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Posts Tagged ‘iran’

Bibi Seeks Iran War Hawk as New Air Force Commander, Chief of Staff Objects

Sunday, January 22nd, 2012
yochanan locker

Maj. Gen. Yochanan Locker, Bibi's hand-picked pro-war IDF air force commander candidate (Gali Tibbon/Getty)Yediot Achronot front page headline: 'Air War'

yediot screenshot yochanan locker

Yediot Achronot front page headline: 'Air War'

During the Great Depression, FDR reacted to the Republican-dominated Supreme Court’s stymieing of his New Deal proposals by packing the Court with his own hand-picked supporters.  It didn’t work out for him as he was forced to roll back the initiative as a violation of constitutional precedent.  Bibi Netanyahu, Tehran-bound in his own F-16 if he has half a chance, has an opportunity to appoint his own hand-picked candidate, Yochanan Locker, as incoming air force commander.  Locker is known to support an IDF attack on Iran.  He is also known to be favored by Defense Minister Ehud Barak, another advocate of war.

Chief of Staff Benny Gantz, known to oppose an attack, neither wants to be dictated to by the prime minister, nor saddled with a key subordinate who will subvert his own command by advocating war with Iran.  While it is common for chiefs of staff to coordinate appointments with prime ministers, it’s rare for the political echelon to cram a candidate for such a position down the throat of the supreme military commander.  Gantz rightly is gagging on this morsel being shoved down his throat.  His preferred candidate is Amir Eshel, a known opponent of an Iran strike.

There you have it.  On the cusp of war, Israel’s political and military echelon are divided, even dysfunctional about the way to go.  Even an appointment like air force commander could tip the balance in favor of war.

Atlanta Jewish Newspaper Advocates Mossad Assassinating Obama If Iran Gets Nukes

Friday, January 20th, 2012

Andrew Adler, now that’s a name that should live in Jewish infamy.  He’s the publisher of the Atlanta Jewish Times who actually published a column in his paper saying that one of three options Israel should consider on the day the Prime Minister hears that Iran has a nuclear weapon is for Mossad agents in the U.S. to assassinate Barack Obama.  Just in case you think I’m making this lunacy up here’s a screenshot of the column itself.  Here’s the money–or should I say, “kill shot.”  Adler writes that Option 3 is:

…Give the go-ahead for U.S.-based Mossad agents to take out a president deemed unfriendly to Israel in order for the current vice president to take his place, and forcefully dictate that the United States’ policy includes its helping the Jewish state obliterate its enemies.

Yes, you read option three correctly. Order a hit on a president in order to preserve Israel’s existence. Think about it. If I have thought of this Tom Clancy-type scenario, don’t you think that this almost unfathomable idea has been discussed in Israel’s most inner circles?

Another way of putting “three” in perspective goes something like this: How far would you go to save a nation comprised of seven million lives…Jews, Christians and Arabs alike?

You have got to believe, like I do, that all options are on the table.

No, actually I’ve got to believe that Andrew Adler is a class A asshole and an idiot to boot.  I could rail about the fact that the editor of a Jewish paper in one of America’s largest Jewish communities would pen such disgusting tripe.  But what disturbs me even more is that the tens of thousands of Jews living in Atlanta read not just this, but all the garbage this jerk writes.  Imagine the impact that this has on the tone and substance of political debate in that town.

Apparently, Israel has such a sterling reputation lately for political assassinations that Adler and others have come to believe that the best way of pursuing a political objective is to murder whoever stands in the way.  That’s one of the legacies that Israel’s far right government has bestowed to the world, both Jewish and non-Jewish.

Don’t think that Atlanta is alone.  The Jewish paper in the Five Towns published a similarly disturbing column a few years ago calling for the murder of Muslims.  Jews, even rabbis, dream up the most vile, disgusting scenarios for their fellow Jews.  In Israel, rabbis call for putting uppity Arabs in concentration camps.  We have much to ashamed of, just as we have much to be proud of: from our prophetic ethical tradition and inheritors of its mantle like Martin Buber, Judah Magnes and those who founded Brit Shalom; and their latter-day followers in NGOs like Sheikh Jarrah Solidarity, the Popular Committee Against Torture, Breaking the Silence, Peace Now and so many others.

Israeli Intelligence Source Denies Jundallah False Flag Story

Saturday, January 14th, 2012
israeli false flag

Israel's 'false flag' operation

Amir Oren published today a story based on a senior Mossad official who flatly denies the truth of Mark Perry‘s false flag report in yesterday’s Foreign Policy.  The Mossad source (likely either Tamir Pardo or someone very close to him) called Perry’s report “absolute nonsense.”  The source continued by claiming that if the story was true then Meir Dagan, who was responsible for the operation as the agency chief at the time, would’ve been declared persona non grata and warned not to step foot in the U.S.  I always enjoy non-denial denials like this because they usually make a claim that goes like this: if story A were true, then B would’ve had to have happened.  When there is no reason whatsoever that A ipso facto must lead to B.

In fact, in Perry’s story the CIA sources make clear there was a furious debate within the administration about how to respond to the Mossad duplicity and the Cheney pro-Israel forces wore down those who were critical of Israel’s operation.  So no action was taken.  In that case, administration officials had to decide how important this event was in the greater scheme of U.S.-Israel relations.  Around this time (2007), Israel was lobbying intensively for permission to attack Iran and Bush was giving Israel the red light.  No doubt, Bush decided it was more important to get Israel to stand down from this plan than it was to take Meir Dagan to the woodshed.  In other words, we had bigger fish to fry with the Israelis than this false flag deal.

But what especially irks me about Oren’s report is that he adds a dig against Perry’s credibility that is gratuitous and deeply insulting.  Interestingly, the insult is only in the Hebrew version (wonder why hmm?) and not the English.  Dimi Reider, in his 972 report notes that Oren calls Perry, an “avowed supporter of the Arab cause.”  His Wikipedia article notes that Perry was an “unofficial” advisor to the PLO until 2004.  How does this fact impeach his reporting on the false flag story?  Because he had some informal involvement with the PLO ending eight years ago, that means he has it in for the Mossad on this story?  C’mon.  That’s bush league stuff.  But unfortunately, this is what Israeli intelligence people and their willing collaborators in the media stoop to.  And I say this as someone who’s admired all of Oren’s previous reporting.

Actually, there is nothing in Perry’s story that would give you the impression he was a pro-Arab partisan (and by the way Mossad source and Mr. Oren, Iranians aren’t Arab, but that’s beside the point).  It is a very carefully reported story that contains no animus whatsoever against Israel, nor any gratuitous partisan statements on Iran’s behalf.

As Perry notes in his interview with Reider, he researched the story for 18 months, had six major CIA sources at least two of which still are on active duty.  He also gave both the CIA and Israel an opportunity to respond formally before he published.  Neither chose to do so.  So who’s right?  My money is on Perry.

Another phenomenon I’ve noticed at work here is that most U.S. officials, if they have to speak to the media about a story, will generally try not to lie outright.  They will dance around the issue and make qualified denials.  But usually you can decipher what they’re truly denying and what they’re implicitly confirming.  With Israeli officials it is quite different.  On a subject like Iran, where they wish the Iranians to know what they’ve done and don’t feel they’ll suffer for it, they concede their involvement by bragging–though they do it implicitly, rather than explicitly.  So Ehud Barak said about the Iran missile base explosion: May there be many more.  They said something similar about Mahmoud al-Mabouh’s assassination.

When they are involved in something which, if known to the public, might do some harm to their interest, they clam up and refuse to say anything.  This was the case with the Dirar Abusisi kidnapping.  In this case, Israeli intelligence was duped by Hamas into believing the engineer knew Gilad Shalit’s whereabouts.  So it kidnapped him and found out it was left holding an empty bag.  For this reason, it has adopted a virtual Wall of Silence around the actual kidnapping (though it has falsely accused him of being a rocket engineer and other tall tales).

But when Israeli involvement in an incident could do grave harm to Israel’s military and security interests, then it flat-out lies and doesn’t give a crap who cares or who finds out.  Lying in these cases seems to be SOP.  This is what happened in the Eilat terror case when Ehud Barak, Bibi Netanyahu and the IDF spokesflacks offered flat-out lies in claiming the Gaza-based Popular Resistance Committees were behind the operation (in fact, Sinai Islamists were, having no known connection to Gaza at all).

This seems to be the MO behind the current story in which the Mossad upper echelon is lying about its Jundallah operation.  In fact, Meir Dagan himself told Nicholas Burns in a leaked Wikileaks cable, that Israel was recruiting Iranian dissidents for sabotage operations.  But he never spoke nor was asked about the false flag operation.  That’s the only part we didn’t have explicit confirmation about (until now).

As the photo and caption I’ve displayed here implies: are operations like this not just “false flags,” but false to the flag and ideals that Israel represents, and are they false to allies on whom Israel depends for so much, and possibly even its existence?

Mossad Assassinations, Black Ops Campaign Backfires Within Iran

Friday, January 13th, 2012

Omid Memarian writes an acute column in The Daily Beast based on direct interview with prominent Iranian reform figures who denounce the Mossad black ops program against Iran. I’m going to quote a long passage since I believe it conveys the full power of the author’s and his sources’ arguments better. Their views echo my own precisely. Though it’s great to know they’re in accord with those of native Iranian supporters of democratic change:

“I don’t believe a program on such a large scale as Iran’s nuclear program is eliminated or slowed down as a result of the elimination of some individuals,” Gholamhossein Karbaschi, the former Tehran mayor and a close ally of reformist leader Mehdi Karroubi, told The Daily Beast. “It does have a psychological effect, but it will not have an impact in the nuclear program itself. Its psychological effect is not favorable, either, as people hate the perpetrators.”

“However way you look at terror, people hate it, no matter where in the world it happens, especially if an innocent young individual suffers this fate. This is what people oppose vehemently,” Karbaschi added.

A journalist in Tehran told The Daily Beast under the condition of anonymity that he was shocked when he heard news of the assassination. “When I talk to people, they feel insulted that a foreign state would come and murder an Iranian citizen to cheers and nods from others,” he said. “These assassinations are a great gift to the Iranian government and military, who can now push their agendas forward with them. The Iranian government could not be helped any better; it can now present its nuclear program as legitimate and to cry foul.”

Mohsen Sazegara, an influential opposition figure based in Washington who has advocated civil disobedience against the Iranian government, said that although American, British, and Israeli authorities deny any involvement in these operations, Tehran considers sabotage and the assassinations acts of Western intelligence services and Israel’s Mossad. He said such incidents are very telling about Iran…

But pro-democracy forces in Iran…say the assassinations are likely to backfire against the West—enhancing the military state by legitimizing the nuclear program in the eyes of the Iranian people. It doesn’t seem to matter to them if the Mojahedin-e Khalgh Organization, an opposition group (known as the MKO) which is on the State Department’s list of terrorist organizations, is responsible, or the Israelis, or anyone else.

Mohammad Ali Abtahi, who served as vice president under President Mohammad Khatami and was imprisoned for several months after the 2009 elections, told The Daily Beast that people consider such acts outside the realm of capabilities of opposition groups like the MKO.

“This type of operation looks more like it was done by Israelis,” said Abtahi, adding, “Iranian people would consider such an action as an insult, and to be honest, it would create more legitimacy for the military powers inside Iran.”

“In Iran, there is solidarity about national assets and reactions to such actions are very negative,” he added. “Even if the nuclear program’s increasing costs had started to damage its legitimacy, this would increase its legitimacy. It would generate an even higher demand inside the country to pursue the program.”

Mossad Agents Pose as CIA to Recruit Iranian Terror Agents

Friday, January 13th, 2012
jundallah leader rigi

Jundallah leader Abdolmalek Riggi attended meeting in Morocco he believed was with NATO officials, who were either CIA, or more probably Mossad agents

Foreign Policy’s Mark Perry reports the astonishing story that Mossad agents posing as CIA operatives recruited Iranian Sunni dissidents affiliated with Jundallah to engage in acts of terror inside Iran

Israeli Mossad officers recruited operatives belonging to the terrorist group Jundallah by passing themselves off as American agents. According to two U.S. intelligence officials, the Israelis, flush with American dollars and toting U.S. passports, posed as CIA officers in recruiting Jundallah operatives — what is commonly referred to as a “false flag” operation.

…The [CIA] memos also detail…field reports saying that Israel’s recruiting activities occurred under the nose of U.S. intelligence officers, most notably in London, the capital of one of Israel’s ostensible allies, where Mossad officers posing as CIA operatives met with Jundallah officials.

…They were stunned by the brazenness of the Mossad’s efforts.

“It’s amazing what the Israelis thought they could get away with,” the intelligence officer said. “Their recruitment activities were nearly in the open. They apparently didn’t give a damn what we thought.”

I’ve been reporting for some time that the Mossad has been doing this with the MEK, which has assassinated Iranian scientists and bombed Iranian missile bases. Le Figaro also wrote that Israeli intelligence recruited Iranian Kurds inside Iraqi Kurdistan to engage in sabotage within Iran. Now, Perry’s story confirms an Israeli anti-Iran terror Trifecta.

I published a post here some time ago based on a Wikileaks cable in which Meir Dagan confirmed to Nicholas Burns the broad outlines of the above plan. The Israelis operate under the mistaken impression that by playing on the natural internal dissension among ethnic groups inside that country that it can subvert both Iranian stability and the current regime.

This is similar to the CIA’s tactics throughout the 1960s and later in Cuba, by which we tried mightily to bring down Castro through invasion, assassination attempts, and airline bombings. You can see how well that turned out.

I think it can and should be argued that such outside intervention by nations already viewed by the native population as hostile to their country’s interests, only serve to reinforce internal cohesion. They rally citizens around a repressive regime by focussing fear and paranoia on an external enemy. This is why it would a terrible idea for the U.S. to be seen to intervene publicly on behalf of the Iranian Green Movement and why the current black ops war against Iran fueled by both the U.S. (indirectly, see Stuxnet) is an even worse idea. It’s a typically ham-handed operation displaying all the subtlety of a jack hammer on a New York street.

I haven’t even begun to talk about the outrageous abuse of the U.S.-Israel alliance in this Jundallah operation. The Israelis had to adopt a false flag identity because they’re hated in the Arab world even more than Americans. So Israel likely recruited Israeli-Americans or native Israelis with excellent language skills in American English to pose as CIA agents. As an American-Jew, this aspect of the operation makes my blood boil. Americans in Israel already have a reputation of being settler hardliners, if not outright Jewish terrorists. Do we need to become known as well for betraying our American roots by becoming fake CIA spies in the Arab world?

What particularly upset the CIA operatives who discovered this Mossad dirty game was that the Israelis essentially didn’t care. They pursued their own interests without any sense that they needed to have any concern for the betrayal our own national interest:

“The report sparked White House concerns that Israel’s program was putting Americans at risk,” the intelligence officer told me. “There’s no question that the U.S. has cooperated with Israel in intelligence-gathering operations against the Iranians, but this was different. No matter what anyone thinks, we’re not in the business of assassinating Iranian officials or killing Iranian civilians.”

…[Under] Obama…U.S. intelligence services have received clearance to cooperate with Israel on a number of classified intelligence-gathering operations focused on Iran’s nuclear program, according to a currently serving officer. These operations are highly technical in nature and do not involve covert actions targeting Iran’s infrastructure or political or military leadership.

“We don’t do bang and boom,” a recently retired intelligence officer said. “And we don’t do political assassinations.”

…Israel’s activities jeopardized the administration’s fragile relationship with Pakistan, which was coming under intense pressure from Iran to crack down on Jundallah. It also undermined U.S. claims that it would never fight terror with terror, and invited attacks in kind on U.S. personnel.

Though President Bush, when he discovered the Israeli operation was enraged, there was enough pro-Israel sentiment within the administration (Cheney, Feith, Wurmser, Perle, Wolfowitz, et al.) that the U.S. never confronted Israel about it:

In the end,” the officer noted, “it was just easier to do nothing than to, you know, rock the boat.” Even so, at least for a short time, this same officer noted, the Mossad operation sparked a divisive debate among Bush’s national security team, pitting those who wondered “just whose side these guys [in Israel] are on” against those who argued that “the enemy of my enemy is my friend.”

Another element to consider in the Mossad strategy behind this operation is that getting the U.S. associated with it, even in a fraudulent way would advance their interest. They could then argue, you’re already implicated, why not just take the plunge and go all the way on this? There is a slippery slope in military-intelligence activities. Once you go part way, it’s that much easier to persuade someone to go all in. Perry’s article makes clear that Israeli intelligence made such proposals regularly to their U.S. counterparts who, if they can be believed, uniformly rejected them.

One thing that you have to learn about Israel is that it is like the school bully in pursuing it’s interests. If you don’t confront it aggressively when such red lines are crossed, Israel understands from this that silence equals consent. From there, they will further test the limits by pushing that red line as far as they can in their direction.

One of the few times the U.S. pushed back was in the case of Jonathan Pollard, when the egregiousness of the betrayal of U.S. intelligence secrets to Israel and the transfer of much of that data to the Soviet Union caused a severe backlash inside the Reagan administration. Neither Bush nor Obama seem to have the spine of Reagan officials like Caspar Weinberger or George Schultz, who lobbied successfully for severe punishment of Pollard. While Pollard is still in prison, do you think it would prevent Israel from recruiting another Pollard from within U.S. intelligence if it could?

Final note: I just realized that some particularly astute Foreign Policy editor displayed an image with Perry’s story of Israeli soldiers standing before an Israeli flag.  If you combine this image with the article title, False Flag, the editor made a particularly acute visual pun.

Iran Threatens U.S. With Closure of Vital Strait If It Invokes New Oil Sanctions

Tuesday, December 27th, 2011

What do Howard Berman, Brad Sherman, Jane Harman, Gary Ackerman and all the other Congressional water-carriers for Aipac care about the impact of their vote for closing Iran’s oil spigot, even if it might force Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz in retaliation and start a regional war?  This is precisely the danger foreseen by the Founding Fathers when they arrogated the conduct of foreign policy to the executive branch and not the legislature.  Members of Congress grandstand and posture for their constituents.  They pander for votes.  Of course, they will vote for everything Aipac tells them to and more, in return for unlimited cash from pro-Israel donors.  Who the hell cares if their actions bring the region closer to conflagration?  When the shit hits the fan, they’ll blame Obama and say it’s the president who conducts foreign policy, not them.

strait of hormuz mapIran today warned that if Obama signs into law the new sanctions regime approved by Congress, it will close the Straits.  If it does that it will throw a huge wrench into the flows of Middle East oil around the world and send the price of oil through the roof.  Obama claims he has a plan to counteract such an Iranian act.  What might that be?  He’s not saying.  But it’s highly likely that anything the U.S. might do to respond to such an Iranian closure would escalate tensions even further.  How much higher can they go before real hostilities break out?  And perhaps that’s precisely what the U.S. and Israel want–to ratchet up pressure gradually so that Iran finally breaks and does something that will be a cause for war.  If they do this incrementally, they believe the world won’t be as likely to blame THEM for starting the war.  But we know better, don’t we?

On a slightly different note, UPI is reporting the settlement of a lawsuit brought by the government against the defense contractor which provides the fuses for the bunker buster bombs Obama gave the Israelis for use in penetrating Iran’s underground nuclear facilities.  The lawsuit alleged that fuses for the weapons were defective.  This may have some impact on Israel’s plans for attacking Iran, unless they’ve already solved the problem.

Returning to the NY Times story, I found this passage in David Sanger’s report to be foolhardy:

…A White House spokesman said there would be no comment on the Iranian threat to close the strait. That seemed in keeping with what administration officials say has been an effort to lower the level of angry exchanges, partly to avoid giving the Iranian government the satisfaction of a response and partly to avoid spooking financial markets.

You mean passing a law to destroy Iran’s ability to feed its people wasn’t provocation enough?  And not responding to the Iranian threat will somehow assuage them?  And do Sanger and Obama think that the financial markets don’t read the NY Times and won’t understand the full import of the Iranian threat?

As I’ve written here, any attempt to stop Iran’s access to world oil markets is likely to blow up in our faces.  It will send the price of oil sky-high, it will not necessarily shut Iran out of the markets, and will benefit Iran which stands to gain a financial windfall from increased oil prices.   In fact, today world oil prices broke the $100/barrel  barrier.  Hey, the sky’s the limit.  Howard Kohr and the boys from Aipac are probably working up some new ploy which will send them even higher.  I can’t wait to find out what they have in store for us next.  And this couldn’t have happened at a more opportune moment economically when the 99% (which excludes Obama, Sherman, Harman, Berman, et al.) face a looming recession and nearly 10% unemployment.

Don’t ya just love the cool certainty of this Treasury Department wise man who assures us the administration knows precisely how to handle this situation so that it will cause maximum harm to Iran and minimum harm to the U.S.:

“We have flexibility here, and I think we have a pretty good opportunity to dial this in just the right way that it does end up putting significant pressure on Iran.”

Why didn’t you say so?  Now I know we’re in good hands and nothing bad can come of this nonsense.

So here’s the U.S. plan in all its brilliance:

…The administration’s aim is to reduce Iran’s oil revenue by diminishing the volume of sales and forcing Iran to give its customers a discount on the price of crude.

Got that?  Through some sort of magical hocus-pocus we’re going to cut Iran’s ability to sell oil to anyone.  That won’t send the price of oil for us through the roof by some sleight of hand.  Luckily, there are some sane analysts out there who take a dim view of the practicalities of this:

Some economists question whether reducing Iran’s oil exports without moving the price of oil is feasible, even if the market is given signals about alternative supplies. Already, analysts at investment banks are warning of the possibility of rising gasoline prices in 2012, due to the new sanctions by the United States as well as complementary sanctions under consideration by the European Union.

Note that the administration plans to offer “alternative supplies” to Iran’s trading partners so that they can wean themselves from that country’s oil.  We haven’t ever been able to get the Saudis to do anything we wanted regarding raising or lowering their oil production.  Now all of a sudden not only will the Saudis answer the call, but they’ll have enough to replace what the world supply will lose from Iran.  Libya, Iraq (with it’s Shiite majority largely sympathetic to Iran) and Angola will take up the slack.  Oh, and we’ve got to approve the Keystone pipeline too and approve all those new fracking wells that threaten to destroy the water supply for hundreds of thousands of Americans.  If you believe this fairy tale, I’ve got a rusting hulk of a NYC bridge to sell you.

Another alarming intended effect of the new sanctions is to wreck the Iranian economy, which is supposed to be in free-fall.  But this appears to be a game of chicken: who will such a collapse hurt more–the country’s rulers or the tens of millions of ordinary Iranians who will be bankrupted and starved by the destruction of their national economy?  I strongly doubt that the common folk will rise up to smite their rulers because of the impact of these sanctions.  In fact, it’s liable to have precisely the opposite effect.  While we’re playing this game of Russian roulette determining who will lose the most, thousands of Iranian babies will begin dying from lack of basic sustenance and available health care just as happened in Saddam’s Iraq.  Is this really a moral burden Barack Obama wants to shoulder?  Of course, George Bush was happy to do so.  And the Aipac crowd will be happy to do so as well.  But does Obama want to be called the killer of Iranian babies?

Note also how the alleged Iranian plot to assassinate the Saudi ambassador has become real in this passage from Sanger’s report:

…A plot to assassinate the Saudi ambassador to the United States…

Now here I always thought it was the responsibility of the government to prove its claims in a court of law.  How foolish of me.  I didn’t realize reporters could decide for themselves that a government allegation was actually a proven fact.

New Evidence Iran Cracked Communications System of U.S. Stealth Drone, Downed It

Friday, December 16th, 2011
u.s. rq-170 drone

Captured U.S. RQ-170 drone on display in Iran (AFP/Getty)

There is new evidence to support Iran’s claim that the U.S.’ most advanced stealth drone, the RQ-170, did not crash inside Iran due to a simple malfunction as U.S. officials claimed.  But rather, the Iranians attacked weaknesses in its GPS system to force it to land inside Iran.  Jeffrey Carr and Public Intelligence released separate statements adding credence to the Iranian claims.  Public Intelligence released a secret air force report that described serious weaknesses in the drone communications systems which might allow them to be sabotaged or jammed by those it is targeting.  After reading this report, Carr, a top cybersecurity expert wrote this:

With this report as background, the capture of the RQ-170 by Iranian forces needs to be evaluated fairly and not dismissed as some kind of Iranian scam for reasons that have more to do with embarrassment than a rational assessment of the facts.

An Iranian engineer familiar with his country’s campaign to sabotage U.S. drones described it to the Christian Science Monitor:

“The GPS navigation is the weakest point,” the Iranian engineer told The Monitor, giving the most detailed description yet published of Iran’s “electronic ambush” of the highly classified US drone. “By putting noise [jamming] on the communications, you force the bird into autopilot. This is where the bird loses its brain.”

The “spoofing” technique that the Iranians used – which took into account precise landing altitudes, as well as latitudinal and longitudinal data – made the drone “land on its own where we wanted it to, without having to crack the remote-control signals and communications” from the US control center, says the engineer.

CNN reported on December 6th that U.S. officials claimed the drone was doing reconnaissance on an “intelligence” flight over western Afghanistan and not intending to enter Iranian airspace:

A senior U.S. official with direct access to the assessment about what happened to the drone said it was tasked to fly over western Afghanistan and look for insurgent activity, with no directive to either fly into Iran or spy on Iran from Afghan airspace.

Since there are no quotations in this passage it’s hard to know what this official said.  But it may very well be that the drone wasn’t surveilling Iran from within Afghanistan but rather from within Iran itself.  This would allow the statement to be nominally true, with an emphasis on very nominally.

Today, defense secretary Leon Panetta reacted to Iran’s demand of Afghanistan that it cease serving as a host for U.S. drones and their incursions into its territory.  Instead of denying this as it had earlier, Panetta said such flights would continue:

Defense Secretary Leon E. Panetta, visiting with Afghanistan’s president, Hamid Karzai, in Kabul on Wednesday, said that surveillance flights over Iran would continue despite the loss of the drone.

A major about-face in U.S. policy which few in the media seem to have noticed.  So in fact, the U.S. is now admitting that it is invading Iran’s territory, which is a major escalation in the battle of wills between Israel-U.S. and Iran.

In that December 6th report, the U.S. official seemed to lie again when he said all the Iranians have is a “pile of rubble.”  Given that the Iranians are displaying an intact RQ-170 for public viewing, that would seem to give the lie to this claim as well.  Unless the U.S. would like to claim that the craft on display isn’t the one the Iranians brought down.  But then again, how did they get this one if not the way they claim?

Aside from its implications for heating up the covert U.S.-Israeli war on Iran, these reports raise another serious issue: the U.S. now has near zero credibility in almost anything it has to say about Iran.  Its claims about the nature, trajectory and imminence of the Iranian bomb program; its claims about IRG hit men seeking to assassinate Saudi ambassadors; its claims it is not involved with acts of sabotage and violence inside Iran; its claims not to be involved in cyber warfare episodes like Stuxnet…all of these have been questioned, even ridiculed by seasoned analysts.  This new development will hold U.S. protestations up for even greater disdain.  They will also cause future claims by the U.S. on these and related subjects to be treated dubiously.

I’m also reminded of U.S. claims that Osama bin Laden was not murdered in cold blood.  They have the videotape to prove what happened.  The fact that they don’t release them tells us the truth.

In fact, I’m thinking that U.S. officials may be taking lessons from the Israeli hasbara apparatus: when anything happens that makes you look bad, lie and deny it.  If someone catches you in a lie it will take so long for them to do so that you’ll already be onto the next story and the media and public will be scrambling to catch up.  When you can, make up stuff to make your opponent look bad.  This is why I treat pronouncements from the Israeli military-intelligence apparatus skeptically.  Any statement from the Israelis that is at odds with or contrary to their interests I treat with deference and respect; any statement that advances their ulterior motives must be taken with great a grain of salt unless it can be verified independently.  Now we need to do the same with our own government.

New IDF Special Forces Command to Attack Iran

Thursday, December 15th, 2011
Idf special forces iran command

Yediot headline: 'General Iran Command'

The IDF announced in the past few days that it was creating a new Special Forces command (Hebrew) that would be designed to project Israeli force far beyond its borders.  It would operate behind enemy lines and take the fight to the other side and sabotage key infrastructure and generally wreak havoc.  The Yediot headline announces, only slightly facetiously, the promotion of the new commander to “General of the Iran Command.”  Haaretz’s article (Hebrew, and a shorter version in English) also points out that this will be one of the special purposes of the new operational command.

The units in the new command would not operate in areas like Lebanon or Gaza where there are already Special Forces who could serve.  It would be designed to operate at longer distances of more than 50 miles from Israeli territory.  To give one an idea of how important the new “Deep Command” is, its military leader will report directly to the chief of staff.

The Mossad already engages in such operations, but the new command would engage in more complex operations involving numbers of personnel and military-type firepower.  It would also combine air, land and sea operations that cross operational boundaries.  That’s why Israeli reporter’s first thought is that this would be a perfect match for Iran.  My only question would be how it could operate so far from Israeli territory.  But if you think about Iran’s neighbors and the fact that American forces are based right next door in Afghanistan (where the U.S. super-drone was based which fell inside Iran last week), it’s not beyond the realm of possibility for Israeli personnel to operate secretly from territory much closer to Iran.  It might also be possible for Israeli commandos to be delivered to Iran by sea.  If it were discovered though that Israeli forces were based even secretly in a Muslim country it would be terribly embarrassing to the host nation.

Another type of mission this new unit could pursue would be something like the reconnaissance allegedly performed by Israeli forces at the Syrian nuclear site before IAF jets destroyed it in 2007.  As the IDF is known to have intercepted and destroyed purported shipments of Iranian arms in Sudan and elsewhere that were destined for Gaza, this is another role the Deep Command could perform, interdicting arms shipments while still far from Israel’s borders.  The latter is especially concerned about arms shipments to Hezbollah routed from Iran through Syria.  This too would be an operations responsibility for the new unit.

This is without doubt an escalation in the war of nerves and sabotage by Israel against Iran.  The former is already conducting a covert war killing Iranian generals and scientists and blowing up key military bases.  Now it may secure the wherewithal to mount even larger scale operations.  The drawback is that just like the Bay of Pigs invasion, in which the CIA bit off far more than it could chew, ending in a disaster that sorely embarrassed a new U.S. president, this new combat command too could attempt a mission inside Iran that could misfire badly.  Think Jimmy Carter’s abortive rescue mission of the U.S. hostages in Iran in 1979.

The new IDF deployment is also designed to spook the Iranians into believing that the ‘long arm’ of the IDF has just grown longer.  You hear this sort of testosterone-infused bragging from IDF generals, Israeli intelligence sources and their journalistic enablers all the time.  The problem is that I doubt the Iranians are spooked.  In fact, the more Israel brags about its capabilities the more likely they are to make a mistake, of which the Iranians are sure to take advantage.

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