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Posts Tagged ‘Barack Obama’

Atlanta Jewish Newspaper Advocates Mossad Assassinating Obama If Iran Gets Nukes

Friday, January 20th, 2012

Andrew Adler, now that’s a name that should live in Jewish infamy.  He’s the publisher of the Atlanta Jewish Times who actually published a column in his paper saying that one of three options Israel should consider on the day the Prime Minister hears that Iran has a nuclear weapon is for Mossad agents in the U.S. to assassinate Barack Obama.  Just in case you think I’m making this lunacy up here’s a screenshot of the column itself.  Here’s the money–or should I say, “kill shot.”  Adler writes that Option 3 is:

…Give the go-ahead for U.S.-based Mossad agents to take out a president deemed unfriendly to Israel in order for the current vice president to take his place, and forcefully dictate that the United States’ policy includes its helping the Jewish state obliterate its enemies.

Yes, you read option three correctly. Order a hit on a president in order to preserve Israel’s existence. Think about it. If I have thought of this Tom Clancy-type scenario, don’t you think that this almost unfathomable idea has been discussed in Israel’s most inner circles?

Another way of putting “three” in perspective goes something like this: How far would you go to save a nation comprised of seven million lives…Jews, Christians and Arabs alike?

You have got to believe, like I do, that all options are on the table.

No, actually I’ve got to believe that Andrew Adler is a class A asshole and an idiot to boot.  I could rail about the fact that the editor of a Jewish paper in one of America’s largest Jewish communities would pen such disgusting tripe.  But what disturbs me even more is that the tens of thousands of Jews living in Atlanta read not just this, but all the garbage this jerk writes.  Imagine the impact that this has on the tone and substance of political debate in that town.

Apparently, Israel has such a sterling reputation lately for political assassinations that Adler and others have come to believe that the best way of pursuing a political objective is to murder whoever stands in the way.  That’s one of the legacies that Israel’s far right government has bestowed to the world, both Jewish and non-Jewish.

Don’t think that Atlanta is alone.  The Jewish paper in the Five Towns published a similarly disturbing column a few years ago calling for the murder of Muslims.  Jews, even rabbis, dream up the most vile, disgusting scenarios for their fellow Jews.  In Israel, rabbis call for putting uppity Arabs in concentration camps.  We have much to ashamed of, just as we have much to be proud of: from our prophetic ethical tradition and inheritors of its mantle like Martin Buber, Judah Magnes and those who founded Brit Shalom; and their latter-day followers in NGOs like Sheikh Jarrah Solidarity, the Popular Committee Against Torture, Breaking the Silence, Peace Now and so many others.

Obama Ups Ante for War Against Iran

Friday, January 13th, 2012

strait of hormuzThose of you who know your World War I history will remember that that continental conflagration began with a match lit by the assassination of an Austrian archduke and his wife along a Serbian roadside.  Now Pres. Obama has opened yet another opportunity for yet another conflict in the Middle East by warning Iran that if it closes the Strait of Hormuz, the U.S. would go to war.

So you can expand the earlier U.S. claim that we would be willing to go to war only to prevent Iran from getting a nuclear weapon.  That now include battling it out over sea supremacy in the Persian Gulf.  In this sense, the U.S. is acting as a true colonial power in the old-fashioned sense by projecting its power for reasons that aren’t rooted in intrinsic U.S. interests.  It is true that a large amount of the world’s oil supply flows through the Gulf and that its closure would harm the world economy.  But there are many ways to deal with the disputes we face with Iran.  Threatening war over something like this almost invites war.  Now all that would be necessary is for one trigger-fingered Revolutionary Guard speedboat captain or one overeager U.S. Navy officer to press a button and send a ship to the bottom of the Gulf for there to be all-out mayhem.

This has happened numerous times in the past.  We shot down an Iranian jetliner killing nearly 300 civilians and they attacked us as well.  Imagine if any of that happened now.  There would be full scale conflict.  We can’t afford this.  Yet Obama is walking right into it with his eyes seemingly wide open (or is it “eyes wide shut?”).

Clearly, the U.S. has now given up hope or any chance of using diplomacy to resolve the conflicts with Iran.  Now we are reduced to issuing military threats and ultimatums.  Right now I’m thinking of that Marx Brothers line:

To war!  To war!  Fredonia’s going to war!

Except that this war will be far from a Marx Brothers farce.  It will be bloody nasty hell.  And naturally Israel will become involved pursuing its own interests and anything Israeli gets involved in becomes infinitely more bloody and complicated.

War began from a minor, possibly even imagined incident, in the Gulf of Tonkin.  It happened similarly in 1914.  It could easily happen again.  And if you think Barack Obama is too smart or too liberal a president to get us into something like this, you’re wrong.  Lyndon Johnson walked into the Vietnam War in a similar way.  All of Europe ended up slaughtering each other by the millions for a similar reason.

Washington Post Reports Iran Sanctions Goal is Regime Change, Then It Doesn’t

Tuesday, January 10th, 2012

In a story that might best be described as–first we were for regime change, until we weren’t–the Washington Post reported that a senior U.S. intelligence official said that the ultimate goal of U.S. sanctions against Iran is to induce enough hatred of the regime to cause it to collapse.  Here’s how that passage read in the originally titled, “Goal of Iran Sanctions is Regime Collapse, U.S. official Says,” before it was quickly removed (here Blake Hounshell reports on the first version):

The goal of U.S. and other sanctions against Iran is regime collapse, a senior U.S. intelligence official said, offering the clearest indication yet that the Obama administration is at least as intent on unseating Iran’s government as it is on engaging with it.

The official, speaking this week on condition of anonymity to discuss intelligence matters, said the administration hopes that sanctions “create enough hate and discontent at the street level” that Iranians will turn against their government.

As soon as the administration got wind of the story, it applied pressure on the Post to erase the original official’s statement, since it contradicted the government’s stated policy, which is that sanctions are designed to force Iran to relinquish its nuclear program.  But despite a prominently placed Correction notice, most of the rest of us know that the original source expressed the covert (or overt) intent of most of the Iran hawks both inside and outside government.

The two reporters who published this story are veterans.  They know when an official is endorsing regime collapse and when he’s not.  Despite the fact that the Post has now renounced the original version, I’m certain it was correct.  Just as I’m certain that sanctions not only have no hope of toppling the regime, they have no hope of budging Iran’s nuclear policy a single inch.

In a remark that states the obvious Hounshell, who sometimes seems to be channeling the powers that be, concedes that though some may wish for regime change “as far as we can tell, they aren’t there yet.”  An understatement.

Iran Threatens U.S. With Closure of Vital Strait If It Invokes New Oil Sanctions

Tuesday, December 27th, 2011

What do Howard Berman, Brad Sherman, Jane Harman, Gary Ackerman and all the other Congressional water-carriers for Aipac care about the impact of their vote for closing Iran’s oil spigot, even if it might force Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz in retaliation and start a regional war?  This is precisely the danger foreseen by the Founding Fathers when they arrogated the conduct of foreign policy to the executive branch and not the legislature.  Members of Congress grandstand and posture for their constituents.  They pander for votes.  Of course, they will vote for everything Aipac tells them to and more, in return for unlimited cash from pro-Israel donors.  Who the hell cares if their actions bring the region closer to conflagration?  When the shit hits the fan, they’ll blame Obama and say it’s the president who conducts foreign policy, not them.

strait of hormuz mapIran today warned that if Obama signs into law the new sanctions regime approved by Congress, it will close the Straits.  If it does that it will throw a huge wrench into the flows of Middle East oil around the world and send the price of oil through the roof.  Obama claims he has a plan to counteract such an Iranian act.  What might that be?  He’s not saying.  But it’s highly likely that anything the U.S. might do to respond to such an Iranian closure would escalate tensions even further.  How much higher can they go before real hostilities break out?  And perhaps that’s precisely what the U.S. and Israel want–to ratchet up pressure gradually so that Iran finally breaks and does something that will be a cause for war.  If they do this incrementally, they believe the world won’t be as likely to blame THEM for starting the war.  But we know better, don’t we?

On a slightly different note, UPI is reporting the settlement of a lawsuit brought by the government against the defense contractor which provides the fuses for the bunker buster bombs Obama gave the Israelis for use in penetrating Iran’s underground nuclear facilities.  The lawsuit alleged that fuses for the weapons were defective.  This may have some impact on Israel’s plans for attacking Iran, unless they’ve already solved the problem.

Returning to the NY Times story, I found this passage in David Sanger’s report to be foolhardy:

…A White House spokesman said there would be no comment on the Iranian threat to close the strait. That seemed in keeping with what administration officials say has been an effort to lower the level of angry exchanges, partly to avoid giving the Iranian government the satisfaction of a response and partly to avoid spooking financial markets.

You mean passing a law to destroy Iran’s ability to feed its people wasn’t provocation enough?  And not responding to the Iranian threat will somehow assuage them?  And do Sanger and Obama think that the financial markets don’t read the NY Times and won’t understand the full import of the Iranian threat?

As I’ve written here, any attempt to stop Iran’s access to world oil markets is likely to blow up in our faces.  It will send the price of oil sky-high, it will not necessarily shut Iran out of the markets, and will benefit Iran which stands to gain a financial windfall from increased oil prices.   In fact, today world oil prices broke the $100/barrel  barrier.  Hey, the sky’s the limit.  Howard Kohr and the boys from Aipac are probably working up some new ploy which will send them even higher.  I can’t wait to find out what they have in store for us next.  And this couldn’t have happened at a more opportune moment economically when the 99% (which excludes Obama, Sherman, Harman, Berman, et al.) face a looming recession and nearly 10% unemployment.

Don’t ya just love the cool certainty of this Treasury Department wise man who assures us the administration knows precisely how to handle this situation so that it will cause maximum harm to Iran and minimum harm to the U.S.:

“We have flexibility here, and I think we have a pretty good opportunity to dial this in just the right way that it does end up putting significant pressure on Iran.”

Why didn’t you say so?  Now I know we’re in good hands and nothing bad can come of this nonsense.

So here’s the U.S. plan in all its brilliance:

…The administration’s aim is to reduce Iran’s oil revenue by diminishing the volume of sales and forcing Iran to give its customers a discount on the price of crude.

Got that?  Through some sort of magical hocus-pocus we’re going to cut Iran’s ability to sell oil to anyone.  That won’t send the price of oil for us through the roof by some sleight of hand.  Luckily, there are some sane analysts out there who take a dim view of the practicalities of this:

Some economists question whether reducing Iran’s oil exports without moving the price of oil is feasible, even if the market is given signals about alternative supplies. Already, analysts at investment banks are warning of the possibility of rising gasoline prices in 2012, due to the new sanctions by the United States as well as complementary sanctions under consideration by the European Union.

Note that the administration plans to offer “alternative supplies” to Iran’s trading partners so that they can wean themselves from that country’s oil.  We haven’t ever been able to get the Saudis to do anything we wanted regarding raising or lowering their oil production.  Now all of a sudden not only will the Saudis answer the call, but they’ll have enough to replace what the world supply will lose from Iran.  Libya, Iraq (with it’s Shiite majority largely sympathetic to Iran) and Angola will take up the slack.  Oh, and we’ve got to approve the Keystone pipeline too and approve all those new fracking wells that threaten to destroy the water supply for hundreds of thousands of Americans.  If you believe this fairy tale, I’ve got a rusting hulk of a NYC bridge to sell you.

Another alarming intended effect of the new sanctions is to wreck the Iranian economy, which is supposed to be in free-fall.  But this appears to be a game of chicken: who will such a collapse hurt more–the country’s rulers or the tens of millions of ordinary Iranians who will be bankrupted and starved by the destruction of their national economy?  I strongly doubt that the common folk will rise up to smite their rulers because of the impact of these sanctions.  In fact, it’s liable to have precisely the opposite effect.  While we’re playing this game of Russian roulette determining who will lose the most, thousands of Iranian babies will begin dying from lack of basic sustenance and available health care just as happened in Saddam’s Iraq.  Is this really a moral burden Barack Obama wants to shoulder?  Of course, George Bush was happy to do so.  And the Aipac crowd will be happy to do so as well.  But does Obama want to be called the killer of Iranian babies?

Note also how the alleged Iranian plot to assassinate the Saudi ambassador has become real in this passage from Sanger’s report:

…A plot to assassinate the Saudi ambassador to the United States…

Now here I always thought it was the responsibility of the government to prove its claims in a court of law.  How foolish of me.  I didn’t realize reporters could decide for themselves that a government allegation was actually a proven fact.

U.S. Engaged in Covert War Against Iran?

Wednesday, December 7th, 2011

I’ve been intrigued by the question how involved the U.S. is in the black ops campaign against Iran that is being conducted largely by Israel.  I hadn’t noticed this article published two months ago by AP reporter, Douglas Birch.  In it, he delves into the question and comes up with more support for the thesis than I’d seen in previous reports:

The chief of Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization, Fereidoun Abbasi, told journalists at a meeting in Vienna last week that the United States was supporting an Israeli assassination campaign against his scientists.

…The U.S. has denied any role in the slayings [of three Iranian nuclear scientists].  ”We condemn any assassination or attack on a person – on an innocent person,” State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said after the latest killing in July. “We were not involved.”

…Yet there is little doubt that the Obama administration is pursuing a program of high-tech sabotage to disrupt Tehran’s suspected weapons-related nuclear efforts.

“I have no doubt that the U.S. and other countries were behind industrial sabotage aimed at the program of concern,” said Mark Fitzpatrick, a former State Department official who’s now at the International Institute for Strategic Studies in London.

…Publicly, the administration has pushed for…diplomatic isolation to pressure Iran…At the same time, former officials said, the U.S. and its allies have ramped up covert actions aimed at slowing Iran’s nuclear progress toward a bomb.  Ex-officials said the U.S. has been careful to target only those facilities suspected of playing a role in weapons work.

One former senior intelligence official said that the U.S. considered a scheme to use a burst of electromagnetic energy to knock out power to one suspected Iranian weapons-related site but rejected the plan because of the risk of causing a widespread power outage. The former official would only speak about classified matters on condition of anonymity.

The suspected sabotage campaign is widely seen as an alternative to military confrontation with Iran, which some experts say could have disastrous consequences for the Middle East.

A 2010 U.S. diplomatic memorandum published by…WikiLeaks quoted a German government official as saying that a program of “covert sabotage” against Iran, including explosions, computer hacking and engineered accidents, “would be more effective than a military strike whose effects in the region could be devastating.” The memo did not cite any specifics.

Birch goes on to note reports of Reagan era U.S. sabotage of a Russian trans-Siberian pipeline which caused a 3 megaton explosion seen from outer space.  This is all of a piece with recent developments including sabotaging of Iranian oil pipelines and military bases.

Moving on to a related subject, after the November 12th IRG missile base explosion, Channel 2′s (Israel) military reporter, Roni Daniel, participated in a wrapup of the weekly news and made the following claims.  That the blast killed not only Brig. Gen. Hassan Moggadam, the leader of the nation’s missile program, but that it killed another general, Mehdi Dashteen Zadah and a group of distinguished scientific researchers and PhDs in a series of critical fields (and here I’m quoting from the list Daniel stated on air): electro-chemistry, geophysics, mechanics and computer software simulation (imaging).  Daniel, who’s known to be a flack for the IDF and intelligence community, is quoting Ronen Solomon, who writes for Israel Defense.  So the information needs to be taken with a grain of salt.  But the specificity of some of the claims warrant further investigation.

Today a reporter working from U.S. sources, said that he’d also heard that the 17 who were mourned by Ayatollah Khamenei in a state funeral included senior military and scientific figures.  There exists a distinct possibility that the blast not only wiped out an advanced missile design being tested, but that it also wiped out a good deal of the scientific and technical expertise of the country’s missile program.  Again, not to be considered fully trustworthy until verified further.

On Diane Rehm’s weekly show, one of the guests was former CIA covert ops specialist and neocon darling Reuel Marc Gerecht.  He made the rather startling claim that Pres. Obama could engage in specific acts that were “lethal” inside Iran without requiring Congressional oversight, though he did concede that a full-on U.S. covert ops program would require it.  If Obama did request such Congressional approval there’s no doubt he’d be welcomed with open arms, which pretty much obviates the need for any such oversight to begin with.

Add to this the sense of nervousness this Reuters report induces, when it quotes U.S. officials acknowledging “a sense of opacity” about Israel’s intentions regarding Iran.  Don’t know about you, but if you don’t know the mind of one of your closest allies who’s been rattling sabers for years about an enemy, that’s time to start scanning the skies of F-16s.  The time to lay down the law with such an ally is before they take off.  You can’t bring them back after that.  I’m not event convinced Obama has the power to rein in Israel at all until it begins running out of Cruise missiles and bunker busters.  By then a lot of damage will have been done, and I’m not talking about Iran’s nuclear plants.  I’m talking about damage to U.S. credibility, damage from Iranian counterattacks, etc.  I fear Obama will stand by looking and acting helpless, which is pretty much the way his entire foreign policy looks these days.

Roger Cohen’s Appalling Endorsement of ‘Likudization’ of U.S. Foreign Policy

Saturday, December 3rd, 2011

obama undermines constitutionThere was a time just after the last Iranian election when Roger Cohen reported his brave, searing, and moving reports on the swelling of what many of us thought might be revolution, or at least democratic reform, when I thought the NY Times columnist was a true hero.  I hung on every word he wrote from and about Iran.  His vision seemed so true, so relentless.

But as sometimes happens in the crucible of ferocious epochal events, people rise above their pedestrian limitations and meet the call of history.  It is their finest hour.  But once the crisis is over they revert to same-old, same-old cautious thinking.  This is true of Roger Cohen.  He’s just written a column endorsing the Obama administration’s “silent” counter-terror policy of assassination and blatant violation of human and constitutional rights.  To be fully accurate, he’s actually added a caveat to this endorsement.  The policy makes him “uneasy.”  This is supposed to somehow reassure us that Cohen still has retained some sense of conscience about the reign of terror pursued by Barack Obama in Iran and Iraq and the rest of the Middle East.

I find it appalling.  If it were Jeffrey Goldberg or Tom Friedman, it’s something you’d expect: liberals who’ve been mugged by 9/11.  The result has made them go soft in the head and endorse policies they would find odious if practiced inside U.S. borders.  But to have Cohen join the parade of liberals betraying every value they should hold sacred is beyond discouraging.

He begins the column well enough with an important observation: that Obama has quite cleverly and diabolically (my words, not Cohen’s) pursued a “silent” counter-terror policy by which the U.S. has gone to war with its enemies in the Middle East without declaring it:

The Obama administration has a doctrine. It’s called the doctrine of silence. A radical shift from President Bush’s war on terror, it has never been set out to the American people. There has seldom been so big a change in approach to U.S. strategic policy with so little explanation.

I approve of the shift even as it makes me uneasy. One day, I suspect, there may be payback for this policy and this silence. President Obama has gone undercover.

You have to figure that one day somebody sitting in Tehran or Islamabad or Sana is going to wake up and say: “Hey, this guy Obama, he went to war in our country but just forgot to mention the fact. Should we perhaps go to war in his?”

The idea that Cohen can endorse a policy that makes him uneasy, all the while conceding that this approach will come back to haunt us here on our own home ground is abysmally short-sided.  What we have here is a failure of liberal nerve.  A failure to recognize something that Malcolm X did understand, that the chickens of American violence will come home to roost.  The piper will be paid.

Though a number of journalists and analysts have speculated that the U.S. collaborated with Israel to produce the Stuxnet worm which attacked Iran’s centrifuge system and sabotaged it uranium enrichment program, Cohen is one of the first to state that the entire black ops program against Iran is a joint project of the U.S. and Israel.  It is something I knew in my bones but had not seen overt proof of.  I am virtually certain that Cohen would not have written so overtly and that his editors would not have allowed him to state this so clearly, unless he and they knew more than they are saying:

In Iran, a big explosion at a military base near Tehran recently killed Gen. Hassan Tehrani Moghaddam, a central figure in the country’s long-range missile program. Nuclear scientists have perished in the streets of Tehran. The Stuxnet computer worm has wreaked havoc with the Iranian nuclear facilities.

It would take tremendous naïveté to believe these events are not the result of a covert American-Israeli drive to sabotage Iran’s efforts to develop a military nuclear capacity. An intense, well-funded cyberwar against Tehran is ongoing.

One of the main themes of this blog over the past two years has been my attempt to point out that Israel, in its approach to Iran is the emperor with no clothes.  There simply is no viable policy.  Terror is not policy.   It’s bad enough when you’re a terror organization and present no agenda other than nihilistic violence.  But when you’re a state you simply have no excuse.  So now what Cohen is saying is that the U.S. too is marching in lockstep with terror.  It’s beyond heartbreaking.

In this passage, Cohen again articulates reality coldly and clearly, but at the end once again loses his nerve and lucidity at the crucial moment:

In general, it’s hard to resist the impression of a tilt toward the extrajudicial in U.S. foreign policy — a kind of “Likudization” of the approach to dealing with enemies. Israel has never hesitated to kill foes with blood on their hands wherever they are.

This is a development about which no American can feel entirely comfortable.

After everything we know about Israel’s horrendous human rights policy, its record of potential war crimes, its extrajudicial assassinations which have killed a huge percentage of civilians along with whoever the intended victims might’ve been, all Cohen can muster is this is something about which no one can feel “entirely comfortable?”  Really?  And hey, Cohen, Israel’s targeted killings don’t only kill “foes with blood on their hands.”  They kill civilians and lots of alleged militants who may or may not be guilty of something, since no evidence is ever presented of anything that they’ve done wrong.  Is this really the model we as Americans want to emulate?

Here is where the NY Times columnist’s argument truly founders.  He posits only two polar opposite options in fighting a war against America’s alleged enemies, when there are of course other options which go unmentioned:

So why do I approve of all this? Because the alternative — the immense cost in blood and treasure and reputation of the Bush administration’s war on terror — was so appalling. In just the same way, the results of a conventional bombing war against Iran would be appalling, whether undertaken by Israel, the United States or a combination of the two.

Political choices often have to be made between two unappealing options. Obama has done just that.

He talks about one alternative being covert war and the other overt.  Is this really the choice?  Or is this the articulation of a liberal Mideast Cold warrior (remember the precursors to the neocons–the anti-Soviet Cold warriors?), someone who talks himself into war as the only option, all the while refusing to see other ones staring him right in the face?

I’ve read Cohen’s writings on the Israeli Arab conflict as well and they’re similarly disappointing.  He’s drunk the Goldberg-Friedman-Gorenberg liberal Zionist KoolAid: yes, the Israelis are making a mess of things.  But the Palestinians are just as much to blame.  What we need to do is find a few good Palestinian moderates (“where is the Palestinian Gandhi?”) like Abbas and Fayyad and allow them to tame the Arab beast for Israel–then everything will turn out right.  Liberal Zionists are guilty of the same failure of nerve in their vision of Israel’s future as Cohen is guilty of in failing to follow his liberal philosophy to its proper conclusion in analyzing Obama’s foreign policy.

Obama’s counter-terror policy is just as immoral, just as violative of constitutional protections and international law as Israel’s.  If it is wrong for Israel, it is wrong for America.  It should be wrong for Roger Cohen too.  Roger, you’ve just essentially endorsed Bibi’s approach to dealing with the Arab world.  Is that the vision you and Pres. Obama have to offer us?  If Israel has become a pariah state (read Leon Panetta’s latest on this theme) do we wish to join her in international isolation?  Of course Obama will pursue this as a policy by stealth whereas Bibi doesn’t need to do this.  He can flaunt it before an ever appreciative Israeli audience.  But how long can Obama fool the world, lulling it into the false belief that he’s that Nobel Peace laureate, the guy for change and Hope?  Not too long.

Haaretz Calls on Peres to Torpedo Iran Attack

Sunday, October 30th, 2011

This may be the equivalent of a Hail Mary pass in the final moments of a deadlocked football game, but Haaretz’s columnist Amir Oren, always an interesting observer of the Israeli political scene, writes today (and in Hebrew) that the only political figure who may be able to stop an Israeli attack on Iran is Shimon Peres.  I don’t know if he’s right.  Though Peres is not a conventional Israeli president who fades into the woodwork, he is still president, a largely honorific and ceremonial post.  It’s debatable whether Peres has the power to do what Oren is asking.  Though it’s not beyond the realm of possibility that he does.

peres,ben gurion,dayan

Shimon Peres and David Ben Gurion (Moshe Dayan in background)

Oren’s column marks the 55th anniversary of the opening of the 1956 Sinai War.  This was a military enterprise in which Shimon Peres, along with Moshe Dayan and David Ben Gurion (Peres’ political patron) played decisive roles.  From Israel’s point of view there were numerous successes and failures.  But among the latter was this:

Israel stained itself morally by hatching a conspiracy with two fading European powers against North African national liberation movements…

This reminds us, that while Iran is certainly no representative of the Arab spring, an Israeli attack upon it will certainly arouse the combined ire of the entire Arab world and place Israel even more firmly among those resisting the forces of history which have swept the region and toppled authoritarian regimes.

The Haaretz columnist also points out that Israel went to war with Britain and France as partners, but without the foreknowledge or support of the U.S.  This was a fateful mistake as Pres. Eisenhower became enraged at the military adventure and demanded that conditions be returned to status quo ante, which is more or less what happened.  Today, Israel can no longer play this sort of game.  It has no military partners as it did in 1956 and the U.S. is its only remaining ally.  Without U.S. support or at least connivance, Israel will be hard-pressed to act.

The benefit to Bibi in this case is that Obama is no Ike. He has neither the stature nor the military command experience to face down Bibi if the latter decides to go for broke.  So the question is whether Leon Panetta gave Israel a green, yellow or red light (as Bush gave Olmert) regarding Iran when he discussed an attack on his last visit.  It may perhaps be in realization of this fact that Oren turns to the grey eminence, Peres, to stop the future war (Haaretz’s English translation is defective in the last paragraph, so I’ve partially used it and fixed the errors below):

An Israeli operation against Iran’s nuclear program is liable to recycle the cons of Operation Kadesh, without its benefits. Such a fear is harbored by those who oppose this possible military adventure; the list of negative effects outweighs whatever diplomatic or military advantages might be accrued by such an action, the critics believe. After all, Barak is no Moshe Dayan, and Bibi is no Ben-Gurion.

Only Peres, who is no mere symbolic President (as Yitzhak Ben Zvi was during the 1956 War), remains in power, this time exerting an influence against the military undertaking [as opposed to 1956, when he orchestrated it].  In today’s Theater of Fateful Decisions [as opposed to 1956], there is no playwright [Ben Gurion], director [Dayan], producer [Peres] or  actor [IDF].  He [Peres] is just like the esteemed critic, from whose mouth the creative team [Bibi and Barak] awaits word before presenting the play to the public.

His devastating criticism of the dress rehearsal might postpone the premiere or cancel the performance altogether.  Critic, don’t keep mum. Soon will come time for him to raise his voice.

Amir Oren is a reporter who enjoys speaking in elaborate allegorical terms especially involving secret intelligence or military operations and so the fact that he uses the theatrical metaphor here is natural.  But an Israeli friend notes that the “dress rehearsal” above could very likely refer to actual military maneuvers meant to simulate and prepare for an Iran attack.  Israel is known to have done such a preparatory operation a few years ago around the time that Meir Dagan says he talked the ministers out of initiating such an attack.  So the likelihood of such a military rehearsal now is very real.  The timing would still allow Israel to send its F-16s to bomb Iran before the heavy rains and cloud cover of the Persian Gulf winter sets in, making such an operation less feasible.

Al-Awlaki: Obama’s Murder

Sunday, October 2nd, 2011

If Barack Obama is going to bring the act of targeted killing to its acme during his presidency and take all the political credit, as questionable as it may be, then I believe we should saddle him with the full responsibility for it.  That means calling this what it is: murder.  And because Obama has embraced this killing whole-heartedly it needs to be called his murder, a killing carried out on his watch and with his approval.  It was the cold-blooded murder of a U.S. citizen who is not bearing arms against his country, nor even in a war zone in which he threatens his fellow citizens.  He was not a literal combatant, but rather a propagandist for a cause deemed hostile to U.S. interests by this president and his even more right-wing predecessor.

Michael Ratner called the assassination ”a terrifying precedent.”  Terrifying for those who value human rights and constitutional law.  Not so terrifying, apparently, for our highest leaders who have other, far more political calculations, that guide their behavior.

Here is how Ratner characterizes the law and how it must be carried out in such cases involving alleged anti-U.S. terrorists:

Outside of a war zone, as Awlaki was, lethal force can only be employed in the narrowest and most extraordinary circumstances: when there is a concrete, specific and imminent threat of an attack; and even then, deadly force must be a last resort.

The NY Times published an eye-opening appraisal of Al-Awlaki in terms of how he is viewed in the Middle East itself.  It shows that as usual, there is a huge disconnect between the views of U.S. policymakers and those of the Muslim-Arab world.  In that world, Al Awlaki has barely been heard of, and the only reason he has been heard of at all is because of the demonic role we assigned to him:

“A dime-a-dozen cleric” was one response, by Gregory Johnsen, a Princeton professor who studies Yemen. Another: “I don’t think your average Middle Easterner knows who Anwar al-Awlaki is,” said Emad Shahin, a scholar of political Islam at Notre Dame University.

We, in a sense, created the bogeyman, Al Awlaki.  Were it not for what we did and how we treated him he would be a two-bit player in the ongoing war between radical Islam and the west:

…Many [in the Middle East] saw Mr. Awlaki’s death as an essentially American story: here was a man who American attention helped create, and its Hellfire missiles killed, in a campaign born out of American fears of homegrown militancy.

…“When the Obama administration and the U.S. media started focusing on him, that is when Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula pushed him to the fore,” Mr. Johnsen said, referring to the group’s Yemeni branch. “They were taking advantage of the free publicity, if you will. And any stature he has now in the Arab world is because of that.”

In that sense, yesterday’s CIA targeted killing was as much a political, as a military decision.  Al-Awlaki was much more a political threat than a security threat.  While it’s true that several failed attackers were inspired by his rhetoric, the cleric himself had never engaged in any act of terror beyond possibly incitement.  He’d never been tried in a court of law for any infraction.  As Ratner says:

Yes, his language and speeches were incendiary. He may even have engaged in plots against the United States – but we do not know that because he was never indicted for a crime.

It was the threat he represented politically that was much more dangerous in the eyes of Obama than any imminent physical threat.

And that’s simply not kosher under the U.S. constitution or law.  While it may be true that under the current defanged legislative and judicial system we have, our president’s actions will not be judged and he will not be held accountable, that doesn’t mean we oughtn’t to try, as I wrote yesterday.  The ACLU correctly attempted to bring this case to trial before the U.S. killed Al Awlaki.  They failed.  Now that the U.S. has killed him, it should try again.

The failure of the earlier lawsuit, even though Ratner says it failed solely on “procedural grounds,” is disturbing because that was the chance to rein in executive action before the damage had been done.  When the court threw out the case they essentially sealed Al Awlaki’s death warrant.  Now, we’re left to close the barn door after the horse has already escaped.

I’m reminded of two seminal quotations from Malcolm X.  He said that “violence was as American as apple pie.”  And, when Pres. Kennedy was assassinated he said “the chickens had come home to roost.”  Though these were extremely controversial statements at the time, there is great wisdom and foresight in each one and they apply to Obama’s murder of Anwar Al-Awlaki as well.  I fear that in some form or other the chickens our president has let loose on the world will eventually come home to roost.

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