Polls, polls, have we got polls.
The latest Gallup Poll confirms the recent Steven Cohen-NYU poll which I reported on a few days ago, with Obama earning 74% of the Jewish vote. Not only does it put him comfortably in range of all three most recent Democratic presidential candidates, if the campaign keeps going in the downward trajectory it’s been following I’m guessing Obama could end up close to 80%.
One finding that alarmed me somewhat was that the younger the Jewish voter the LESS likely they would be to support Obama. The older they were the MORE likely they would support Obama. This precisely flips the findings in the general U.S. population. For the life of me I can’t figure out why younger Jews would be more likely to be conservative, unless this may somehow be influenced by the fact that Orthodox Jews are producing larger families and their ideological perspective is decidedly more conservative. But that’s just a guess.
The latest Quinnipiac Poll shows Obama with 77% of the Florida Jewish vote, which is entirely due, in my opinion to Sarah Silverman’s nutty video, the Great Shlep (that’s a joke).
Can some Jewish press reporter ask Matt Brooks why the Republican Jewish Coalition’s efforts have failed so miserably this election (and the last as well)?
The latest N.Y. Times poll shows Obama with an incredible 52% of the vote to McCain’s 39%.
More excellent news, Darcy Burner’s (WA, 8th) campaign to unseat one of Congress’ most lazy, incompetent and evangelically fanatical members, Dave Reichert, is finally paying off. In all three of her most recent polls, she’s leading by anywhere from 5-7%. These are the first polls showing her in the lead.
Burner is one of the candidates endorsed by the liberal Jewish PAC, J Street. After Morrie Amitay’s vicious attack on J Street, I’d like to stack up J Street’s election record against Washington PAC’s and see who came out ahead. Could be that the new PAC on the block knocked the oldster around a bit. If I were Jeremy Ben Ami I’d keep a nice bottle of kosher champagne (is there such a thing?) on ice come November 5th. I think there definitely will be something to celebrate.