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Posts Tagged ‘egypt’

Israeli Warship Violates Egyptian Waters, Captain Imprisoned

Monday, September 12th, 2011
dvora class ship

Israel's Dvora class patrol boat

Haaretz reports today a story first broken by Channel 10 news, that an Israeli navy patrol boat violated Egyptian territorial waters last week, encroaching nearly half a mile into Egypt.  Israeli censorship prevents the naming of the country whose waters were violated.  But an Israeli source confirms that it was Egypt.  Israel is describing the incident as a “navigational error” on the part of the captain, who was charged, convicted and imprisoned.  The IDF is claiming that the captain corrected course when his error was caught by shore radar which directed him back to international waters.  The Haaretz report says that Egypt did not detect the violation and did not challenge the vessel.

While this explanation is possible, it’s also possible Israel wished to test Egypt’s surveillance/security systems to see how or if they might respond to an intrusion.  Of course, it’s unlikely they would imprison a ship captain for doing such an approved mission.  But who knows.  Simply the fact that an Israeli navy captain, sailing near the waters of a frontline state with extremely tense relations with Israel would make such a blunder isn’t just troubling, it’s borderline nuts.

Remember what happened a few years ago to the British naval patrol boat captured by Iran, thus causing an international incident of enormous proportions.  If you think the Egypt-Israel peace treaty hangs by a thread now, imagine what would happen if this Israeli boat had been captured.  Instead of one Gilad Shalit, imagine 30 of them in Egyptian custody.  Of course the Egyptian military would want to spirit them back to Israel as fast as possible.  But would the Egyptian popular movement permit it?

The main point of this episode is how easy it would be to light up this tinderbox and cause a war.  And a good part of the reason why conditions are so bone dry is Bibi Netanyahu’s truculent “leadership.”  He reminds me a bit of the hubris exhibited by the British forces storming the beaches at Gallipoli during WWI, only to be mown down in their thousands by superior Turkish power.  Bibi tells the nation to join with him and charge into the maw of certain defeat.  The peoples of Egypt and Turkey are arrayed against him and behind them the combined nations of the General Assembly.  No matter.  All Israel has to do is stay the course and all will end well.  Where did we hear that one before?

It’s worth noting also that two days before this incident, an Egyptian naval patrol detected an Israeli yacht in Egyptian waters.  When the private security guards and crew aboard, some of whom were Israeli and others foreigners, feared they would be boarded, they dumped their weapons overboard.  The Egyptian navy took them in for questioning.  After intercession from the Israeli foreign ministry, the security guards were released.  Though it’s possible these were more than private security guards protecting an Israeli client’s yacht from pirates, which is how the Israeli media has explained it, it’s possible the story is more or less as reported.

With Egypt, Turkey Lost as Israeli Allies, Where to Turn?

Monday, September 12th, 2011
bush and saudi king

Could this be Bibi next?

To Saudi Arabia, perhaps?  That’s right, the birthplace of most of the 9/11 hijackers and ancient birthplace of Islam.  A religion that Bibi, his followers, and more importantly, his father detest.  One of the most conservative monarchies in the world.  That’s where Bibi sees Israel’s next alliance according to Aluf Benn in Haaretz:

Netanyahu now hopes that Israel might be able to get close with Saudi Arabia and the other Gulf States, who also seek to block the possibility of an Arab Spring in the region. In the West, Netanyahu is hoping to circumvent Turkey by strengthening ties with Greece, Bulgaria and Romania. During his visit to the Balkans, he was shown photos and statues of national heros [sic], sent to their deaths by the Ottoman Empire. A real basis for friendship.

That, and Lieberman’s bold strategic genius in suggesting Israel offer advanced weaponry to the PKK to hurt the Turks where they live, are all that’s needed to mend all the damage Bibi’s done to Israel’s standing both in the region and world.  Doesn’t Israel have enough proxy wars going on with Iran supporting Hezbollah and allegedly Hamas.  Does it want to add to the list by angering the Turks?  Does he want Turkish warships off-loading weapons for Hamas?  Because if Israel plays with fire by sending a single bullet to the PKK, they’re liable to pay dearly for it.

So let’s see, Bibi will balance the loss of Egypt, one of the most influential states in the Arab world; and Turkey, the Muslim country whose wealth and sway are growing faster than any other in the region, if not the world; with the gain of alliances with Saudi Arabia, Greece, Bulgaria and Romania.  Really?

There is one saving grace though, that may prevent an Israeli war with Turkey.  Ben Zion Netanyahu has publicly expressed his admiration for the Ottomans, who would go into a restive village in Palestine, search out a few troublemakers and hang ‘em in the square to show people who’s boss.  With such family admiration for the Ottomans, how can Bibi go against his dad?  In fact, dad has offered such historical examples to his son as suitable ways to rein in those uppity Palestinians causing Bibi so much trouble.  So I don’t see how Bibi can well suit up against the modern heirs of the Ottomans.

Israel: Things Going to Hell in Hand Basket

Sunday, September 11th, 2011

porcupine

Israel's new 'porcupine policy' substitutes for real policy in aftermath of Arab Spring


Ethan Bronner wrote a story today with the deeply ironic (for him) title:Beyond Cairo, Israel Sensing a Wider Siege. Ironic, of course, because one of the major themes of the Israeli Occupation of late has been the siege against Gaza. Now it appears, the siege is staring Israel right back in the face.

Bronner’s story actually isn’t half-bad, which is a major achievement for him.  But it must’ve pained him deeply to have done so, since the story presented Israel’s status in the Middle East in a dispiriting way.  It’s almost unremittingy bleak.  Which is uncharacteristic of Bronner, who almost always tries to see the glass as half full as far as Israel is concerned.

With the storming of the Israeli embassy in Cairo yesterday, Turkey close to severing relations with Israel, and the Palestinians prepared to mount the barricades to gain statehood this month at the UN, things are looking mighty grim for Bibi Netanyahu these days.  As usual, he manages to put the shoe on the other foot by blaming everyone but himself for this predicament:

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel warned that Egypt “cannot ignore the heavy damage done to the fabric of peace.”

What Bibi fails to get into his thick skull is that with the Arab Spring, most frontline countries, with the possible exception of Jordan, no longer value the cold peace Israel has offered for decades.  With Egypt now run by a regime more prone to acknowledge popular will, and Turkey run by a government which is refusing to take s(^t from Israel, and the PA possibly awakening a least for a moment from its slumber, Israel can no longer feign shock and indignation when Arab states with whom it was ostensibly at peace take a look at the mess of porridge Israel has offered them and respond: “No thanks, we prefer the real thing.”

When I read the following quotations from Israeli diplomatic ‘sages,’ they reminded me of the sort of shoulder-shrugging statements one might’ve heard from Roman diplomats on the eve of the sacking of the city by the Germanic hordes:

“Egypt is not going toward democracy but toward Islamicization,” said Eli Shaked, a former Israeli ambassador to Cairo who reflected the government’s view. “It is the same in Turkey and in Gaza. It is just like what happened in Iran in 1979.”

A senior official said Israel had few options other than to pursue what he called a “porcupine policy” to defend itself against aggression. Another official, asked about Turkey, said, “There is little that we can do.”

Another way of looking at this sort of attitude is that it’s like a man whose bedroom catches fire.  Instead of putting out the fire, he shuts the door and moves to the living room, dons ear buds and cranks up his iPod.

Like the ancient Chinese, Israel is contemplating building yet another wall to keep the Arab hordes out, this time in Sinai.  But once again Israel refuses to learn from history.  That wall in China didn’t work.  The empire’s enemies simply went around it.

Israel, of course, has one reliable ally, the U.S.  No matter what Israel does or says, no matter how outrageous its behavior, Barack Obama seems to have fallen back on the Bush administration approach of benign neglect.  The only problem with this approach, advocated in another Times story yesterday by an administration voice that sounded like Dennis Ross’, is that benign neglect doesn’t work when both sides have lots of weapons in their hands and aren’t afraid to use them.  Such neglect will lead almost inexorably to yet another blood bath.  The question is not if, but when and where and how many [die].

Obama, Clinton Intervene to Protect Israeli Diplomatic Interests During Egyptian Riots

Friday, September 9th, 2011
storming israeli embassy

Egyptians storming Israeli embassy in Cairo (Amr Nabil/AP)

I don’t know about you, but I find remarkable this passage from Al Jazeera’s report on today’s Cairo riots which swirled around the Israeli embassy and spilled over into attacks on neighboring Egyptian security facilities:

US President Barack Obama was first to react, calling on Egypt to protect the embassy and “to honour its international obligations to safeguard the security of the Israeli Embassy.”

A White House statement said that “the President expressed his great concern about the situation at the embassy, and the security of the Israelis serving there”.

The statement said that Obama spoke by telephone to Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, and the two agreed “to stay in close touch until the situation is resolved”.

Hillary Clinton, the US secretary of state, also called Mohamed Kamel Amr, Egypt’s foreign minister, to urge Egypt to meet its Vienna Convention obligations to protect diplomatic property, a senior state department official said.

And this from the NY Times report:

United States officials said Defense Minister Ehud Barak of Israel had called Defense Secretary Leon Panetta, who in turn asked the Egyptian military to try to restore order at the embassy.

Last I checked, Israel was not a U.S. protectorate, but rather an independent nation. Why Israel should not feel confident appealing directly to Egypt in this case, and instead turned to its evident protectors, Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton, is beyond me. It seems a grave error on the part of Obama to publicly announce his intervention, as it will further tarnish Israel’s and America’s reputations in the Arab world. We look like the Bobsey Twins or, if you will, Tweedle Dee and Tweedle Dum.

I can’t recall our government taking any particular public interest in the violation of the embassies of other countries in other cases, nor do I recall the Israelis warning the Iranians to release our hostages in 1979 (a lot of difference it would’ve made if they had!), though others may correct me.

This is yet another example of the abject failure of Obama’s Mideast policy. Like Aipac, he doesn’t recognize where the interests of the U.S. and Israel differ.  I’d say he doesn’t deserve to win the next election if there were any candidate remotely appealing. But alas, there isn’t.

Israel must’ve been petrified that the assault and dumping of documents from embassy windows would expose secret intelligence files to public scrutiny. That’s the only reason I can think that Israel would go to the extraordinary length of calling on big brother to intercede on its behalf.  Further, this indicates how much lower Israel’s stature has sunk in the region.  Now it has picked huge fights with Turkey (killed nine of its citizens on the Mavi Marmara) and Egypt (killed five of its soldiers after Eilat attack and invaded Egypt in doing so).  It of course, threatens Iran with annihilation semi-regularly.  The only neighboring state with which it has no major bone to pick (or vice versa) is Jordan.

At this rate, Israel may need for the U.S. to intervene to save it from its worst impulses toward self-destruction.  Though I have no confidence that Obama can do this in a way that won’t bring Israel and his own administration into even greater disrepute.

Bibi and Barak’s Terror Fraud: Egyptian News Reports Attackers Were Egyptian, Not Gazan

Monday, August 22nd, 2011

Al Masry Al Youm, an independent liberal Egyptian newspaper, reports that Egypt has identified at least three of the Eilat attackers and that they are Egyptian, and not Gazan as Israel has claimed:

Egyptian authorities have identified three of the people responsible for carrying out a terrorist attack in Israel, just north of Eilat, on Thursday, in which seven Israelis were killed, according to an Egyptian security source.

The same source added that one of the men identified is a leader of terrorist cells in Sinai, while another is a fugitive who owns an ammunition factory.

What is intriguing about this story is that it would explain many things which appeared to be discrepancies when the theory was that Gazans were involved.  First, the Israeli bus driversaid the attackers wore Egyptian army uniforms.  Now, it might be possible for Gazans to get such uniforms, but it would be much easier for Egyptians to do so.  Second, the Israelis themselves have disagreed about the authors of the crime, with Netanyahu claiming the Popular Resistance Commitee was behind it and the IDF spokesperson specifically rejecting her boss’ claim.  All of which leads one to believe that the Israelis don’t have a clue who was behind it.  Third, well over half the attackers escaped, which is highly unusual for a terror attack on Israel.  It would be much easier for Egyptian terrorists to melt back into Sinai than for Gazans to do so.  Fourth, it would be a lot easier for Egyptians to mount an attack on Eilat than for Gazans to do so considering how far the latter would have to travel to get to the Israeli city.  Fifth, Israel bombed a house containing the entire top leadership of the PRC, killing three commanders.  If the PRC was responsible for the attack it simply beggars belief for their top leaders to be sitting in the same house together when they should be going into deep hiding.  Sixth, there have been five bombings of the Egyptian pipeline bringing gas to Israel.  Clearly, there are Egyptians who, in the light of the new Egyptian leadership, are not happy with continuing good relations between Egypt and Israel and willing to engage in terror to disrupt it.

All this would mean, if true, that Israel was not only caught with its pants down by the attack itself, but it hasn’t been able to pull them up in the aftermath either.  I can’t recall previously seeing such disarray within the Israeli military-political echelons as a result of a terror attack.  But it would seem to indicate some serious dysfunction.

H/t to readers Mary Hughes Thompson and Chayma for the story and link.

UPDATE: I’m just as competitive as the next political blogger, and to my chagrin I wrote this post last night (18 hours ago) and then queried a few Egyptians I knew about how realiable a source Al Masry was.  Then I waited for a reply, but one never came.  Then I somehow forgot I hadn’t actually published the post.  A comment in another thread by a reader made me realize I hadn’t published this and so did so a few hours ago.  But this delay allowed me to read Yossi Gurvitz’s 972 Magazine post which goes over some of the ground here, but adds a few interesting points I either didn’t know or hadn’t considered, which further buttress the argument that Bibi and Barak are perpetrating a fraud of massive proportions.

First, Gurvitz argues that Israel always releases the names and home villages of captured or killed terrorists within hours of the attack.  For Israel, it is a way of pinning blame where Israel feels it belongs.  But in the case of this incident, not only hasn’t Israel released this information, but IDF spokesperson Avital Leibowitz, when asked for it by Gurvitz, flatly refused to provide it.  Sorry fellas, but something ain’t right here.  Israel is a creature of habit.  It follows a time honored routine in matters like this.  The fact that it’s deviating from SOP is a major “tell.”

Also, Gurvitz notes that B’Tselem has tried to identify, through Gaza sources, who the attackers might’ve been, and has failed.  In addition, any Gaza family which discovers a relative was killed in a terror attack would do the Jewish equivalent of sit shiva.  This would be a public ritual and known to everyone in Gaza.  Yet somehow mysteriously there are no such mourning tents for the dead attackers.

If those of us who smell a rat here are right, then it would appear that Barak and Bibi knew the attackers were Egyptian.  That meant that they had two choices: either commence a major row with Egypt over the attack which might lead to a regional or international escalation which Israel couldn’t afford considering it’s already feuding with Turkey.  Or Israel could blame its usual whipping boy, Gaza and Hamas.  This way it could attack the usual suspects, draw blood, and go home after declaring victory.  Israelis wouldn’t be any the wiser, and Israel wouldn’t have to upset the unsteady apple cart of relations with the new Egyptian regime.

Something ain’t right about this picture.  It is the duty of the Israeli media to start asking questions, and pronto.  We may have yet another scandal brewing here.

UPDATE I: Prof. Joel Beinin, a respected Egypt studies scholar confirms that Al Masry is an indepencent liberal newspaper with no particular axe to grind regarding this story.   He says that Al Masry’s story makes sense and might explain why Israel killed Egyptian security forces by accident.  In other words, I’ve reported earlier that the Israeli bus driver whose bus was attacked near Eilat said the attackers wore Egyptian army uniforms.  Most of these terrorists escaped back into Egypt.  Israel would’ve alerted the Egyptians to this and the latter would have pursued them.  But then you’d have legitimate Egyptian soldiers pursuing attackers wearing Egyptian military uniforms.  It stands to reason that Israeli forces also pursuing the attackers inside Egypt might’ve easily mistaken the good guys for the bad guys.

Interestingly, the killing of the Egyptian soldiers by Israel indicates that Israel violated Egyptian sovereignty in hot pursuit of the terrorists.  It’s common for Israel to do this with weak states like Lebanon, but not more formidable neighbors like Egypt.  This potentially could be a incendiary issue if it got out widely inside Egypt.

UPDATE II: Prof. Ellis Goldberg, an Egypt specialist at the University of Washington, also just confirmed the reliability of Al Masry in the context of this story.  He sent me a link to a new story in today’s Al Masry.  It describes the Israeli incursion which killed the five Egyptian security officers (not three, as the NY Times has reported):

Reliable sources said that an Israeli unit entered (Sinai) at border point 79, in pursuit of the Eilat attackers, and then fought with the Egyptian unit stationed there.  The sources said that an Israeli helicopter intervened in the clash, and fired two missiles, and then hovered vertically over the Egyptian unit and opened fire with two machine guns, killing instantly Captain Ahmed Galal–with nine shots and a number of [missile] fragments–two soldiers, and two others [who] died later.

…A vehicle belonging to the border security forces, was on its way to the scene, and was exposed to a barrage of fire launched by the Israeli force and the armed groups.

What is extraordinary about all this is that Israeli forces not only invaded Egypt to pursue these attackers, but that they engaged with legitimate Egyptian security forces (rather than the militants), and severely sabotaged the Egyptian operation to capture the killers.  This meant that in the gun battle, the Egyptian forces were not just fighting the Eilat militants, but the IDF as well.  Man, this is a screw-up of massive proportions.

It is one thing to kill terrorists who’ve attacked your citizens, this may be justified.  But in this case the IDF has killed 14 Gazans who likely had nothing to do with the Eilat assault, not even the ones Israel has identified as Gaza militants.  Just as many parts of Operation Cast Lead qualify to be investigated as war crimes, I’d say the Gaza reprisals are right up there on the scale of impunity.  Can the leader of any nation get away with attacking another that didn’t even attack it at all?  If this isn’t a war crime, what is?

The Al Masry describes the three Eilat attackers its forces killed and there can be no doubt that they are Egyptian and not Gazan:

The 3 attackers are … the actual commander of the terrorist and takfiri (militant islamists) in central Sinai, one of the inmates who escaped from Egyptian prison during the recent security chaos, and a member of the (Salafist) group “Al-Tawhid Wal-Jihad” who owns an ammunition factory that (Egyptian) security forces discovered last week.

Idan Landau also writes an extraordinarily comprehensive blog post, Conspiracy in the South, about this in which he reaches similar conclusions to Yossi and I.  Idan puts this incident in the historic context of a number of other Israeli operations, among them the 1982 Lebanon invasion, which used equally bogus information to justify themselves.  He also equates the Israeli government’s fake account to the Bush administration’s bogus claims of WMD which led us to invade Iraq in 2003.

Idan also reinforces a post I wrote during the height of the J14 protest uproar.  I reported a story by Shalom Yerushalmi in which he warned the Israeli leadership not to engage in a military adventure that would distract the Israeli public from the very real social issues raised by the tent protests.  If we are all correct, and Bibi and Barak took advantage of the terror attack to escalate it into a major regional crisis, then Yerushalmi’s point will have been proven.  Bibi did precisely what the reporter had warned him not to do.  Masterful (unfortunately only in Hebrew).

Israeli-American Arrested in Egypt for Spying

Sunday, June 12th, 2011
ilan grapel

Ilan Grapel 'preaching Zionism' at Azhar University

An Israeli-American, Ilan Grapel, has been arrested by Egyptian authorities (Hebrew) and charged with recruiting people in Tahrir Square to spy for Israel.  Grapel is a native of Queens, NY and made aliya to Israel in 2004 and volunteered for service in the IDF, where he was wounded in the second Lebanon war (Hebrew).  He graduated from Johns Hopkins University in 2004 and also studied at Ben Gurion University.

Grapel is believed to have entered Egypt under the claim that he was a foreign correspondent covering events inside the country, when he is an Israeli citizen.  His Facebook account claims his job status is “preaching” at Azhar University in Cairo, which if true would be an exceedingly strange choice for an Israeli.  I presume it’s meant as a joke, though a strange one.  In fact, one of his Facebook photos shows him allegedly “preaching Zionism” at Azhar.  The kid (he looks quite young) seems very confused at the least.  And it’s no wonder that any Egyptian who checked out his Facebook profile would immediately suspect him of either being odd or an Israeli spy.

ilan grapel idf

Ilan Grapel in IDF uniform

Frankly, he would be a very stupid spy if he maintained a Facebook account showing him dressed in his IDF uniform.  That doesn’t mean that he isn’t.  Just that he or his superiors had a strange idea of how to create his spy identity.  Though I’m inclined to believe that Grapel is either a naive enthusiast or misguided idealist who doesn’t realize how foolish what he was trying to do was given his background. The Notes section of his Facebook profile contains some illuminating speeches about the Israeli-Arab conflict.  They reveal him to be an intelligent but highly conventional American Jewish liberal Zionist.  The fact that he thought he could pass for normal in Egypt in the midst of the Arab democratic revolution, given his generally hostile political views toward Palestinians, boggles the mind. Here is how he explained his plans to spend a year in Egypt:

I ended up in Egypt for a few reasons. I had a year off before starting life and wanted to get to as high a level of Arabic as possible before starting law school. Thus I wanted to live in an Arab country. My options were limited due to Israeli citizenship to– Egypt, Jordan, Tunisia, Morocco, Qatar, Mauratania…. Morocco doesn’t really speak Arabic so I thought it would be counterproductive and Tunisia was attractive but far away.  Jordan has the easiest and most useful dialect but is also surprisingly expensive.  Egypt was dirt cheap ($5/hour for a private teacher). Its dialect is annoying but its comprehension is important for the Arab world (oom a-doonia). Also, I was familiar with Cairo from past trips and had a few friends from Al-Azhar that would basically sit, converse, preach to me, in Arabic, for free, until state security scared them off….I would really like the chance to settle in another country, but don’t think I will have this chance again.

Grapel’s mother, when interviewed by Israeli news refused to specify what contacts, if any she’s had with the Israeli government, though she does make clear she expects help in her plight from the U.S. government.

The Israeli-American youth is accused of fomenting ethnic-religious tension and spying on the Egyptian military.  He was turned in by Egyptian young people who he allegedly attempted to recruit in return for financial payments.  He was arrested in one of Cairo’s most elegant hotels allegedly while equipped with multiple cellular phones, laptops, various documents, photographs he’d taken of Egyptian sites, and a large amount of money. The Israeli prime minister’s office immediately released a statement saying that he was not a Mossad agent.  The particular formulation raised my suspicions.  Why not say he was not an Israeli spy?  Why only say he wasn’t a Mossad agent?  Who else might he be spying for if not the Mossad? Yisrael HaYom quotes a friend of Grapel’s calling his arrest an “Egyptian provocation.”  We’ll have to see about that.  It could even more likely be an Israeli provocation.  Of course Israel would love to plant spies inside Egypt, though why they would attempt to plant someone of American origin doesn’t make much sense to me unless he’s attempting to recruit students from American University in Cairo. The original tweet I saw said his name was “Everlane Green,” another strange aspect of this case.  It isn’t even a credible American name if it was his cover or pseudonym.

Haaretz has just published a column by a friend of Grapel’s which, had I not known the things I already know about what he’s done, would make me certain he was a spy.  The friend protests that the jailed Israeli-American is a dove.  But he goes on to reveal that they both worked together for The Israel Project.  It is a right-wing Israeli media NGO and essentially an agent for the Israeli government.  It has close personal and personnel ties with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and perhaps even the intelligence services.  But this is how his friend describes it:

…We were both working at The Israel Project − an NGO that provides factual information about Israel and the Middle East to press, policy makers and the public.

It’s sorta like saying the Tea Party is a bunch of non-partisan Boy Scouts.  And of course makes everything he’s said about Grapel entirely suspect.  This tsk, tsk passage is priceless coming from an Israeli rightist warning luftmenschen like Grapel of where they live:

I guess he − like many more veteran members of the Israeli left − has learned to his disappointment that the Middle East just ain’t that kind of neighborhood.

I’ve read Grapel’s thoughts on the Israel-Palestine conflict.  He ain’t no leftist, though of course he is to someone like this who is a TIP right-wing ideologue.  But what I want to know if what in heaven’s name is this guy who’s worked for TIP and is an avowed Zionist doing in Cairo?

The Israeli foreign ministry, as is its wont under the “leadership” of Avigdor Lieberman, has confused matters even further by claiming Grapel’s Facebook photos placing him in Tahrir Square with Egyptian demonstrators “appear to be fabricated,” and Grapel is an innocent Israeli framed for political motives.  Though the latter might be true why would you claim Facebook photos were fabricated?

Egypt Re-Opens Gaza Border, Partially Dismantling Siege

Saturday, May 28th, 2011

egypt opens rafah

Palestinian man waits for Rafah border crossing to open (Eyad Baba/AP)

A cornerstone of U.S.-Israel policy over the past five years has just partially dissolved with Egypt’s reopening today of the Rafah border crossing.  This will allow passenger traffic (but not goods) to cross every day with little hindrance (though men from 18-40 will have to undergo a special security screening).  It leaves Israel to maintain its siege on its own border with Gaza.  Israel currently maintains the only border crossing that allows goods to cross.  But Egypt is considering removing even this restriction.  When it does (as I presume it will if there are no major problems with the Rafah opening), then the Israeli siege will be dead.  And yet another punitive U.S.-Israeli policy toward the Palestinians will have bitten the dust and shown itself to have served no useful purpose.

Ethan Bronner, as usual acting as the stenographer for the Israeli government and conveying the wishful thinking of its policy “experts,” claims the lifting of the Egyptian siege will actually help Israeli policy goals.  It supposedly will place a greater burden on Egypt to police its borders and, by extension, Hamas.  But the most laughable claim by the Israelis is that lifting the siege will actually release international pressure on Israel, since there presumably would no longer be any humanitarian crisis to make the world scream bloody murder.  What this neglects though, is that Egypt will likely shortly allow everything to enter Gaza, not just people.  And when that happens, Israel will look stupid if it maintains a blockade.  It’s reminds me of the extraordinary lengths to which the French went to build the Maginot Line, which they believed made them impregnable to German attack.  There was only one problem: when the Germans attacked, they went around it and conquered France in record time.  Maintaining a siege on one border when the other is completely open looks not only mean-spirited and ineffectual, but downright dumb.  Israel doesn’t like to be seen by the world as dumb.  So I predict even the Israeli siege will be drastically modified in six months or less.

Returning to Hamas, as Tony Karon so aptly writes at his Time Magazine blog, there is only one way to deal with it: engage.  If there is ever to be real peace between Israelis and Palestinians it will have to receive at least a tacit blessing from Hamas.  Laying siege to Gaza was a useless, wasted policy.  It secured nothing, proved nothing.  We (that is, the U.S., I can’t speak for Israel) should try something else.  Something more positive.  If we don’t, we will have only ourselves to blame and the corpses of hundreds or thousands more dead laid at our doorstep until we look at things more pragmatically and less ideologically.

Arab Democratic Revolution: Bringing It All Back Home–to Palestine

Monday, February 28th, 2011
palestinian non violent resistance to occupation

Palestinian non-violent resistance to Occupation

Larry Derfner wrote a suggestive column in the Jerusalem Post about what he hopes is the coming Palestinian democratic revolution.  AP’s West Bank reporter also traces developments on the ground there.

All this got me to thinking about how such a thing might happen.  Before I lay out my ideas I want everyone to understand that I do this not as a Palestinian, so I assume a certain humility in suggesting that others do things based on my own vision of how a Palestinian non-violent revolution could evolve.  I’m also aware that what Larry and I suggest in both our pieces may end in the death or maiming of Palestinians.  The only thing that heartens me about this is that such sacrifices will bring their people closer to realizing its national dreams and also ending an Occupation which is disastrous for the Israeli people as well.  What I hope to do is start a dialogue with my Palestinian and Israeli brothers and sisters.  It may be that what I suggest below is useful.  It may not be.  “You take what you need and leave the rest” as The Band used to sing.

While I admire Larry for his courage in being one of the lone lefty columnists at the Post and for the power of his voice, I think his column omits some critical differences between the Palestinian condition and those of other Arab nations where protests have toppled, or threaten to topple a powerful dictatorial elite.  These differences render a potential Palestinian revolution much more complicated.  First, you have two Palestinian populations, one in Israel which faces huge levels of disenfranchisement and discrimination; and another in Palestine which faces severe fragmentation given the alienation between Hamas and Fatah.  While both populations would benefit tremendously from such a movement for true democracy, their conditions and needs are quite different.  Israeli Palestinians need equality within Israel’s political and economic system.  Palestinians of the Territories need to rid themselves of the Occupation regime and gain sovereignty over their own land in an independent state.  While there are elements that tie these two conditions together, they are not the same and this complicates the situation for those seeking radical change.

Second, the Arab revolutions of Egypt, Tunisia, Yemen, Bahrain, Libya, etc. are indigenous revolutions within a discreet country in which the masses have arisen against their own leaders.  Palestine, on the other hand is occupied by an outside nation, Israel.  While the PA and Fatah are largely discredited politically, I don’t see any evidence that the masses of West Bankers are eager to chuck Fatah, nor do I see Gazans seeking to topple Hamas.  The problem for Palestinians (at least as they see it) is not so much their own leaders as Israel itself.  Yes, Palestinians need democracy and unity.  They need new elections and to be ruled by a single, coherent government in the form of a PA that includes both Fatah and Hamas and other political groupings.  But besides this indigenous political problem, there remains that 900 pound gorilla, Israel.

This makes the Palestinian revolution that much more difficult since they seek to topple not their own leaders, but an Occupation regime which Israel has installed and maintains.  So to an extent Palestinians will need to enlist the support of Israelis themselves and to a greater or lesser extent the outside world to dismantle this system of oppression.  This makes their task almost insurmountable in my opinion given that Israel shows absolutely no interest in doing so and world powers are equally disinclined to intervene forcefully.

Building on some of the elements of Larry’s column, here are some of my thoughts about how to create a Palestinian revolution:

Within Israel, Palestinians should attempt to build a mass movement that will formulate a few basic, easy to understand demands.  Then, following the example of Egypt, Tunisia and Bahrain, hundreds of thousands should march from their villages to Tel Aviv, Jerusalem and Haifa and occupy Rabin Square (Tel Aviv), Tzion Square (Jerusalem) and a similar central location in Haifa as Egyptians did Tahrir Square.  Israeli Bedouin should prepare to march en masse on the Negev villages from which they’ve been displaced.  Israeli Druze should mass in the Golan for reunification with their families on the Syrian side of the border.  Gazans should mass at the Israeli border crossings and demand their opening and the end of the siege.

menachem froman with korans for burned mosques

Rabbi Menachem Froman bears new Korans for burned Palestinian mosque

Israeli Jewish activists have a role to play here as well.  Instead of demonstrating only on Fridays at Sheikh Jarrah, they must create massive encampments to blockade the settler enclaves there which have dispossessed Palestinians from homes they’ve occupied for generations.  I would like to see Israeli Jews and Palestinians linking arms as Dr. Martin Luther King did in Selma with Rabbi Abraham Joshua Heschel.  Let’s see the forces for change led by Rabbis Menachem Froman and Arik Aschermann on the Israeli side and non-violent Palestinians like Mustafa Barghouti on the Palestinian.  Let’s call it the March Toward Freedom or something of the sort.  Let us dare the forces of repression to confront us and then allow the world to judge who is right and who is wrong.

American Jews have a role as well.  Jewish Voice for Peace, American Friends of Peace Now and other anti-Occupation forces should prepare to lobby strenuously for U.S. intervention to maintain the peace and end expected Israeli violence.  If prevailing assumptions are derailed by this massive resistance, then the consensus to maintain the status quo may be undermined.  Openings for new ideas and bold action can be created by such an explosive crisis.

Again, there are severe obstacles facing Israeli Palestinians that did not face Egyptians.  The latter regime was undemocratic, corrupt and sclerotic.  Israel is a quasi-democracy and at least nominally responsive to its citizens.  Its security apparatus is far more robust than Egypt’s.  No Israeli police will refuse to fire on demonstrators if ordered to do so.  No military personnel will mutiny and join the resistance.  Israel’s security forces will be disciplined and implacable.  There is no overtly corrupt elite on which the recruits will turn.

I have no doubt that Shabak will react harshly to any plans of the sort I’ve outlined.  They’ll arrest leaders en masse before such a plan gets underway (which is why it would be important to follow the Egyptian model and not have a single leader or even group of leaders–this much be a mass, decentralized movement).  The police-intelligence apparatus will mobilize huge levels of force to prevent such a march and they’ll do everything in their power to prevent Israeli Arabs from reaching their destinations.  The resistance should designate secondary targets if they are prevented from accessing their primary ones.  They should bring their tents and provisions and prepare to stay for the duration or until they are assaulted by the security apparatus.

Even if they fail, I think the level of brutality used against them will severely tarnish Israel’s reputation.  With each new massacre, with each war, with each new challenge to the Israeli system, the contradictions and inequities become ever more apparent.  Whatever the outcome of this effort, it will continue a progression toward an elemental, even existential crisis, an ongoing process of fragmentation of Israel’s dysfunctional political system.

As for Palestine, the strategy here must be different.  Palestinians must target more directly the symbols and presence of Occupation.  They should identify several key settlements (Ariel would be one) and mass hundreds of thousands to gather around them and lay non-violent siege to them.  This would be a perfect mirror of what Israel is doing to Gaza and I imagine would cause an immediate end to the Gaza siege.  Unlike in Gaza though, I don’t advocate starving settlers.  Rather their daily lives should be severely disrupted.  Their contact with the outside world (Israel) should be severed.  They should not go to work.  They should not leave their settlements.  They should not have electricity or telephone or television.  They should be made to feel how isolated they are.

If the IDF wants to break such sieges with violence then go right ahead.  A non-violent siege broken up with massive levels of violence would further and perhaps fatally wound the Occupation as a viable concept in the eyes of the world and perhaps even the most die-hard Israelis.

The Bilin protests against the Apartheid Wall should be escalated.  They should be brought to multiple villages which face losing access to their fields and land.  Palestinians should rally at places where the Wall isn’t complete and non-violently demand its dismantling.  If possible they should enter Israel, sit down just across the Green Line and symbolically occupy a few meters of Israeli territory.  Again, given the levels of brutality the IDF and Border Police have used against Bilin demonstrators I have little doubt that they would continue with such a policy of suppression.  However, if there were tens of thousands at these protests instead of hundreds as there are now, it would be much harder for Occupation forces to disrupt them.

Palestine is ripe for such a process of radical democratic change.  The question is how Israel will react.  Whether it will show the true ugly form of Occupation to the world, or whether it will succeed in finessing such a crisis and defusing it with little damage to its reputation.  If, as I believe is possible, Israel reacts with enormous levels of violence, this could sow the seeds of intervention by the international community to end Israel’s domination of Palestine.  It could set the state for a radical transformation both within Israel and Palestine.

What are the chances of this happening?  What were the chances on January 24th that Egyptians would topple the Mubarak regime?  You’ve got to start somewhere. And as the current Arab movements for change have shown, you’ve got to think big.  And you’ve got to try.  Just because you’ve failed 100 times before doesn’t mean the 101st time you’ll fail again.