economy seems to be chugging along just fine, it is true that markets are closing just as Ben Elizer said.  And they will continue to close.  Israel’s multi-national conglomerates which depend on international markets will gradually see those markets become hostile to them as Israel continues to defy the international community regarding the Occupation.  Eventually, Israel will find itself in a situation like that of South Africa.

What Israelis–who sometimes remind me of teenagers by tending to see themselves as invincible–don’t realize is that they, like Blanche DuBois, depend on the kindness of strangers.  That is, Israeli companies market themselves to the world and the success of the export economy is what powers the engine of Israeli growth.  What Israelis further don’t realize, is that while Israeli products are useful and even important in some fields, the world can survive without them.  There is no Google or Facebook or even Microsoft among Israeli companies.  The world economy will not come to an end if there is a massive international boycott of Israeli companies or products.

So Fuad is warning Israel that come September, when Palestine is recognized by the General Assembly, and Obama’s friendly veto in the Security Council is for naught, and Palestine begins to clamor for sanctions against Israel because it retains the territory of a fellow UN member, the body will eventually have to act.  It may not happen immediately.  It may even take months or a year.  But eventually, sanctions will take hold as a viable political concept regardless of how Israel acts to defend itself or repeal the assault.

The former Israeli trade minister is the proverbial canary in the coal mine.  He’s warning Bibi & Co. what’s ahead as they maintain the same posture of rejectionism and intransigence which have stood them in such good stead till now.  It won’t be so easy down the road.  There will be a price to pay just as South African paid a price.  Unfortunately, I don’t see an Israeli deKlerk waiting in the wings to rescue Israel from pariah status and being blackballed among the nations.

If we wait another three years, and Meir Dagan continues speaking truth to power, then perhaps he has the pragmatism.  But three years is a long time in the Middle East and in Israeli politics, an eternity.

 

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